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The Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model is one of the most widely-used approaches to seismic forecasting. However most studies of ETAS use point estimates for the model parameters, which ignores the inherent uncertainty that…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-14 Gordon J Ross

We simulate a reputation system in a market to optimise the balance between market security and market equity. We introduce a method of using a reputation system that will stabilise the distribution of wealth in a market in a fair manner.…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-10-06 Anton Kolonin , Deborah Duong , Ben Goertzel , Cassio Pennachin , Matt Iklé , Nejc Znidar , Marco Argentieri

The discovery of new objects in modern wide-field asteroid and comet surveys can be enhanced by first identifying observations belonging to known solar system objects. The assignation of new observations to a known object is an attribution…

We have conducted a detailed simulation of LSST's ability to link near-Earth and main belt asteroid detections into orbits. The key elements of the study were a high-fidelity detection model and the presence of false detections in the form…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2017-06-30 Peter Vereš , Steven R. Chesley

A generalized method to calculate the excitation-energy dependent parity ratio in the nuclear level density is presented, using the assumption of Poisson distributed independent quasi particles combined with BCS occupation numbers. It is…

Fairness audits of institutional risk models are critical for understanding how deployed machine learning pipelines allocate resources. Drawing on multi-year collaboration with Centennial College, where our prior ethnographic work…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Kelly McConvey , Dipto Das , Maya Ghai , Angelina Zhai , Rosa Lee , Shion Guha

Cluster analysis of biological samples using gene expression measurements is a common task which aids the discovery of heterogeneous biological sub-populations having distinct mRNA profiles. Several model-based clustering algorithms have…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-01-30 Alberto Cozzini , Ajay Jasra , Giovanni Montana

We present a novel empirical method for correcting asteroid phase curves for rotational and geometrical effects using precomputed spin-and-shape models. Our approach normalizes sparse photometric data to a pole-on geometry, enabling…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-11-21 Dagmara Oszkiewicz. Przemysław Bartczak , Milagros Colazo , Antti Penttilä

We show that a Gaussian Process model can be combined with a small number (of order 100) of scattering calculations to provide a multi-dimensional dependence of scattering observables on the experimentally controllable parameters such as…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-08-19 Jie Cui , Roman V. Krems

A first-principles based methodology for efficiently and accurately finding thermodynamically stable and metastable atomic structures is introduced and benchmarked. The approach is demonstrated for gas-phase metal-oxide clusters in…

Tens of thousands of sparse-in-time lightcurves from astrometric projects are publicly available. We investigate these data and use them in the lightcurve inversion method to derive new asteroid models. By having a greater number of models…

Immediately following a disaster event, such as an earthquake, estimates of the damage extent play a key role in informing the coordination of response and recovery efforts. We develop a novel impact estimation tool that leverages a…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-15 Max Anderson Loake , Hamish Patten , David Steinsaltz

In 2023, the 12th edition of Global Trajectory Competition was organised around the problem referred to as "Sustainable Asteroid Mining". This paper reports the developments that led to the solution proposed by ESA's Advanced Concepts Team.…

A significant opportunity for synergy between pure research and asteroid resource research exists. We provide an overview of the state of the art in asteroid resource utilization, and highlight where we can accelerate the closing of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-03-04 Chris Lewicki , Amara Graps , Martin Elvis , Philip Metzger , Andrew Rivkin

Asteroid mining has been proposed as an approach to complement Earth-based supplies of rare earth metals and supplying resources in space, such as water. Existing research on asteroid mining has mainly looked into its economic viability,…

Space Physics · Physics 2018-10-12 Andreas M. Hein , Michael Saidani , Hortense Tollu

Multi-epoch Spitzer Space Telescope 24 micron data is utilized from the MIPSGAL and Taurus Legacy surveys to detect asteroids based on their relative motion. These infrared detections are matched to known asteroids and rotationally averaged…

We developed a 3-D elastic Boundary Element Method (BEM) computer code, called AstroSeis, to model seismic wavefields in a body with an arbitrary shape, such as an asteroid. Besides the AstroSeis can handle arbitrary surface topography, it…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-07-03 Yuan Tian , Yingcai Zheng

We propose a method for estimating the posterior distribution of a standard geostatistical model. After choosing the model formulation and specifying a prior, we use normal mixture densities to approximate the posterior distribution. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-10 Zepu Zhang

Most conventional risk analysis methods rely on a single best estimate of exposure per person which does not allow for adjustment for exposure-related uncertainty. Here, we propose a Bayesian model averaging method to properly quantify the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-07 Deukwoo Kwon , F. Owen Hoffman , Brian E. Moroz , Steven L. Simon

Analysis of the extended X-ray absorption fine structure (EXAFS) can yield local structural information in magic size clusters even when other structural methods (such as X-ray diffraction) fail, but typically requires an initial guess --…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2023-11-07 Lucy Haddad , Diego Gianolio , David J. Dunstan , Andrei Sapelkin
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