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In this paper, we study the trade-offs of different inference approaches for Bayesian matrix factorisation methods, which are commonly used for predicting missing values, and for finding patterns in the data. In particular, we consider…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-18 Thomas Brouwer , Jes Frellsen , Pietro Lió

Sample-efficient exploration is crucial not only for discovering rewarding experiences but also for adapting to environment changes in a task-agnostic fashion. A principled treatment of the problem of optimal input synthesis for system…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-10 Matthias Schultheis , Boris Belousov , Hany Abdulsamad , Jan Peters

In this work, we address the challenge of data-efficient exploration in reinforcement learning by examining existing principled, information-theoretic approaches to intrinsic motivation. Specifically, we focus on a class of exploration…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Alberto Caron , Chris Hicks , Vasilios Mavroudis

We develop a Bayesian approach for selecting the model which is the most supported by the data within a class of marginal models for categorical variables formulated through equality and/or inequality constraints on generalised logits…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-21 Francesco Bartolucci , Luisa Scaccia , Alessio Farcomeni

We present multimodal neural posterior estimation (MultiNPE), a method to integrate heterogeneous data from different sources in simulation-based inference with neural networks. Inspired by advances in deep fusion, it allows researchers to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Marvin Schmitt , Leona Odole , Stefan T. Radev , Paul-Christian Bürkner

We introduce an algorithm that simplifies the construction of efficient estimators, making them accessible to a broader audience. 'Dimple' takes as input computer code representing a parameter of interest and outputs an efficient estimator.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-17 Alex Luedtke

Meta-learning aims to extract useful inductive biases from a set of related datasets. In Bayesian meta-learning, this is typically achieved by constructing a prior distribution over neural network parameters. However, specifying families of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Krunoslav Lehman Pavasovic , Jonas Rothfuss , Andreas Krause

Many modern unsupervised or semi-supervised machine learning algorithms rely on Bayesian probabilistic models. These models are usually intractable and thus require approximate inference. Variational inference (VI) lets us approximate a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-24 Cheng Zhang , Judith Butepage , Hedvig Kjellstrom , Stephan Mandt

Ou et al. (2022) introduce the problem of learning set functions from data generated by a so-called optimal subset oracle. Their approach approximates the underlying utility function with an energy-based model, whose parameters are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Gözde Özcan , Chengzhi Shi , Stratis Ioannidis

Probabilistic Face Embeddings (PFE) can improve face recognition performance in unconstrained scenarios by integrating data uncertainty into the feature representation. However, existing PFE methods tend to be over-confident in estimating…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-06-23 Kai Chen , Qi Lv , Taihe Yi

Three critical issues for causal inference that often occur in modern, complicated experiments are interference, treatment nonadherence, and missing outcomes. A great deal of research efforts has been dedicated to developing causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-06 Yuki Ohnishi , Arman Sabbaghi

Bayesian optimization is a popular framework for the optimization of black box functions. Multifidelity methods allows to accelerate Bayesian optimization by exploiting low-fidelity representations of expensive objective functions. Popular…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-08 Francesco Di Fiore , Laura Mainini

Approximate inference in probabilistic graphical models (PGMs) can be grouped into deterministic methods and Monte-Carlo-based methods. The former can often provide accurate and rapid inferences, but are typically associated with biases…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-09 Fredrik Lindsten , Jouni Helske , Matti Vihola

An algorithm for extracting identity submatrices of small rank and pivotal units from large and sparse matrices is proposed. The procedure has already been satisfactorily applied for solving the label switching problem in Bayesian mixture…

Computation · Statistics 2016-11-04 Leonardo Egidi , Roberta Pappadà , Francesco Pauli , Nicola Torelli

We present ImplicitSLIM, a novel unsupervised learning approach for sparse high-dimensional data, with applications to collaborative filtering. Sparse linear methods (SLIM) and their variations show outstanding performance, but they are…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Ilya Shenbin , Sergey Nikolenko

International comparisons of hierarchical time series data sets based on survey data, such as annual country-level estimates of school enrollment rates, can suffer from large amounts of missing data due to differing coverage of surveys…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-31 Daphne H. Liu , Adrian E. Raftery

This thesis describes work on two applications of probabilistic programming: the learning of probabilistic program code given specifications, in particular program code of one-dimensional samplers; and the facilitation of sequential Monte…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-05-21 Yura N Perov

We develop a novel and general framework for reduced-bias $M$-estimation from asymptotically unbiased estimating functions. The framework relies on an empirical approximation of the bias by a function of derivatives of estimating function…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-11 Ioannis Kosmidis , Nicola Lunardon

The implicit particle filter is a sequential Monte Carlo method for data assimilation that guides the particles to the high-probability regions via a sequence of steps that includes minimizations. We present a new and more general…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-02-01 Ethan Atkins , Matthias Morzfeld , Alexandre J. Chorin

We consider geothermal inverse problems and uncertainty quantification from a Bayesian perspective. Our main goal is to make standard, `out-of-the-box' Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling more feasible for complex simulation models by…

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