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Forecasting on sparse multivariate time series (MTS) aims to model the predictors of future values of time series given their incomplete past, which is important for many emerging applications. However, most existing methods process MTS's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-04 Yinjun Wu , Jingchao Ni , Wei Cheng , Bo Zong , Dongjin Song , Zhengzhang Chen , Yanchi Liu , Xuchao Zhang , Haifeng Chen , Susan Davidson

A new model-based procedure is developed for sparse clustering of functional data that aims to classify a sample of curves into homogeneous groups while jointly detecting the most informative portions of domain. The proposed method is…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-04 Fabio Centofanti , Antonio Lepore , Biagio Palumbo

Model-based clustering is widely used for identifying and distinguishing types of diseases. However, modern biomedical data coming with high dimensions make it challenging to perform the model estimation in traditional cluster analysis. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-22 Kazeem Kareem , Fan Dai

Commonly-used clustering algorithms usually find ellipsoidal, spherical or other regular-structured clusters, but are more challenged when the underlying groups lack formal structure or definition. Syncytial clustering is the name that we…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-30 Israel Almodóvar-Rivera , Ranjan Maitra

We present a new subspace-based method to construct probabilistic models for high-dimensional data and highlight its use in anomaly detection. The approach is based on a statistical estimation of probability density using densities of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-16 Cetin Savkli , Catherine Schwartz

Copulas provide a modular parameterization of multivariate distributions that decouples the modeling of marginals from the dependencies between them. Gaussian Mixture Copula Model (GMCM) is a highly flexible copula that can model many kinds…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-29 Siva Rajesh Kasa , Vaibhav Rajan

Single-molecule spectroscopy (SMS) is an exceptionally sensitive technique, but its inherently limited photon budget produces noisy data that can readily lead to subjective analyses, fitting errors, and reduced statistical power, obscuring…

Biological Physics · Physics 2026-03-19 Michael Lovemore , Joshua Botha , Bertus van Heerden , Tjaart Kruger

Selecting interpretable feature sets in underdetermined ($n \ll p$) and highly correlated regimes constitutes a fundamental challenge in data science, particularly when analyzing physical measurements. In such settings, multiple distinct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Kateřina Henclová , Václav Šmídl

We present algorithms for nonparametric regression in settings where the data are obtained sequentially. While traditional estimators select bandwidths that depend upon the sample size, for sequential data the effective sample size is…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-03 Haijie Gu , John Lafferty

In this paper, we propose a novel method of model-based time series clustering with mixtures of general state space models (MSSMs). Each component of MSSMs is associated with each cluster. An advantage of the proposed method is that it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Ryoichi Ishizuka , Takashi Imai , Kaoru Kawamoto

Semi-supervised clustering is the task of clustering data points into clusters where only a fraction of the points are labelled. The true number of clusters in the data is often unknown and most models require this parameter as an input.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-09-27 Amar Shah , Zoubin Ghahramani

A novel elastic time distance for sparse multivariate functional data is proposed and used to develop a robust distance-based two-layer partition clustering method. With this proposed distance, the new approach not only can detect correct…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-21 Zhuo Qu , Wenlin Dai , Marc G. Genton

We propose Dirichlet Process mixtures of Generalized Linear Models (DP-GLM), a new method of nonparametric regression that accommodates continuous and categorical inputs, and responses that can be modeled by a generalized linear model. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-07-16 Lauren A. Hannah , David M. Blei , Warren B. Powell

Gaussian Mixture models (GMMs) are a powerful tool for clustering, classification and density estimation when clustering structures are embedded in the data. The presence of missing values can largely impact the GMMs estimation process,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-05 Alessio Serafini , Thomas Brendan Murphy , Luca Scrucca

Functional data analysis (FDA) is an important modern paradigm for handling infinite-dimensional data. An important task in FDA is model-based clustering, which organizes functional populations into groups via subpopulation structures. The…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-14 Hien D Nguyen , Geoffrey J McLachlan , Jeremy F P Ullmann , Andrew L Janke

Subsampling is a widely used and effective approach for addressing the computational challenges posed by massive datasets. Substantial progress has been made in developing non-uniform, probability-based subsampling schemes that prioritize…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-07 Dingyi Wang , Haiying Wang , Qingpei Hu

In recent years, there has been a growing demand to discern clusters of subjects in datasets characterized by a large set of features. Often, these clusters may be highly variable in size and present partial hierarchical structures. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-01 Lorenzo Schiavon , Mattia Stival

The impact of an extreme climate event depends strongly on its geographical scale. Max-stable processes can be used for the statistical investigation of climate extremes and their spatial dependencies on a continuous area. Most existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-14 Justus Contzen , Thorsten Dickhaus , Gerrit Lohmann

We study the clustering problem for mixtures of bounded covariance distributions, under a fine-grained separation assumption. Specifically, given samples from a $k$-component mixture distribution $D = \sum_{i =1}^k w_i P_i$, where each $w_i…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-20 Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel M. Kane , Jasper C. H. Lee , Thanasis Pittas

Recursive estimation of nonlinear dynamical systems is an important problem that arises in several engineering applications. Consistent and accurate propagation of uncertainties is important to ensuring good estimation performance. It is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-03-16 Dilshad Raihan Akkam Veettil , Suman Chakravorty