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We present a model of contagion that unifies and generalizes existing models of the spread of social influences and micro-organismal infections. Our model incorporates individual memory of exposure to a contagious entity (e.g., a rumor or…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-06-01 Peter Sheridan Dodds , Duncan J. Watts

Micro-blogging systems such as Twitter expose digital traces of social discourse with an unprecedented degree of resolution of individual behaviors. They offer an opportunity to investigate how a large-scale social system responds to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-04-24 Janette Lehmann , Bruno Gonçalves , José J. Ramasco , Ciro Cattuto

This paper presents a new approach to crowd behaviour anomaly detection that uses a set of efficiently computed, easily interpretable, scene-level holistic features. This low-dimensional descriptor combines two features from the literature:…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-06-17 M. Marsden , K. McGuinness , S. Little , N. E. O'Connor

Large-scale online campaigns, malicious or otherwise, require a significant degree of coordination among participants, which sparked interest in the study of coordinated online behavior. State-of-the-art methods for detecting coordinated…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-05-10 Serena Tardelli , Leonardo Nizzoli , Maurizio Tesconi , Mauro Conti , Preslav Nakov , Giovanni Da San Martino , Stefano Cresci

Immediately following a disaster event, such as an earthquake, estimates of the damage extent play a key role in informing the coordination of response and recovery efforts. We develop a novel impact estimation tool that leverages a…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-15 Max Anderson Loake , Hamish Patten , David Steinsaltz

In the attention economy, understanding how individuals manage limited attention is critical. We introduce a simple model describing the decay of a user's engagement when facing multiple inputs. We analytically show that individual…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-05 Jaume Ojer , Filippo Radicchi , Santo Fortunato , Michele Starnini , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras

A key ingredient in social contagion dynamics is reinforcement, as adopting a certain social behavior requires verification of its credibility and legitimacy. Memory of non-redundant information plays an important role in reinforcement,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-07-29 Wei Wang , Ming Tang , Hai-Feng Zhang , Ying-Cheng Lai

The integration of social media and artificial intelligence (AI) into disaster management, particularly for earthquake response, represents a profound evolution in emergency management practices. In the digital age, real-time information…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Kalin Kopanov , Velizar Varbanov , Tatiana Atanasova

We study dynamical phase transitions (DPTs) in quantum many-body systems with infinite-range interaction, and present a theory connecting the two kinds of known DPTs (sometimes referred to as DPTs-I and DPTs-II) with the concept of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-07-29 Ángel L. Corps , Armando Relaño

We suggest a model of a multi-agent society of decision makers taking decisions being based on two criteria, one is the utility of the prospects and the other is the attractiveness of the considered prospects. The model is the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-01-17 V. I. Yukalov , E. P. Yukalova , D. Sornette

Catastrophes of all kinds can be roughly defined as short duration-large amplitude events following and followed by long periods of "ripening". Major earthquakes surely belong to the class of 'catastrophic' events. Because of the space-time…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-04 Randall D. Peters , Martine Le Berre , Yves Pomeau

Joint modelling of longitudinal and time-to-event data has received much attention recently. Increasingly, extensions to standard joint modelling approaches are being proposed to handle complex data structures commonly encountered in…

The Internet not only has changed the dynamics of our collective attention, but also through the transactional log of online activities, provides us with the opportunity to study attention dynamics at scale. In this paper, we particularly…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-05 Ruth García-Gavilanes , Milena Tsvetkova , Taha Yasseri

Dementia currently affects about 50 million people worldwide, and this number is rising. Since there is still no cure, the primary focus remains on preventing modifiable risk factors such as cardiovascular factors. It is now recognized that…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-14 Léonie Courcoul , Catherine Helmer , Antoine Barbieri , Hélène Jacqmin-Gadda

Change-point models are frequently considered when modeling phenomena where a regime shift occurs at an unknown time. In ageing research, these models are commonly adopted to estimate of the onset of cognitive decline. Yet commonly used…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-13 Fernando Massa , Marco Scavino , Graciela Muniz-Terrera

Dependent survival data arise in many contexts. One context is clustered survival data, where survival data are collected on clusters such as families or medical centers. Dependent survival data also arise when multiple survival times are…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-12 Malka Gorfine , David M. Zucker

Nowadays, events usually burst and are propagated online through multiple modern media like social networks and search engines. There exists various research discussing the event dissemination trends on individual medium, while few studies…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2017-12-25 Tianxiang Gao , Weiming Bao , Jinning Li , Xiaofeng Gao , Boyuan Kong , Yan Tang , Guihai Chen , Xuan Li

Social media has become an important tool to share information about crisis events such as natural disasters and mass attacks. Detecting actionable posts that contain useful information requires rapid analysis of huge volume of data in…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Evangelia Spiliopoulou , Salvador Medina Maza , Eduard Hovy , Alexander Hauptmann

In remote healthcare monitoring, time series representation learning reveals critical patient behavior patterns from high-frequency data. This study analyzes home activity data from individuals living with dementia by proposing a two-stage,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-17 Jin Cui , Alexander Capstick , Payam Barnaghi , Gregory Scott

The dynamics of technological, economic and social phenomena is controlled by how humans organize their daily tasks in response to both endogenous and exogenous stimulations. Queueing theory is believed to provide a generic answer to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-05-29 Thomas Maillart , Didier Sornette , Stefan Frei , Thomas Duebendorfer , Alexander Saichev
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