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Univariate and multivariate normal probability distributions are widely used when modeling decisions under uncertainty. Computing the performance of such models requires integrating these distributions over specific domains, which can vary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-31 Abhranil Das , Wilson S Geisler

Radiation therapy is one of the most common cancer treatments, and dose optimization and targeting of radiation are crucial since both cancerous and healthy cells are affected. Different mathematical and computational approaches have been…

Biological Physics · Physics 2025-11-07 Mirko Bagnarol , Gianluca Lattanzi , Jan Åström , Mikko Karttunen

We propose an adaptive design for early phase drug combination cancer trials with the goal of estimating the maximum tolerated dose (MTD). A nonparametric Bayesian model, using beta priors truncated to the set of partially ordered dose…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-22 Zahra S. Razaee , Galen Wien-Cook , Mourad Tighiouart

One of the most promising strategies to treat cancer is attacking it with viruses. Virus can kill tumor cells specifically or act as carriers that deliver normal genes into cancer cells. A model for virus therapy of cancer is investigated…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 S. C. Ferreira , M. L. Martins , M. J. Vilela

In this work, we investigate the population dynamics of tumor cells under therapeutic pressure. Although drug treatment initially induces a reduction in tumor burden, treatment failure frequently occurs over time due to the emergence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-02 Kevin Leder , Zicheng Wang , Xuanming Zhang

Metabolic heterogeneity is widely recognised as the next challenge in our understanding of non-genetic variation. A growing body of evidence suggests that metabolic heterogeneity may result from the inherent stochasticity of intracellular…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-08 Mona K Tonn , Philipp Thomas , Mauricio Barahona , Diego A Oyarzún

Precision medicine is an approach for disease treatment that defines treatment strategies based on the individual characteristics of the patients. Motivated by an open problem in cancer genomics, we develop a novel model that flexibly…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-04 Matteo Pedone , Raffaele Argiento , Francesco C. Stingo

Generating a novel and optimized molecule with desired chemical properties is an essential part of the drug discovery process. Failure to meet one of the required properties can frequently lead to failure in a clinical test which is costly.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-28 Bonggun Shin , Sungsoo Park , JinYeong Bak , Joyce C. Ho

We investigate the dynamics of a nonlinear system modeling tumor growth with drug application. The tumor is viewed as a mixture consisting of proliferating, quiescent and dead cells as well as a nutrient in the presence of a drug. The…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-06-22 Donatella Donatelli , Konstantina Trivisa

Optimal design of a Phase I cancer trial can be formulated as a stochastic optimization problem. By making use of recent advances in approximate dynamic programming to tackle the problem, we develop an approximation of the Bayesian optimal…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-12-01 Jay Bartroff , Tze Leung Lai

We consider a graphical model where a multivariate normal vector is associated with each node of the underlying graph and estimate the graphical structure. We minimize a loss function obtained by regressing the vector at each node on those…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-19 Xingqi Du , Subhashis Ghosal

In this paper a class of optimization problems with uncertain linear constraints is discussed. It is assumed that the constraint coefficients are random vectors whose probability distributions are only partially known. Possibility theory is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-30 Romain Guillaume , Adam Kasperski , Pawel Zielinski

We consider the problem of learning how to optimally allocate treatments whose cost is uncertain and can vary with pre-treatment covariates. This setting may arise in medicine if we need to prioritize access to a scarce resource that…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-14 Hao Sun , Evan Munro , Georgy Kalashnov , Shuyang Du , Stefan Wager

Current clinical decision-making in oncology relies on averages of large patient populations to both assess tumor status and treatment outcomes. However, cancers exhibit an inherent evolving heterogeneity that requires an individual…

The US Food and Drug Administration launched Project Optimus with the aim of shifting the paradigm of dose-finding and selection towards identifying the optimal biological dose that offers the best balance between benefit and risk, rather…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-13 Ying Yuan , Heng Zhou , Suyu Liu

Predicting cancer dynamics under treatment is challenging due to high inter-patient heterogeneity, lack of predictive biomarkers, and sparse and noisy longitudinal data. Mathematical models can summarize cancer dynamics by a few…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-24 Even Moa Myklebust , Arnoldo Frigessi , Fredrik Schjesvold , Jasmine Foo , Kevin Leder , Alvaro Köhn-Luque

Traditionally, the major objective in phase I trials is to identify a working-dose for subsequent studies, whereas the major endpoint in phase II and III trials is treatment efficacy. The dose sought is typically referred to as the maximum…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-14 Mourad Tighiouart , André Rogatko

Proton therapy is a modality in fast development. Characterized by a maximum dose deposition at the end of the proton trajectory followed by a sharp fall-off, proton beams can deliver a highly conformal dose to the tumor while sparing…

Medical Physics · Physics 2022-05-18 François Smekens , Nicolas Freud , Bruno Sixou , Guillaume Beslon , Jean M Létang

Genetic alterations initiate tumors and enable the evolution of drug resistance. The pro-cancer view of mutations is however incomplete, and several studies show that mutational load can reduce tumor fitness. Given its negative effect,…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2017-05-18 Ana B. Pavel , Kirill S. Korolev

We model the joint distribution of choice probabilities and decision times in binary choice tasks as the solution to a problem of optimal sequential sampling, where the agent is uncertain of the utility of each action and pays a constant…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-14 Drew Fudenberg , Philipp Strack , Tomasz Strzalecki