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We establish inequalities for assessing the distance between the distribution of a (possibly multidimensional) functional of a Poisson random measure and that of a Gaussian element. Our bounds only involve add-one cost operators at the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Raphaël Lachièze-Rey , Giovanni Peccati , Xiaochuan Yang

The question of whether the central limit theorem (CLT) holds for the total number of edges in exponential random graph models (ERGMs) in the subcritical region of parameters has remained an open problem. In this paper, we establish the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-09 Xiao Fang , Song-Hao Liu , Qi-Man Shao , Yi-Kun Zhao

Central limit theorems (CLTs) for high-dimensional random vectors with dimension possibly growing with the sample size have received a lot of attention in the recent times. Chernozhukov et al. (2017) proved a Berry--Esseen type result for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-26 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Somabha Mukherjee , Debapratim Banerjee

In this paper we consider a branching particle system consisting of particles moving according to the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process in $\Rd$ and undergoing a binary, supercritical branching with a constant rate $\lambda>0$. This system is…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-23 Radosław Adamczak , Piotr Miłoś

This paper provides a Central Limit Theorem (CLT) for a process $\{\theta_n, n\geq 0\}$ satisfying a stochastic approximation (SA) equation of the form $\theta_{n+1} = \theta_n + \gamma_{n+1} H(\theta_n,X_{n+1})$; a CLT for the associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-13 Gersende Fort

We study fluctuations of mean-field interacting particle systems around their McKean--Vlasov limit. Our main result provides a uniform-in-time quantitative central limit theorem for the fluctuation process, with convergence rate of order…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Solesne Bourguin , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We establish asymptotically Gaussian fluctuations for functionals of a large class of spin models and strongly correlated random point fields, achieving near-optimal rates. For spin models, we demonstrate Gaussian asymptotics for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Tien-Cuong Dinh , Subhroshekhar Ghosh , Hoang-Son Tran , Manh-Hung Tran

We analyze the fluctuations of incomplete $U$-statistics over a triangular array of independent random variables. We give criteria for a Central Limit Theorem (CLT, for short) to hold in the sense that we prove that an appropriately scaled…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-24 Matthias Löwe , Sara Terveer

The general model of coagulation is considered. For basic classes of unbounded coagulation kernels the central limit theorem (CLT) is obtained for the fluctuations around the dynamic law of large numbers (LLN). A rather precise rate of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Vassili Kolokoltsov

Let $Q$ be a transition probability on a measurable space $E$ which admits an invariant probability measure, let $(X_n)_n$ be a Markov chain associated to $Q$, and let $\xi$ be a real-valued measurable function on $E$, and $S_n=\sum…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Loïc Hervé

Non-asymptotic central limit theorem (CLT) rates play a central role in modern machine learning and operations research. In this paper, we study CLT rates for multivariate dependent data in Wasserstein-$p$ ($W_p$) distance, for general…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Yixuan Zhang , Qiaomin Xie

We consider stochastic optimization problems with the dual tasks of (i) effectively finding the optimizer and (ii) reliably conducting statistical inference for the optimal objective function value. We find that classical simulation…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 Yuhang Wu , Zeyu Zheng , Yingfei Wang , Guangyu Zhang , Zuohua Zhang , Chu Wang

We show central limit theorems (CLT) for the Stieltjes transforms or more general analytic functions of symmetric matrices with independent heavy tailed entries, including entries in the domain of attraction of $\alpha$-stable laws and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-12 Florent Benaych-Georges , Alice Guionnet , Camille Male

We prove a Quantitative Functional Central Limit Theorem for one-hidden-layer neural networks with generic activation function. The rates of convergence that we establish depend heavily on the smoothness of the activation function, and they…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-06 Valentina Cammarota , Domenico Marinucci , Michele Salvi , Stefano Vigogna

Recent work in dynamic causal inference introduced a class of discrete-time stochastic processes that generalize martingale difference sequences and arrays as follows: the random variates in each sequence have expectation zero given certain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-05 Walter Dempsey , Easton Huch

Random spatial networks-that is, graphs whose connectivity is governed by geometric proximity-have emerged as fundamental models for systems constrained by an underlying spatial structure. A prototypical example is the random geometric…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-20 Christian Hirsch , Kyeongsik Nam , Moritz Otto

In this paper we study the functional central limit theorem for stationary Markov chains with self-adjoint operator and general state space. We investigate the case when the variance of the partial sum is not asymptotically linear in n; and…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-10 Martial Longla , Costel Peligrad , Magda Peligrad

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of a fully-coupled slow-fast McKean-Vlasov stochastic system. Using the non-linear Poisson equation on Wasserstein space, we first establish the strong convergence in the averaging principle…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-14 Yun Li , Longjie Xie

We derive quantitative bounds on the rate of convergence in $L^1$ Wasserstein distance of general M-estimators, with an almost sharp (up to a logarithmic term) behavior in the number of observations. We focus on situations where the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-19 François Bachoc , Max Fathi

We study the central limit theorem in the non-normal domain of attraction to symmetric $\alpha$-stable laws for $0<\alpha\leq2$. We show that for i.i.d. random variables $X_i$, the convergence rate in $L^\infty$ of both the densities and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-24 Christoph Börgers , Claude Greengard