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The health condition of components in civil infrastructures can be described by various discrete states according to their performance degradation. Inferring these states from measurable responses is typically an ill-posed inverse problem.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-30 Teng Li , Stephen Wu , Yong Huang , James L. Beck , Hui Li

We introduce a novel unsupervised learning method for time series data with latent dynamical structure: the recognition-parametrized Gaussian state space model (RP-GSSM). The RP-GSSM is a probabilistic model that learns Markovian Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Samo Hromadka , Kai Biegun , Lior Fox , James Heald , Maneesh Sahani

In this paper, we introduce a new directed graphical model from Gaussian data: the Gaussian graphical interaction model (GGIM). The development of this model comes from considering stationary Gaussian processes on graphs, and leveraging the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-19 Katherine Fitch

This paper investigates Gaussian Markov random field approximations to nonstationary Gaussian fields using graph representations of stochastic partial differential equations. We establish approximation error guarantees building on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-28 Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Ruiyi Yang

Gaussian process state-space models (GPSSMs) offer a principled framework for learning and inference in nonlinear dynamical systems with uncertainty quantification. However, existing GPSSMs are limited by the use of multiple independent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-11 Zhidi Lin , Ying Li , Feng Yin , Juan Maroñas , Alexandre H. Thiéry

Graph neural networks are often used to model interacting dynamical systems since they gracefully scale to systems with a varying and high number of agents. While there has been much progress made for deterministic interacting systems,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-04 Andreas Look , Melih Kandemir , Barbara Rakitsch , Jan Peters

Designing spectral convolutional networks is a formidable task in graph learning. In traditional spectral graph neural networks (GNNs), polynomial-based methods are commonly used to design filters via the Laplacian matrix. In practical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-19 Gongpei Zhao , Tao Wang , Yi Jin , Congyan Lang , Yidong Li , Haibin Ling

Spatial generalized linear mixed models (SGLMMs) are popular and flexible models for non-Gaussian spatial data. They are useful for spatial interpolations as well as for fitting regression models that account for spatial dependence, and are…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-26 Yawen Guan , Murali Haran

Inference tasks with time series over graphs are of importance in applications such as urban water networks, economics, and networked neuroscience. Addressing these tasks typically relies on identifying a computationally affordable model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-30 Mohammad Sabbaqi , Riccardo Taormina , Elvin Isufi

Although there is much recent work developing flexible variational methods for Bayesian computation, Gaussian approximations with structured covariance matrices are often preferred computationally in high-dimensional settings. This paper…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-08 Robert Salomone , Xuejun Yu , David J. Nott , Robert Kohn

Gaussian Graphical Models provide a convenient framework for representing dependencies between variables. Recently, this tool has received a high interest for the discovery of biological networks. The literature focuses on the case where a…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-05-13 Julien Chiquet , Yves Grandvalet , Christophe Ambroise

When dealing with time series data, causal inference methods often employ structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) processes to model time-evolving random systems. In this work, we rephrase recursive SVAR processes with possible latent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-19 Nicolas-Domenic Reiter , Andreas Gerhardus , Jonas Wahl , Jakob Runge

This thesis focuses on data that has complex spatio-temporal structure and on probabilistic graphical models that learn the structure in an interpretable and scalable manner. We target two research areas of interest: Gaussian graphical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Yu Wang

At least two recent developments have put the spotlight on some significant gaps in the theory of multivariate time series. The recent interest in the dynamics of networks; and the advent, across a range of applications, of measuring…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-21 Victor Solo

State space models (SSMs) provide a flexible framework for modeling complex time series via a latent stochastic process. Inference for nonlinear, non-Gaussian SSMs is often tackled with particle methods that do not scale well to long time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-18 Christopher Aicher , Srshti Putcha , Christopher Nemeth , Paul Fearnhead , Emily B. Fox

Gaussian Process state-space models capture complex temporal dependencies in a principled manner by placing a Gaussian Process prior on the transition function. These models have a natural interpretation as discretized stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-24 Krista Longi , Jakob Lindinger , Olaf Duennbier , Melih Kandemir , Arto Klami , Barbara Rakitsch

Multivariate time series analysis is becoming an integral part of data analysis pipelines. Understanding the individual time point connections between covariates as well as how these connections change in time is non-trivial. To this aim,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-04 Federico Ciech , Veronica Tozzo

Graphs serve as generic tools to encode the underlying relational structure of data. Often this graph is not given, and so the task of inferring it from nodal observations becomes important. Traditional approaches formulate a convex inverse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Max Wasserman , Gonzalo Mateos

Graphs are an intuitive way to represent relationships between variables in fields such as finance and neuroscience. However, these graphs often need to be inferred from data. In this paper, we propose a novel framework to infer a latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-25 Jedidiah Harwood , Debashis Paul , Jie Peng

Network science provides valuable insights across numerous disciplines including sociology, biology, neuroscience and engineering. A task of major practical importance in these application domains is inferring the network structure from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-01 Vassilis N. Ioannidis , Yanning Shen , Georgios B. Giannakis