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Learning algorithms that aggregate predictions from an ensemble of diverse base classifiers consistently outperform individual methods. Many of these strategies have been developed in a supervised setting, where the accuracy of each base…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-14 Mehmet Eren Ahsen , Robert Vogel , Gustavo Stolovitzky

Propensity scores are often used for stratification of treatment and control groups of subjects in observational data to remove confounding bias when estimating of causal effect of the treatment on an outcome in so-called potential outcome…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-24 Priyantha Wijayatunga

In this paper, we address the identification problem for the systems characterized by linear time-invariant dynamics with bilinear observation models. More precisely, we consider a suitable parametric description of the system and formulate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-24 Diyou Liu , Mohammad Khosravi

This paper addresses the problem of providing robust estimators under a functional logistic regression model. Logistic regression is a popular tool in classification problems with two populations. As in functional linear regression,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-16 Graciela Boente , Marina Valdora

Uncertainty quantification is a central challenge in reliable and trustworthy machine learning. Naive measures such as last-layer scores are well-known to yield overconfident estimates in the context of overparametrized neural networks.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-24 Lucas Clarté , Bruno Loureiro , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

We propose a method for combining probabilistic outputs of classifiers to make a single consensus class prediction when no further information about the individual classifiers is available, beyond that they have been trained for the same…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-02 Jordan F. Masakuna , Simukai W. Utete , Steve Kroon

Learning linear predictors with the logistic loss---both in stochastic and online settings---is a fundamental task in machine learning and statistics, with direct connections to classification and boosting. Existing "fast rates" for this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-17 Dylan J. Foster , Satyen Kale , Haipeng Luo , Mehryar Mohri , Karthik Sridharan

L1-norm regularized logistic regression models are widely used for analyzing data with binary response. In those analyses, fusing regression coefficients is useful for detecting groups of variables. This paper proposes a binomial logistic…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-15 Yuko Kakikawa , Shuichi Kawano

In epidemiology and social sciences, propensity score methods are popular for estimating treatment effects using observational data, and multiple imputation is popular for handling covariate missingness. However, how to appropriately use…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-30 Trang Quynh Nguyen , Elizabeth A. Stuart

Instrumental variable methods allow for inference about the treatment effect by controlling for unmeasured confounding in randomized experiments with noncompliance. However, many studies do not consider the observed compliance behavior in…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-15 Kwonsang Lee , Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Jing Qin , Dylan S. Small

A set of probabilistic predictions is well calibrated if the events that are predicted to occur with probability p do in fact occur about p fraction of the time. Well calibrated predictions are particularly important when machine learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-01-14 Mahdi Pakdaman Naeini , Gregory F. Cooper , Milos Hauskrecht

Positive Unlabeled (PU) learning is widely used in many applications, where a binary classifier is trained on the datasets consisting of only positive and unlabeled samples. In this paper, we improve PU learning over state-of-the-art from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-22 Liwei Jiang , Dan Li , Qisheng Wang , Shuai Wang , Songtao Wang

We present a family of expectation-maximization (EM) algorithms for binary and negative-binomial logistic regression, drawing a sharp connection with the variational-Bayes algorithm of Jaakkola and Jordan (2000). Indeed, our results allow a…

Computation · Statistics 2013-06-04 James G. Scott , Liang Sun

Unmeasured covariates constitute one of the important problems in causal inference. Even if there are some unmeasured covariates, some instrumental variable methods such as a two-stage residual inclusion (2SRI) estimator, or a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-30 Shunichiro Orihara

Supervised learning with missing data aims at building the best prediction of a target output based on partially-observed inputs. Major approaches to address this problem can be decomposed into $(i)$ impute-then-predict strategies, which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-14 Angel D Reyero Lobo , Alexis Ayme , Claire Boyer , Erwan Scornet

In this work, we introduce a modified (rescaled) likelihood for imbalanced logistic regression. This new approach makes easier the use of exponential priors and the computation of lasso regularization path. Precisely, we study a limiting…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-19 Vincent Runge

We revisit the problem of the existence of the maximum likelihood estimate for multi-class logistic regression. We show that one method of ensuring its existence is by assigning positive probability to every class in the sample dataset. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-09 Dwight Nwaigwe , Marek Rychlik

Negative binomial regression is commonly employed to analyze overdispersed count data. With small to moderate sample sizes, the maximum likelihood estimator of the dispersion parameter may be subject to a significant bias, that in turn…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-06 Euloge Clovis Kenne Pagui , Alessandra Salvan , Nicola Sartori

We introduce estimation and test procedures through divergence optimization for discrete or continuous parametric models. This approach is based on a new dual representation for divergences. We treat point estimation and tests for simple…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Michel Broniatowski , Amor Keziou

The classification problem of structured data can be solved with different strategies: a supervised learning approach, starting from a labeled training set, and an unsupervised learning one, where only the structure of the patterns in the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-11-09 Mauro Pastore