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It is often of interest to make inference on an unknown function that is a local parameter of the data-generating mechanism, such as a density or regression function. Such estimands can typically only be estimated at a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-17 Aaron Hudson , Marco Carone , Ali Shojaie

Systemic risk measures are crucial for the stability of financial markets, yet classical formulations fail to capture the complexity of market volatility. We propose a new framework for systemic risk measurement on the variable-exponent…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-25 Fei Sun , Jieming Zhou

A general notion of algebraic conditional plausibility measures is defined. Probability measures, ranking functions, possibility measures, and (under the appropriate definitions) sets of probability measures can all be viewed as defining…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-06-16 Joseph Y. Halpern

For a class of one-dimensional determinantal point processes including those induced by orthogonal projections with integrable kernels satisfying a growth condition, it is proved that their conditional measures, with respect to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-05 Alexander I. Bufetov

We consider the problem of sequentially testing for changes in the mean parameter of a time series, compared to a benchmark period. Most tests in the literature focus on the null hypothesis of a constant mean versus the alternative of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-23 Patrick Bastian , Tim Kutta , Rupsa Basu , Holger Dette

The validity OF a causal model can be tested ONLY IF the model imposes constraints ON the probability distribution that governs the generated data. IN the presence OF unmeasured variables, causal models may impose two types OF constraints :…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Jin Tian , Judea Pearl

This paper shows that the problem of testing hypotheses in moment condition models without any assumptions about identification may be considered as a problem of testing with an infinite-dimensional nuisance parameter. We introduce a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-24 Isaiah Andrews , Anna Mikusheva

We study estimation of a multivariate function $f:\mathbf{R}^d\to\mathbf{R}$ when the observations are available from the function $Af$, where $A$ is a known linear operator. Both the Gaussian white noise model and density estimation are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Jussi Klemelä , Enno Mammen

In this paper, we present a unified framework for decision making under uncertainty. Our framework is based on the composite of two risk measures, where the inner risk measure accounts for the risk of decision given the exact distribution…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-01-07 Pengyu Qian , Zizhuo Wang , Zaiwen Wen

In the random-effects model of meta-analysis a canonical representation of the restricted likelihood function is obtained. This representation relates the mean effect and the heterogeneity variance estimation problems. An explicit form of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-28 Andrew L. Rukhin

In linear regression modelling the distortion of effects after marginalizing over variables of the conditioning set has been widely studied in several contexts. For Gaussian variables, the relationship between marginal and partial…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-08 Monia Lupparelli

New versions of the set-valued average value at risk for multivariate risks are introduced by generalizing the well-known certainty equivalent representation to the set-valued case. The first "regulator" version is independent from any…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-22 Andreas H. Hamel , Birgit Rudloff , Mihaela Yankova

We study time-consistency questions for processes of monetary risk measures that depend on bounded discrete-time processes describing the evolution of financial values. The time horizon can be finite or infinite. We call a process of…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Patrick Cheridito , Freddy Delbaen , Michael Kupper

We consider a competitive market with risk-averse participants. We assume that agents' risks are measured by coherent risk measures introduced by Artzner et al. (1999). Fundamental theorems of welfare economics have long established the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-28 Iman Khajepour , Geoffrey Pritchard , Danny Ralph , Golbon Zakeri

In this paper we investigate the existence of solutions for a system consisting of two inequalities of variational type. Each inequality is formulated in terms of a nonlinear bifunction $\chi$ and $\psi$, respectively and a coupling…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-12-28 Nicusor Costea

We establish the existence and nonexistence of entire solutions to a semilinear elliptic problem whose nonlinearity is the critical power multiplied by a function that takes the value 1 in an open bounded region and the value -1 in its…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-02-28 Mónica Clapp , Jorge Faya , Alberto Saldaña

Scalar dynamic risk measures for univariate positions in continuous time are commonly represented as backward stochastic differential equations. In the multivariate setting, dynamic risk measures have been defined and studied as families of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-19 Çağın Ararat , Zachary Feinstein

The numerical solution of differential equations can be formulated as an inference problem to which formal statistical approaches can be applied. However, nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs) pose substantial challenges from an…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-26 Junyang Wang , Jon Cockayne , Oksana Chkrebtii , T. J. Sullivan , Chris. J. Oates

We propose a general scheme to create time sequences that fulfill given constraints but are random otherwise. Significance levels for nonlinearity tests are as usually obtained by Monte Carlo resampling. In a new scheme, constraints…

chao-dyn · Physics 2007-05-23 Thomas Schreiber , Andreas Schmitz

The NA condition is one of the pillars supporting the classical theory of financial mathematics. We revisit this condition for financial market models where a dynamic risk-measure defined on $L^0$ is fixed to characterize the family of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-14 Emmanuel Lepinette , Duc Thinh Vu