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The machine learning community has recently put effort into quantized or low-precision arithmetics to scale large models. This paper proposes performing probabilistic inference in the quantized, discrete parameter space created by these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Aleksanteri Sladek , Martin Trapp , Arno Solin

We develop an algorithm for computing bounded reachability probability for hybrid systems, i.e., the probability that the system reaches an unsafe region within a finite number of discrete transitions. In particular, we focus on hybrid…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-05-13 Fedor Shmarov , Paolo Zuliani

Investment planning in power utilities, such as generation and transmission expansion, requires decisions under substantial uncertainty over decade--long horizons for policies, demand, renewable availability, and outages, while maintaining…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Nicolas M. Cuadrado A. , Mohannad Takrouri , Jiří Němeček , Martin Takáč , Jakub Mareček

Designing expressive generative models that support exact and efficient inference is a core question in probabilistic ML. Probabilistic circuits (PCs) offer a framework where this tractability-vs-expressiveness trade-off can be analyzed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Lorenzo Loconte , Stefan Mengel , Antonio Vergari

Probabilistic programming is related to a compositional approach to stochastic modeling by switching from discrete to continuous time dynamics. In continuous time, an operator-algebra semantics is available in which processes proceeding in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-12-05 Eric Mjolsness

Probabilistic circuits are a unifying representation of functions as computation graphs of weighted sums and products. Their primary application is in probabilistic modeling, where circuits with non-negative weights (monotone circuits) can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Benjie Wang , Guy Van den Broeck

Probabilistic regression techniques in control and robotics applications have to fulfill different criteria of data-driven adaptability, computational efficiency, scalability to high dimensions, and the capacity to deal with different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-31 Hany Abdulsamad , Peter Nickl , Pascal Klink , Jan Peters

Finite mixtures are a flexible modeling tool for irregularly shaped densities and samples from heterogeneous populations. When modeling with mixtures using an exchangeable prior on the component features, the component labels are arbitrary…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-10 Deborah Kunkel , Mario Peruggia

Probabilistic circuits (PCs) are models that allow exact and tractable probabilistic inference. In contrast to neural networks, they are often assumed to be well-calibrated and robust to out-of-distribution (OOD) data. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Fabrizio Ventola , Steven Braun , Zhongjie Yu , Martin Mundt , Kristian Kersting

Model Predictive Control (MPC) is a widely known control method that has proved to be particularly effective in multivariable and constrained control. Closed-loop stability and recursive feasibility can be guaranteed by employing accurate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-05 Marco Polver , Daniel Limon , Fabio Previdi , Antonio Ferramosca

Probabilistic circuits (PCs) are a class of tractable probabilistic models that allow efficient, often linear-time, inference of queries such as marginals and most probable explanations (MPE). However, marginal MAP, which is central to many…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-03-07 YooJung Choi , Tal Friedman , Guy Van den Broeck

We present a stochastic model predictive control (MPC) method for linear discrete-time systems subject to possibly unbounded and correlated additive stochastic disturbance sequences. Chance constraints are treated in analogy to robust MPC…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-01-23 Lukas Hewing , Kim P. Wabersich , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Probabilistic circuits (PCs) represent a probability distribution as a computational graph. Enforcing structural properties on these graphs guarantees that several inference scenarios become tractable. Among these properties, structured…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-03 Meihua Dang , Antonio Vergari , Guy Van den Broeck

Casting neural networks in generative frameworks is a highly sought-after endeavor these days. Contemporary methods, such as Generative Adversarial Networks, capture some of the generative capabilities, but not all. In particular, they lack…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-28 Or Sharir , Ronen Tamari , Nadav Cohen , Amnon Shashua

Probabilistic representations, such as Bayesian and Markov networks, are fundamental to much of statistical machine learning. Thus, learning probabilistic representations directly from data is a deep challenge, the main computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-20 Andreas Bueff , Stefanie Speichert , Vaishak Belle

End-to-end deep neural networks have achieved remarkable success across various domains but are often criticized for their lack of interpretability. While post hoc explanation methods attempt to address this issue, they often fail to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Weixin Chen , Simon Yu , Huajie Shao , Lui Sha , Han Zhao

We propose a computationally tractable, tube-based robust nonlinear model predictive control (MPC) framework using difference-of-convex (DC) functions and sequential convex programming. For systems with differentiable discrete time…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Martin Doff-Sotta , Zaheen A-Rahman , Mark Cannon

Circuit representations are becoming the lingua franca to express and reason about tractable generative and discriminative models. In this paper, we show how complex inference scenarios for these models that commonly arise in machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-12 Antonio Vergari , YooJung Choi , Anji Liu , Stefano Teso , Guy Van den Broeck

Probabilistic circuits (PCs) are a family of generative models which allows for the computation of exact likelihoods and marginals of its probability distributions. PCs are both expressive and tractable, and serve as popular choices for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-03 Andy Shih , Dorsa Sadigh , Stefano Ermon

We present a chance-constrained model predictive control (MPC) framework under Gaussian mixture model (GMM) uncertainty. Specifically, we consider the uncertainty that arises from predicting future behaviors of moving obstacles, which may…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-21 Kai Ren , Colin Chen , Hyeontae Sung , Heejin Ahn , Ian Mitchell , Maryam Kamgarpour