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Accurate forecasts of the number of newly infected people during an epidemic are critical for making effective timely decisions. This paper addresses this challenge using the SIMLR model, which incorporates machine learning (ML) into the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-04 Roberto Vega , Leonardo Flores , Russell Greiner

Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) models have been used for decades to understand epidemic outbreak dynamics. We develop an SIR model specifically designed to study the effects of population behavior with respect to health and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-03 Jasmin Nunuvero , Angelique Santiago , Moshe Cohen , Anca Radulescu

Agent-based modeling (ABM) has emerged as a powerful tool in social policy-making and socio-economics, offering a flexible and dynamic approach to understanding and simulating complex systems. While traditional analytic methods may be less…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Shayan Firouzian Haji

The current global health emergency triggered by the pandemic COVID-19 is one of the greatest challenges mankind face in this generation. Computational simulations have played an important role to predict the development of the current…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-11 Kok Yew Ng , Meei Mei Gui

Computational disease modeling plays a crucial role in understanding and controlling the transmission of infectious diseases. While agent-based models (ABMs) provide detailed insights into individual dynamics, accurately replicating human…

Parameter calibration is a significant challenge in agent-based modelling and simulation (ABMS). An agent-based model's (ABM) complexity grows as the number of parameters required to be calibrated increases. This parameter expansion leads…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-20 Rylan Perumal , Terence L van Zyl

The SIR model is one of the most prototypical compartmental models in epidemiology. Generalizing this ordinary differential equation (ODE) framework into a spatially distributed partial differential equation (PDE) model is a considerable…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-07-11 Su Yang , Weiqi Chu , Panayotis Kevrekidis

There is increasing evidence that one of the most difficult problems in trying to control the ongoing COVID-19 epidemic is the presence of a large cohort of asymptomatic infectives. We develop a SIR-type model taking into account the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-29 Giuseppe Gaeta

Individual-based models of contagious processes are useful for predicting epidemic trajectories and informing intervention strategies. In such models, the incorporation of contact network information can capture the non-randomness and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-09 Maxwell H. Wang , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

We consider state and parameter estimation for compartmental models having both time-varying and time-invariant parameters. Though the described Bayesian computational framework is general, we look at a specific application to the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Brandon Robinson , Philippe Bisaillon , Jodi D. Edwards , Tetyana Kendzerska , Mohammad Khalil , Dominique Poirel , Abhijit Sarkar

We study the spreading of an infection within an SIS epidemiological model on a network. Susceptible agents are given the opportunity of breaking their links with infected agents, and reconnecting those links with the rest of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-07-11 Damian H. Zanette

Despite the extensive use of the agent technology in the Supply Chain Management field, its integration with Advanced Planning and Scheduling (APS) tools still represents a promising field with several open research questions. Specifically,…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2011-07-19 Luis Antonio de Santa-Eulalia , Sophie D'Amours , Jean-Marc Frayret

The Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemic model is extensively used for the study of the spread of infectious diseases. Even that the exact solution of the model can be obtained in an exact parametric form, in order to perform the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-17 Tiberiu Harko , Man Kwong Mak

Agent-based simulation provides a powerful tool for in silico system modeling. However, these simulations do not provide built-in methods for uncertainty quantification (UQ). Within these types of models a typical approach to UQ is to run…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-17 Adam Spannaus , Sifat Afroj Moon , John Gounley , Heidi A. Hanson

An agent-based model (ABM) is a computational model in which the local interactions of autonomous agents with each other and with their environment give rise to global properties within a given domain. As the detail and complexity of these…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-12-01 Daniel A. Cruz , Jack Toppen , Eunbi Park , Melissa L. Kemp , Elena S. Dimitrova

A plethora of prediction models of SARS-CoV-2 pandemic were proposed in the past. Prediction performances not only depend on the structure and features of the model, but also on its parametrization. Official databases are often biased due…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-27 Yuri Kheifetz , Holger Kirsten , Markus Scholz

This paper presents a simple continuous-time linear vaccination-based control strategy for a SEIR (susceptible plus infected plus infectious plus removed populations) propagation disease model. The model takes into account the total…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-03-28 M. De la Sen , A. Ibeas , S. Alonso-Quesada

We build an agent-based model of incarceration based on the SIS model of infectious disease propagation. Our central hypothesis is that the observed racial disparities in incarceration rates between Black and White Americans can be…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-06 Kristian Lum , Samarth Swarup , Stephen Eubank , James Hawdon

Agent-based models have proven to be useful tools in supporting decision-making processes in different application domains. The advent of modern computers and supercomputers has enabled these bottom-up approaches to realistically model…

Recent work from public health experts suggests that incorporating human behavior is crucial in faithfully modeling an epidemic. We present a reaction-diffusion partial differential equation SIR-type population model for an epidemic…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Christian Parkinson , Weinan Wang
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