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A new algorithm is presented for reconstructing stochastic nonlinear dynamical models from noisy time-series data. The approach is analytical; consequently, the resulting algorithm does not require an extensive global search for the model…
Motivated by recent progress in data assimilation, we develop an algorithm to dynamically learn the parameters of a chaotic system from partial observations. Under reasonable assumptions, we rigorously establish the convergence of this…
The prediction of behavior in dynamical systems, is frequently subject to the design of models. When a time series obtained from observing the system is available, the task can be performed by designing the model from these observations…
We present a method for time series analysis of both, scalar and nonscalar time-delay systems. If the dynamics of the system investigated is governed by a time-delay induced instability, the method allows to determine the delay time. In a…
I present a data-driven predictive modeling tool that is applicable to high-dimensional chaotic systems with unstable periodic orbits. The basic idea is using deep neural networks to learn coordinate transformations between the trajectories…
In this study, we investigate the effect of reservoir computing training data on the reconstruction of chaotic dynamics. Our findings indicate that a training time series comprising a few periodic orbits of low periods can successfully…
Discrete numerical methods with finite time-steps represent a practical technique to solve initial-value problems involving nonlinear differential equations. These methods seem particularly useful to the study of chaos since no analytical…
We use standard deep neural networks to classify univariate time series generated by discrete and continuous dynamical systems based on their chaotic or non-chaotic behaviour. Our approach to circumvent the lack of precise models for some…
We describe a computational method for constructing a coarse combinatorial model of some dynamical system in which the macroscopic states are given by elementary cycling motions of the system. Our method is in particular applicable to time…
Many natural systems exhibit chaotic behaviour such as the weather, hydrology, neuroscience and population dynamics. Although many chaotic systems can be described by relatively simple dynamical equations, characterizing these systems can…
The problem of dynamic estimation of all parameters of a model representing chaotic and hyperchaotic systems using information from a scalar measured output is solved. The variational calculus based method is robust in the presence of…
We consider the problem of forecasting complex, nonlinear space-time processes when observations provide only partial information of on the system's state. We propose a natural data-driven framework, where the system's dynamics are modelled…
This paper is the second in a series of two, and describes the current state of the art in modelling and prediction of chaotic time series. Sampled data from deterministic non-linear systems may look stochastic when analysed with linear…
In the chaotic Lorenz system, Chen system and R\"ossler system, their equilibria are unstable and the number of the equilibria are no more than three. This paper shows how to construct some simple chaotic systems that can have any…
We present a framework for constructing physics and causally constrained neural models of turbulent dynamical systems from data. We first formulate a finite-time flow map with strict energy-preserving nonlinearities for stable modeling of…
We present a straightforward and efficient way to control unstable robotic systems using an estimated dynamics model. Specifically, we show how to exploit the differentiability of Gaussian Processes to create a state-dependent linearized…
In this study, we address causal inference when only observational data and a valid causal ordering from the causal graph are available. We introduce a set of flow models that can recover component-wise, invertible transformation of…
We consider the problem of learning causal models from observational data generated by linear non-Gaussian acyclic causal models with latent variables. Without considering the effect of latent variables, one usually infers wrong causal…
This article shows how to specify and construct a discrete, stochastic, continuous-time model specifically for ecological systems. The model is more broad than typical chemical kinetics models in two ways. First, using time-dependent hazard…
We propose a dual-channel reservoir-computing scheme for inferring the dynamics of two distinct chaotic systems with a single machine. By augmenting a standard reservoir with a system-label channel and a parameter-control channel, the…