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Gaussian graphical models can capture complex dependency structures among variables. For such models, Bayesian inference is attractive as it provides principled ways to incorporate prior information and to quantify uncertainty through the…

Computation · Statistics 2023-04-05 Willem van den Boom , Alexandros Beskos , Maria De Iorio

We propose a new model of Bayesian Neural Networks to not only detect the events of compact binary coalescence in the observational data of gravitational waves (GW) but also identify the full length of the event duration including the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-03-31 Yu-Chiung Lin , Jiun-Huei Proty Wu

We present two methods for determining the significance of a stochastic gravitational-wave (GW) background affecting a pulsar-timing array, where detection is based on evidence for quadrupolar spatial correlations between pulsars. Rather…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-02-13 S. R. Taylor , L. Lentati , S. Babak , P. Brem , J. R. Gair , A. Sesana , A. Vecchio

We present a Metropolis-Hastings Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm for detecting hidden variables in a continuous time Bayesian network (CTBN), which uses reversible jumps in the sense defined by (Green 1995). In common with several…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-18 Blazej Miasojedow , Wojciech Niemiro , John Noble , Krzysztof Opalski

Crosscorrelation of the outputs of two Gravitational Wave (GW) detectors has recently been proposed [1] as a method for detecting statistical association between GWs and Gamma Ray Bursts (GRBs). Unfortunately, the method can be effectively…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-07 G. Modestino , A. Moleti

It is proposed in the literature that in some complicated problems maximum likelihood estimates (MLE) are not suitable or even do not exist. An alternative to MLE for estimation of the parameters is the Bayesian method. The Markov chain…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-08 Ali Reza Fotouhi

We present a general framework for incorporating astrophysical information into Bayesian parameter estimation techniques used by gravitational wave data analysis to facilitate multi-messenger astronomy. Since the progenitors of transient…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2014-10-14 XiLong Fan , Christopher Messenger , Ik Siong Heng

The matched filtering paradigm is the mainstay of gravitational wave (GW) searches from astrophysical coalescing compact binaries. The compact binary coalescence (CBC) search pipelines perform the matched filter between the GW detector's…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-06-19 Chetan Verma , Amit Reza , Dilip Krishnaswamy , Sarah Caudill , Gurudatt Gaur

Gaussian processes allow for flexible specification of prior assumptions of unknown dynamics in state space models. We present a procedure for efficient Bayesian learning in Gaussian process state space models, where the representation is…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-18 Andreas Svensson , Arno Solin , Simo Särkkä , Thomas B. Schön

Time-lapse images carry out important information about dynamic changes in Earth's interior which can be inferred using different Full Waveform Inversion (FWI) schemes. The estimation process is performed by manipulating more than one…

The accuracy of Bayesian inference can be negatively affected by the use of inaccurate forward models. In the case of gravitational-wave inference, accurate but computationally expensive waveform models are sometimes substituted with faster…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-04-02 Miaoxin Liu , Xiao-Dong Li , Alvin J. K. Chua

When looking for gravitational wave signals from known pulsars, targets have been treated using independent searches. Here we use a hierarchical Bayesian framework to combine observations from individual sources for two purposes: to produce…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-09-12 M. Pitkin , C. Messenger , X. Fan

This thesis presents advancements in the detection of gravitational waves from compact binary coalescences, utilising the most sensitive observatories constructed to date. The research focuses on enhancing gravitational-wave signal searches…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-01-27 Arthur Tolley

We report the results of an in-depth analysis of the parameter estimation capabilities of BayesWave, an algorithm for the reconstruction of gravitational-wave signals without reference to a specific signal model. Using binary black hole…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2019-02-13 Francesco Pannarale , Ronaldas Macas , Patrick J. Sutton

We present algorithms for searching for azimuthally symmetric features in CMB data. Our algorithms are fully optimal for masked all-sky data with inhomogeneous noise, computationally fast, simple to implement, and make no approximations. We…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-15 Stephen Osborne , Leonardo Senatore , Kendrick Smith

As the sensitivity and observing time of gravitational-wave detectors increase, a more diverse range of signals is expected to be observed from a variety of sources. Especially, long-lived gravitational-wave transients have received…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-11-24 Adrian Macquet , Marie-Anne Bizouard , Nelson Christensen , Michael Coughlin

We present a comprehensive comparison of different Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling methods, evaluating their performance on both standard test problems and cosmological parameter estimation. Our analysis includes traditional…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-02-28 Denitsa Staicova

While Bayesian methods are extremely popular in statistics and machine learning, their application to massive datasets is often challenging, when possible at all. Indeed, the classical MCMC algorithms are prohibitively slow when both the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-23 Pierre Alquier , James Ridgway

The increasing sensitivities of pulsar timing arrays to ultra-low frequency (nHz) gravitational waves promises to achieve direct gravitational wave detection within the next 5-10 years. While there are many parallel efforts being made in…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2015-05-27 C. Messenger , A. Lommen , P. Demorest , S. Ransom

High-dimensional Bayesian variable selection problems are often solved using computationally expensive Markov Chain Montle Carlo (MCMC) techniques. Recently, a Bayesian variable selection technique was developed for continuous data using…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-19 Patrick McDermott , John Snyder , Rebecca Willison