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To facilitate effective decision-making, precipitation datasets should include uncertainty estimates. Quantile regression with machine learning has been proposed for issuing such estimates. Distributional regression offers distinct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Georgia Papacharalampous , Hristos Tyralis , Nikolaos Doulamis , Anastasios Doulamis

We consider the analysis of continuous repeated measurement outcomes that are collected through time, also known as longitudinal data. A standard framework for analysing data of this kind is a linear Gaussian mixed-effects model within…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-10 Özgür Asar , David Bolin , Peter J. Diggle , Jonas Wallin

We present a new framework to detect various types of variable objects within massive astronomical time-series data. Assuming that the dominant population of objects is non-variable, we find outliers from this population by using a…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2010-01-17 Min-Su Shin , Michael Sekora , Yong-Ik Byun

Linear mixed models are widely used for clustered data, but their reliance on parametric forms limits flexibility in complex and high-dimensional settings. In contrast, gradient boosting methods achieve high predictive accuracy through…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-04 Mitchell L. Prevett , Francis K. C. Hui , Zhi Yang Tho , A. H. Welsh , Anton H. Westveld

We investigate the parameter estimation of regression models with fixed group effects, when the group variable is missing while group related variables are available. This problem involves clustering to infer the missing group variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-29 Matthieu Marbac , Mohammed Sedki , Christophe Biernacki , Vincent Vandewalle

The problem of data clustering is one of the most important in data analysis. It can be problematic when dealing with experimental data characterized by measurement uncertainties and errors. Our paper proposes a recursive scheme for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-12 Alicja Miniak-Górecka , Krzysztof Podlaski , Tomasz Gwizdałła

In this paper, we consider the task of clustering a set of individual time series while modeling each cluster, that is, model-based time series clustering. The task requires a parametric model with sufficient flexibility to describe the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Ryohei Umatani , Takashi Imai , Kaoru Kawamoto , Shutaro Kunimasa

Nowadays, weather forecasts are commonly generated by ensemble forecasts based on multiple runs of numerical weather prediction models. However, such forecasts are usually miscalibrated and/or biased, thus require statistical…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-13 David Jobst

Gaussian Mixture Models (GMM) do not adapt well to curved and strongly nonlinear data. However, we can use Gaussians in the curvilinear coordinate systems to solve this problem. Moreover, such a solution allows for the adaptation of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Krzysztof Byrski , Przemysław Spurek , Jacek Tabor

The Gaussian mixture model (GMM) provides a simple yet principled framework for clustering, with properties suitable for statistical inference. In this paper, we propose a new model-based clustering algorithm, called EGMM (evidential GMM),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Lianmeng Jiao , Thierry Denoeux , Zhun-ga Liu , Quan Pan

Determining the number of clusters is a fundamental issue in data clustering. Several algorithms have been proposed, including centroid-based algorithms using the Euclidean distance and model-based algorithms using a mixture of probability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Ryosuke Motegi , Yoichi Seki

In this paper we propose a mixture model, SparseMix, for clustering of sparse high dimensional binary data, which connects model-based with centroid-based clustering. Every group is described by a representative and a probability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-12 Marek Śmieja , Krzysztof Hajto , Jacek Tabor

Astronomical data often suffer from noise and incompleteness. We extend the common mixtures-of-Gaussians density estimation approach to account for situations with a known sample incompleteness by simultaneous imputation from the current…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-09-17 Peter Melchior , Andy D. Goulding

This paper presents a novel clustering algorithm from the SPINEX (Similarity-based Predictions with Explainable Neighbors Exploration) algorithmic family. The newly proposed clustering variant leverages the concept of similarity and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-11 MZ Naser , Ahmed Naser

Gaussian mixture models (GMM) are the most widely used statistical model for the $k$-means clustering problem and form a popular framework for clustering in machine learning and data analysis. In this paper, we propose a natural semi-random…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-11-27 Pranjal Awasthi , Aravindan Vijayaraghavan

As with the advancement of geographical information systems, non-Gaussian spatial data sets are getting larger and more diverse. This study develops a general framework for fast and flexible non-Gaussian regression, especially for…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-23 Daisuke Murakami , Mami Kajita , Seiji Kajita , Tomoko Matsui

Mixtures of Gaussian factors are powerful tools for modeling an unobserved heterogeneous population, offering - at the same time - dimension reduction and model-based clustering. Unfortunately, the high prevalence of spurious solutions and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-08 L. A. García-Escudero , A. Gordaliza , F. Greselin , S. Ingrassia , A. Mayo-Iscar

Clustering is a widely used technique with a long and rich history in a variety of areas. However, most existing algorithms do not scale well to large datasets, or are missing theoretical guarantees of convergence. This paper introduces a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-16 Yijia Zhou , Kyle A. Gallivan , Adrian Barbu

Functional mixed models are widely useful for regression analysis with dependent functional data, including longitudinal functional data with scalar predictors. However, existing algorithms for Bayesian inference with these models only…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-14 Thomas Y. Sun , Daniel R. Kowal

A model involving Gaussian processes (GPs) is introduced to simultaneously handle multi-task learning, clustering, and prediction for multiple functional data. This procedure acts as a model-based clustering method for functional data as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-24 Arthur Leroy , Pierre Latouche , Benjamin Guedj , Servane Gey