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We consider a class of sequential decision-making problems under uncertainty that can encompass various types of supervised learning concepts. These problems have a completely observed state process and a partially observed modulation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-24 R. Reid Bishop , Chelsea C. White

We propose a neural-network based survival model (SurvSurf) specifically designed for direct and simultaneous probabilistic prediction of the first hitting time of sequential events from baseline. Unlike existing models, SurvSurf is…

A method for adaptive model order reduction for nonsmooth discrete element simulation is developed and analysed in numerical experiments. Regions of the granular media that collectively move as rigid bodies are substituted with rigid bodies…

Computational Physics · Physics 2015-12-02 Martin Servin , Da Wang

An important task in early phase drug development is to identify patients, which respond better or worse to an experimental treatment. While a variety of different subgroup identification methods have been developed for the situation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-22 Marius Thomas , Björn Bornkamp , Heidi Seibold

Recent semi-supervised learning methods use pseudo supervision as core idea, especially self-training methods that generate pseudo labels. However, pseudo labels are unreliable. Self-training methods usually rely on single model prediction…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-05-12 Zhengyang Feng , Qianyu Zhou , Qiqi Gu , Xin Tan , Guangliang Cheng , Xuequan Lu , Jianping Shi , Lizhuang Ma

Moving object detection (MOD) in remote sensing is significantly challenged by low resolution, extremely small object sizes, and complex noise interference. Current deep learning-based MOD methods rely on probability density estimation,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Jinyue Zhang , Xiangrong Zhang , Zhongjian Huang , Tianyang Zhang , Yifei Jiang , Licheng Jiao

We study safe, data-driven control of (Markov) jump linear systems with unknown transition probabilities, where both the discrete mode and the continuous state are to be inferred from output measurements. To this end, we develop a receding…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-07 Mathijs Schuurmans , Panagiotis Patrinos

Dynamic discrete choice models are widely employed to answer substantive and policy questions in settings where individuals' current choices have future implications. However, estimation of these models is often computationally intensive…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-11 Ebrahim Barzegary , Hema Yoganarasimhan

In this work we propose a model to describe the statistical fluctuations of the self-driven objects (species A) walking against an opposite crowd (species B) in order to simulate the regime characterized by stop-and-go waves in the context…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-08-12 Roberto da Silva , Agenor Hentz , Alexandre Alves

When a subgroup is identified from the data, it must be evaluated in a replicable way. The usual in-sample approach, which evaluates the post-hoc identified subgroup as predefined, might suffer from selection bias. This issue of in-sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Shuoxun Xu , Xinzhou Guo

We consider a two-stage distributionally robust optimization (DRO) model with multimodal uncertainty, where both the mode probabilities and uncertainty distributions could be affected by the first-stage decisions. To address this setting,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Xian Yu , Beste Basciftci

Distributionally robust optimization is used to tackle decision making problems under uncertainty where the distribution of the uncertain data is ambiguous. Many ambiguity sets have been proposed for continuous uncertainty that build on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-28 Karthik Natarajan , Divya Padmanabhan , Arjun Ramachandra

Segmentation of moving objects in dynamic scenes is a key process in scene understanding for navigation tasks. Classical cameras suffer from motion blur in such scenarios rendering them effete. On the contrary, event cameras, because of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Chethan M. Parameshwara , Nitin J. Sanket , Chahat Deep Singh , Cornelia Fermüller , Yiannis Aloimonos

This paper addresses sampling-based trajectory optimization for risk-aware navigation under stochastic dynamics. Typically such approaches operate by computing $\tilde{N}$ perturbed rollouts around the nominal dynamics to estimate the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Basant Sharma , Arun Kumar Singh

Marginal structural models (MSMs) are often used to estimate causal effects of treatments on survival time outcomes from observational data when time-dependent confounding may be present. They can be fitted using, e.g., inverse probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-27 Shaun R Seaman , Ruth H Keogh

We propose a general method for distributed Bayesian model choice, using the marginal likelihood, where a data set is split in non-overlapping subsets. These subsets are only accessed locally by individual workers and no data is shared…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-18 Alexander Buchholz , Daniel Ahfock , Sylvia Richardson

This paper introduces a new technique for learning probabilistic models of mass and friction distributions of unknown objects, and performing robust sliding actions by using the learned models. The proposed method is executed in two…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-08-06 Changkyu Song , Abdeslam Boularias

We consider the problem of inference in discrete probabilistic models, that is, distributions over subsets of a finite ground set. These encompass a range of well-known models in machine learning, such as determinantal point processes and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-10 Alkis Gotovos , Hamed Hassani , Andreas Krause , Stefanie Jegelka

In Multiple Object Tracking, objects often exhibit non-linear motion of acceleration and deceleration, with irregular direction changes. Tacking-by-detection (TBD) trackers with Kalman Filter motion prediction work well in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-21 Weiyi Lv , Yuhang Huang , Ning Zhang , Ruei-Sung Lin , Mei Han , Dan Zeng

This paper analyses and synthesises the Disturbance Observer (DOb) based motion control systems in the discrete-time domain. By employing Bode Integral Theorem, it is shown that continuous-time analysis methods fall-short in explaining the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-21 Emre Sariyildiz