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Multivariate processes with long-range dependent properties are found in a large number of applications including finance, geophysics and neuroscience. For real data applications, the correlation between time series is crucial. Usual…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-02 Sophie Achard , Irène Gannaz

Recently, the concept of tail dependence has been discussed in financial applications related to market or credit risk. The multivariate extreme value theory is a proper tool to measure and model dependence, for example, of large loss…

Applications · Statistics 2011-09-27 Marta Ferreira

Integer-order differential operators were originally used to describe local and isotropic effects, in both space and time. However, in fields like biology, the modelling of complex phenomena with spatial heterogeneity necessitates more…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-18 Cypres Verbeeck , Nikolaos Sfakianakis

Heavy-tailed distributions naturally occur in many real life problems. Unfortunately, it is typically not possible to compute inference in closed-form in graphical models which involve such heavy-tailed distributions. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-03-22 Danny Bickson , Carlos Guestrin

In this paper we study precise large deviations for the partial sums of a stationary sequence with a subexponential marginal distribution. Our main focus is on distributions which either have a regularly varying or a lognormal-type tail. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-15 Thomas Mikosch , Igor Rodionov

By analogy with the theory of Backward Stochastic Differential Equations, we define Backward Stochastic Difference Equations on spaces related to discrete time, finite state processes. This paper considers these processes as constructions…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-12 Samuel N. Cohen , Robert J. Elliott

These lecture notes cover basic automata-theoretic concepts and logical formalisms for the modeling and verification of concurrent and distributed systems. Many of these concepts naturally extend the classical automata and logics over…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Benedikt Bollig , Paul Gastin

This paper is devoted to establish an invariance principle where the limit process is a multifractional Gaussian process with a multifractional function which takes its values in $(1/2,1)$. Some properties, such as regularity and local…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Serge Cohen , Renaud Marty

In this paper, we develop two stochastic models where the variable under consideration follows Harris distribution. The mean and variance of the processes are derived and the processes are shown to be non-stationary. In the second model,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 S Sherly , M K Jose , E Sandhya , N Raju

Stochastic volatility processes with heavy-tailed innovations are a well-known model for financial time series. In these models, the extremes of the log returns are mainly driven by the extremes of the i.i.d. innovation sequence which leads…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-25 Anja Janssen , Holger Drees

Experiments in Agricultural Sciences often involve the analysis of longitudinal nominal polytomous variables, both in individual and grouped structures. Marginal and mixed-effects models are two common approaches. The distributional…

Assessing the probability of occurrence of extreme events is a crucial issue in various fields like finance, insurance, telecommunication or environmental sciences. In a multivariate framework, the tail dependence is characterized by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-26 Nicolas Goix , Anne Sabourin , Stéphan Clémençon

We propose two novel ways of introducing dependence among Poisson counts through the use of latent variables in a three levels hierarchical model. Marginal distributions of the random variables of interest are Poisson with strict…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-06 Luis E. Nieto-Barajas

Reaction diffusion systems with Turing instability and mass conservation are studied. In such systems, abrupt decays of stripes follow quasi-stationary states in sequence. At steady state, the distance between stripes is much longer than…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2009-11-11 Shuji Ishihara , Mikiya Otsuji , Atsushi Mochizuki

Mathematical models for complex systems are often accompanied with uncertainties. The goal of this paper is to extract a stochastic differential equation governing model with observation on stationary probability distributions. We develop a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-04-05 Xiaoli Chen , Hui Wang , Jinqiao Duan

We consider stationary time series $\{X_j, j \in Z\} whose finite dimensional distributions are regularly varying with extremal independence. We assume that for each $h \geq 1$, conditionally on $X_0$ to exceed a threshold tending to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-26 Clemonell Bilayi-Biakana , Rafal Kulik , Philippe Soulier

We numerically study the distribution function of the conductance (transmission) in the one-dimensional tight-binding Anderson and periodic-on-average superlattice models in the region of fluctuation states where single parameter scaling is…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 L. I. Deych , M. V. Erementchouk , A. A. Lisyansky , Alexey Yamilov , Hui Cao

A two-state master equation based decision making model has been shown to generate phase transitions, to be topologically complex and to manifest temporal complexity through an inverse power-law probability distribution function in the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-06-22 Bruce J. West , Malgorzata Turalska , Paolo Grigolini

We define and study the multiparameter fractional Brownian motion. This process is a generalization of both the classical fractional Brownian motion and the multiparameter Brownian motion, when the condition of independence is relaxed.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Erick Herbin , Ely Merzbach

Some probabilistic aspects of the number variance statistic are investigated. Infinite systems of independent Brownian motions and symmetric alpha-stable processes are used to construct new examples of processes which exhibit both divergent…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ben Hambly , Liza Jones