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A method is presented to tackle the sign problem in the simulations of systems having indefinite or complex-valued measures. In general, this new approach is shown to yield statistical errors smaller than the crude Monte Carlo using…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2008-11-26 T D Kieu , C J Griffin

For basic machine learning problems, expected error is used to evaluate model performance. Since the distribution of data is usually unknown, we can make simple hypothesis that the data are sampled independently and identically distributed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-01 Xuli Shen , Qing Xu , Xiangyang Xue

A general formulation of the linear model with functional (random) explanatory variable $X = X(t), t \in T$ , and scalar response Y is proposed. It includes the standard functional linear model, based on the inner product in the space…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-02 José R. Berrendero , Alejandro Cholaquidis , Antonio Cuevas

We describe a design-based framework for drawing causal inference in general randomized experiments. Causal effects are defined as linear functionals evaluated at unit-level potential outcome functions. Assumptions about the potential…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-15 Christopher Harshaw , Fredrik Sävje , Yitan Wang

We define Conditional quasi concave Performance Measures (CPMs), on random variables bounded from below, to accommodate for additional information. Our notion encompasses a wide variety of cases, from conditional expected utility and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-12-18 Sara Biagini , Jocelyne Bion-Nadal

This paper introduces marginal fairness, a new individual fairness notion for equitable decision-making in the presence of protected attributes such as gender, race, and religion. This criterion ensures that decisions based on generalized…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-27 Fei Huang , Silvana M. Pesenti

Assuming some regression model, it is common to study the conditional distribution of survival given covariates. Here, we consider the impact of further conditioning, specifically conditioning on a marginal survival function, known or…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-11 Roxane Duroux , Cécile Chauvel , John O'Quigley

Causal inference is known to be very challenging when only observational data are available. Randomized experiments are often costly and impractical and in instrumental variable regression the number of instruments has to exceed the number…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-19 Dominik Rothenhäusler , Peter Bühlmann , Nicolai Meinshausen

The nonlinearity of a Boolean function is a key property in deciding its suitability for cryptographic purposes, e.g. as a combining function in stream ciphers, and so the nonlinearity computation is an important problem for applications.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-10-20 Emanuele Bellini , Teo Mora , Massimiliano Sala

The notion of asymptotic unpredictability was recently introduced in (Commun. Nonlinear Sci. Numer. Simul. 134, 108029, 2024) for semiflows. Likewise unpredictable trajectories, asymptotically unpredictable ones are also capable of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-10-08 Mehmet Onur Fen , Fatma Tokmak Fen

I generalize acyclic deterministic structural causal models to the nondeterministic case and argue that this offers an improved semantics for counterfactuals. The standard, deterministic, semantics developed by Halpern (and based on the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Sander Beckers

This paper presents a new approach to conditional inference, based on the simulation of samples conditioned by a statistics of the data. Also an explicit expression for the approximation of the conditional likelihood of long runs of the…

Applications · Statistics 2012-02-07 Michel Broniatowski , Virgile Caron

The multivariate conditional probability distribution models the effects of a set of variables onto the statistical properties of another set of variables. In the study of systemic risk in a financial system, the multivariate conditional…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-05 Tomaso Aste

Many problems in computational science and engineering become one-to-many after coarse graining, partial observation, or inverse reconstruction: a resolved state may not determine a unique subgrid forcing, a structural descriptor may not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-28 Junfeng Chen

We introduce a class of measure-valued processes, which -- in analogy to their finite dimensional counterparts -- will be called measure-valued polynomial diffusions. We show the so-called moment formula, i.e.~a representation of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-03 Christa Cuchiero , Francesco Guida , Luca di Persio , Sara Svaluto-Ferro

We discuss the possibility of constructing a function that validates the definition or not definition of the partial recursive functions of one variable. This is a topic in computability theory, which was first approached by Alan M. Turing…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-04-16 Abel Luis Peralta

In statistical analysis, many classic results require the assumption that models have finite mean or variance, including the most standard versions of the laws of large numbers and the central limit theorems. Such an assumption may not be…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-28 Yuyu Chen , Ruodu Wang

Various notions of condition numbers are used to study some sensitivity aspects of scalar optimization problems. The aim of this paper is to introduce a notion of condition number to study the case of a multiobjective optimization problem…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-01-30 Monica Bianchi , Enrico Miglierina , Elena Molho , Rita Pini

We present a general nonparametric approach for testing whether a statistical parameter defined through conditional distributions is constant across the conditioning variables. Such hypotheses arise naturally in problems such as assessing…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-23 Albert Osom , Ali Shojaie , Aaron Hudson

Risk measures for multivariate financial positions are studied in a utility-based framework. Under a certain incomplete preference relation, shortfall and divergence risk measures are defined as the optimal values of specific set…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-12 Çağın Ararat , Andreas H. Hamel , Birgit Rudloff