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The Brazil Bolsa Familia (BF) program is a conditional cash transfer program aimed to reduce short-term poverty by direct cash transfers and to fight long-term poverty by increasing human capital among poor Brazilian people. Eligibility for…

We study online linear regression problems in a distributed setting, where the data is spread over a network. In each round, each network node proposes a linear predictor, with the objective of fitting the \emph{network-wide} data. It then…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-14 Deming Yuan , Alexandre Proutiere , Guodong Shi

Empirical regression discontinuity (RD) studies often include covariates in their specifications to increase the precision of their estimates. In this paper, we propose a novel class of estimators that use such covariate information more…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-28 Claudia Noack , Tomasz Olma , Christoph Rothe

The subject of this work is two treatment groups random coefficient regression models, in which observational units receive some group-specific treatments. We provide A- and D-optimality criteria for the estimation of the fixed parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-11 Maryna Prus

Distance covariance and distance correlation have long been regarded as natural measures of dependence between two random vectors, and have been used in a variety of situations for testing independence. Despite their popularity, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-31 Hallin Marc , Davide La Vecchia , Hang Liu , Xinyi Xu

We discuss estimation and inference of conditional treatment effects in regression discontinuity (RD) designs with multiple scores. In addition to local linear regressions and the minimax-optimal estimator more recently proposed by Imbens…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-10 Yiqi Liu , Yuan Qi

Selecting input variables or design points for statistical models has been of great interest in adaptive design and active learning. Motivated by two scientific examples, this paper presents a strategy of selecting the design points for a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-12 Chiwoo Park , Peihua Qiu , Jennifer Carpena-Núñez , Rahul Rao , Michael Susner , Benji Maruyama

This paper investigates the large sample properties of local regression distribution estimators, which include a class of boundary adaptive density estimators as a prime example. First, we establish a pointwise Gaussian large sample…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-01-29 Matias D. Cattaneo , Michael Jansson , Xinwei Ma

Researchers often use linear regression to analyse randomized experiments to improve treatment effect estimation by adjusting for imbalances of covariates in the treatment and control groups. Our work offers a randomization-based inference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-08 Hanzhong Liu , Yuehan Yang

Regularized linear discriminant analysis (RLDA) is a widely used tool for classification and dimensionality reduction, but its performance in high-dimensional scenarios is inconsistent. Existing theoretical analyses of RLDA often lack clear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-23 Yonghan Zhang , Zhangni Pu , Lu Yan , Jiang Hu

In the present work we address the problem of evaluating the historical performance of a trading strategy or a certain portfolio of assets. Common indicators such as the Sharpe ratio and the risk adjusted return have significant drawbacks.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-02-10 M. Bartolozzi , C. Mellen

Risk limiting dispatch (RLD) has been proposed as an approach that effectively trades off economic costs with operational risks for power dispatch under uncertainty. However, how to solve the RLD problem with provably near-optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-24 Ge Chen , Junjie Qin

A local projection is a statistical framework that accounts for the relationship between an exogenous variable and an endogenous variable, measured at different time points. Local projections are often applied in impulse response analyses…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-03 Masahiro Tanaka

Estimating causal effects from nonexperimental data is a fundamental problem in many fields of science. A key component of this task is selecting an appropriate set of covariates for confounding adjustment to avoid bias. Most existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Zheng Li , Xichen Guo , Feng Xie , Yan Zeng , Hao Zhang , Zhi Geng

Empirical likelihood serves as a powerful tool for constructing confidence intervals in nonparametric regression and regression discontinuity designs (RDD). The original empirical likelihood framework can be naturally extended to these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-03 Qin Fang , Shaojun Guo , Yang Hong , Xinghao Qiao

We introduce a method to determine if a certain capability helps to achieve an accurate model of given data. We view labels as being generated from the inputs by a program composed of subroutines with different capabilities, and we posit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-08 Ethan Perez , Douwe Kiela , Kyunghyun Cho

Patients with breast cancer tend to die from other diseases, so for studies that focus on breast cancer, a competing risks model is more appropriate. Considering subdistribution hazard ratio, which is used often, limited to model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-21 Zhiyin Yu , Zhaojin Li , Chengfeng Zhang , Yawen Hou , Derun Zhou , Zheng Chen

Randomized discontinuation design (RDD) is an enrichment strategy commonly used to address limitations of traditional placebo-controlled trials, particularly the ethical concern of prolonged placebo exposure. RDD consists of two phases: an…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Ayon Mukherjee , Oleksandr Sverdlov , Ngoc-Thuy Ha , Yu Deng

We study variation in policing outcomes attributable to differential policing practices in New York City (NYC) using geographic regression discontinuity designs (GeoRDDs). By focusing on small geographic windows near police precinct…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Emmett B. Kendall , Brenden Beck , Joseph Antonelli

Local polynomial regression of order one or higher often performs poorly in areas with sparse data. In contrast, local constant regression tends to be more robust in these regions, although it is generally the least accurate approach,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-10 Chunlei Ge , W. John Braun