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In this paper, we propose a dynamical systems perspective of the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm. More precisely, we can analyze the EM algorithm as a nonlinear state-space dynamical system. The EM algorithm is widely adopted for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-05 Orlando Romero , Sarthak Chatterjee , Sérgio Pequito

Topology optimization under uncertainty or reliability-based topology optimization is usually numerically very expensive. This is mainly due to the fact that an accurate evaluation of the probabilistic model requires the system to be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-28 Lukas Pflug , Michael Stingl , Andrian Uihlein

Maximum likelihood estimators are proposed for the parameters and the densities in a semiparametric density ratio model in which the nonparametric baseline density is approximated by the Bernstein polynomial model. The EM algorithm is used…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-02 Zhong Guan

The paper studies asymptotic properties of estimators of multidimensional stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motions from high-frequency discrete data. Consistency and central limit properties of a class of estimators of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-07 Arnab Ganguly

If the log likelihood is approximately quadratic with constant Hessian, then the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is approximately normally distributed. No other assumptions are required. We do not need independent and identically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-06 Charles J. Geyer

Existing optimal estimators of nonequilibrium path-ensemble averages are shown to fall within the framework of extended bridge sampling. Using this framework, we derive a general minimal-variance estimator that can combine nonequilibrium…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-12-06 David D. L. Minh , John D. Chodera

We study asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood estimators for Heston models based on continuous time observations of the log-price process. We distinguish three cases: subcritical (also called ergodic), critical and supercritical. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-25 Matyas Barczy , Gyula Pap

We consider covariance parameter estimation for a Gaussian process under inequality constraints (boundedness, monotonicity or convexity) in fixed-domain asymptotics. We address the estimation of the variance parameter and the estimation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-04 François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux , Andrés F. López-Lopera

Maximum likelihood estimation problems are, in general, intractable optimization problems. As a result, it is common to approximate the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) using convex relaxations. In some cases, the relaxation is tight: it…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-08-15 Afonso S. Bandeira , Nicolas Boumal , Amit Singer

We consider the problem of modelling restricted interactions between continuously-observed time series as given by a known static graph (or network) structure. For this purpose, we define a parametric multivariate Graph Ornstein-Uhlenbeck…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-08 Valentin Courgeau , Almut E. D. Veraart

Stochastic gradient algorithms are more and more studied since they can deal efficiently and online with large samples in high dimensional spaces. In this paper, we first establish a Central Limit Theorem for these estimates as well as for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-17 Antoine Godichon-Baggioni

Motivated by studying asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) in stochastic volatility (SV) models, in this paper we investigate likelihood estimation in state space models. We first prove, under some regularity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-15 Cheng-Der Fuh

The spatially dependent wave speed of a stochastic wave equation driven by space-time white noise is estimated using the local observation scheme. Given a fixed time horizon, we prove asymptotic normality for an augmented maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-30 Eric Ziebell

The main purpose of this paper is to provide an asymptotically optimal test. The proposed statistic is of Neyman-Pearson-type when the parameters are estimated with a particular kind of estimators. It is shown that the proposed estimators…

Applications · Statistics 2011-10-04 Tewfik Lounis

We consider regression models involving multilayer perceptrons (MLP) with one hidden layer and a Gaussian noise. The data are assumed to be generated by a true MLP model and the estimation of the parameters of the MLP is done by maximizing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-12-01 Joseph Rynkiewicz

We introduce a new concept of approximation applicable to decision problems and functions, inspired by Bayesian probability. From the perspective of a Bayesian reasoner with limited computational resources, the answer to a problem that…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2025-06-27 Vanessa Kosoy , Alexander Appel

The paper concerns the asymptotic distribution of the mixture density estimator, proposed by Oppenheim et al 2006, in the aggregation/disaggregation problem of random parameter AR(1) process. We prove that, under mild conditions on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-02-07 Dmitrij Celov , Remigijus Leipus , Anne Philippe

We investigate statistical properties of the optimal value of the Sample Average Approximation of stochastic programs, continuing the study in Kr\"atschmer (2023). Central Limit Theorem type results are derived for the optimal value. As a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-12 Volker Krätschmer

We consider a stochastic differential equation with additive fractional noise with Hurst parameter $H>1/2$, and a non-linear drift depending on an unknown parameter. We show the Local Asymptotic Normality property (LAN) of this parametric…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-07 Yanghui Liu , Eulalia Nualart , Samy Tindel

Biased stochastic estimators, such as finite-differences for noisy gradient estimation, often contain parameters that need to be properly chosen to balance impacts from the bias and the variance. While the optimal order of these parameters…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-14 Henry Lam , Xinyu Zhang , Xuhui Zhang