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Accurate learning of system dynamics is becoming increasingly crucial for advanced control and decision-making in engineering. However, real-world systems often exhibit multiple channels and highly nonlinear transition dynamics, challenging…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-20 Tengjie Zheng , Jilan Mei , Di Wu , Lin Cheng , Shengping Gong

Motivated by disease progression-related studies, we propose an estimation method for fitting general non-homogeneous multi-state Markov models. The proposal can handle many types of multi-state processes, with several states and various…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-22 Alessia Eletti , Giampiero Marra , Rosalba Radice

Spatially embedded networks (SENs) represent a special type of complex graph, whose topologies are constrained by the networks' embedded spatial environments. The graph representation of such networks is thereby influenced by the embedded…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Xudong Fan , Jürgen Hackl

Nonstationary and non-Gaussian spatial data are common in various fields, including ecology (e.g., counts of animal species), epidemiology (e.g., disease incidence counts in susceptible regions), and environmental science (e.g.,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-01 Remy MacDonald , Benjamin Seiyon Lee

In genome-wide prediction, independence of marker allele substitution effects is typically assumed; however, since early stages of this technology it has been known that nature points to correlated effects. In statistics, graphical models…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-09-21 Carlos Alberto Martínez , Kshitij Khare , Syed Rahman , Mauricio A. Elzo

The state space (SS) representation of Gaussian processes (GP) has recently gained a lot of interest. The main reason is that it allows to compute GPs based inferences in O(n), where $n$ is the number of observations. This implementation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-01-08 Alessio Benavoli , Marco Zaffalon

Pairwise network models such as the Gaussian Graphical Model (GGM) are a powerful and intuitive way to analyze dependencies in multivariate data. A key assumption of the GGM is that each pairwise interaction is independent of the values of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-14 Jonas Haslbeck , Denny Borsboom , Lourens Waldorp

To capture spatial relationships and temporal dynamics in traffic data, spatio-temporal models for traffic forecasting have drawn significant attention in recent years. Most of the recent works employed graph neural networks(GNN) with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-02 Amit Roy , Kashob Kumar Roy , Amin Ahsan Ali , M Ashraful Amin , A K M Mahbubur Rahman

World modelling, i.e. building a representation of the rules that govern the world so as to predict its evolution, is an essential ability for any agent interacting with the physical world. Despite their impressive performance, many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Francesco Petri , Luigi Asprino , Aldo Gangemi

The Collective Graphical Model (CGM) models a population of independent and identically distributed individuals when only collective statistics (i.e., counts of individuals) are observed. Exact inference in CGMs is intractable, and previous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-05-21 Li-Ping Liu , Daniel Sheldon , Thomas G. Dietterich

In many real world applications, data are characterized by a complex structure, that can be naturally encoded as a graph. In the last years, the popularity of deep learning techniques has renewed the interest in neural models able to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-20 Matteo Tiezzi , Giuseppe Marra , Stefano Melacci , Marco Maggini , Marco Gori

Multivariate density estimation and graphical models play important roles in statistical learning. The estimated density can be used to construct a graphical model that reveals conditional relationships whereas a graphical structure can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-02 Runfei Luo , Anna Liu , Yuedong Wang

The explosion of data available in life sciences is fueling an increasing demand for expressive models and computational methods. Graph transformation is a model for dynamic systems with a large variety of applications. We introduce a novel…

Causal learning has long concerned itself with the accurate recovery of underlying causal mechanisms. Such causal modelling enables better explanations of out-of-distribution data. Prior works on causal learning assume that the high-level…

Gaussian Process State Space Models (GP-SSM) are a data-driven stochastic model class suitable to represent nonlinear dynamics. They have become increasingly popular in non-parametric modeling approaches since they provide not only a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-19 Thomas Beckers , Sandra Hirche

Neural forecasting of spatiotemporal time series drives both research and industrial innovation in several relevant application domains. Graph neural networks (GNNs) are often the core component of the forecasting architecture. However, in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Andrea Cini , Ivan Marisca , Filippo Maria Bianchi , Cesare Alippi

This paper introduces a new probabilistic architecture called Sum-Product Graphical Model (SPGM). SPGMs combine traits from Sum-Product Networks (SPNs) and Graphical Models (GMs): Like SPNs, SPGMs always enable tractable inference using a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-23 Mattia Desana , Christoph Schnörr

Gaussian Processes (GPs) provide powerful probabilistic frameworks for interpolation, forecasting, and smoothing, but have been hampered by computational scaling issues. Here we investigate data sampled on one dimension (e.g., a scalar or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-04 Jackson Loper , David Blei , John P. Cunningham , Liam Paninski

Statistical shape models (SSMs) represent a class of shapes as a normal distribution of point variations, whose parameters are estimated from example shapes. Principal component analysis (PCA) is applied to obtain a low-dimensional…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-03-24 Marcel Lüthi , Christoph Jud , Thomas Gerig , Thomas Vetter

This paper introduces the Gaussian multi-Graphical Model, a model to construct sparse graph representations of matrix- and tensor-variate data. We generalize prior work in this area by simultaneously learning this representation across…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-28 Bailey Andrew , David Westhead , Luisa Cutillo