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As robotic systems move from highly structured environments to open worlds, incorporating uncertainty from dynamics learning or state estimation into the control pipeline is essential for robust performance. In this paper we present a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-14 Robert Dyro , James Harrison , Apoorva Sharma , Marco Pavone

Tube-based model predictive control (MPC) is one of the principal robust control techniques for constrained linear systems affected by additive disturbances. While tube-based methods with online-computed tubes have been successfully applied…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-27 Jerome Sieber , Alexandre Didier , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Classical computability theory tells us that self-modifying code (SMC) on a deterministic universal Turing machine can be simulated by non-SMC code on the same model. That abstraction, however, omits the external timing inputs, concurrency,…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-04-15 Gregory Morse , Tamás Kozsik

Probabilistic graphical models are a fundamental tool in probabilistic modeling, machine learning and artificial intelligence. They allow us to integrate in a natural way expert knowledge, physical modeling, heterogeneous and correlated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-20 Panagiota Birmpa , Jinchao Feng , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Luc Rey-Bellet

Since several years, the fragility of global supply chains (GSCs) is at historically high levels. In the same time, the landscape of hybrid threats is expanding; new forms of hybrid threats create different types of uncertainties. This…

General Economics · Economics 2022-12-22 d'Artis Kancs

Manufacturing has been changing from a mainly inhouse effort to a distributed style in order to meet new challenges owing to globalization of markets and worldwide competition. Distributed simulation provides an attractive solution to…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2019-01-30 Sameh M. Saad , Terence Perera , Ruwan Wickramarachchi

Simulations using machine learning (ML) models and mechanistic models are often run to inform decision-making processes. Uncertainty estimates of simulation results are critical to the decision-making process because simulation results of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Babajide Kolade

Qualification of components operating in future fusion power plants will be heavily reliant on simulations of component behaviour. The lack of representative test environments for many aspects of the expected operating environment will…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2026-05-13 J. T. Horne-Jones , M. Baxter , A. Tayeb , L. Fletcher , J. Paterson , S. Biggs-Fox , A. Harte

Autocorrelations in MCMC chains increase the variance of the estimators they produce. We propose the occlusion process to mitigate this problem. It is a process that sits upon an existing MCMC sampler, and occasionally replaces its samples…

Computation · Statistics 2024-11-20 Max Hird , Florian Maire

This paper presents a robust adaptive learning Model Predictive Control (MPC) framework for linear systems with parametric uncertainties and additive disturbances performing iterative tasks. The approach refines the parameter estimates…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-04 Hannes Petrenz , Johannes Köhler , Francesco Borrelli

Magnetic systems are highly promising for implementing probabilistic computing paradigms because of the fitting energy scales and conspicuous non-linearities. While conventional binary probabilistic computing has been realized, implementing…

This paper addresses the energy dispatch of a virtual power plant comprising renewable generation, energy storage, and thermal units under uncertainty in renewable output, energy prices, and energy demand. The nonlinear dynamics and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Luca Santosuosso , Fei Teng , Sonja Wogrin

Decision making under uncertainty is critical to real-world, autonomous systems. Model Predictive Control (MPC) methods have demonstrated favorable performance in practice, but remain limited when dealing with complex probability…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Alexander Lambert , Adam Fishman , Dieter Fox , Byron Boots , Fabio Ramos

This paper presents a distributed stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) approach for large-scale linear systems with private and common uncertainties in a plug-and-play framework. Using the so-called scenario approach, the centralized…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-09 V. Rostampour , T. Keviczky

To achieve virtual certification for industrial design, quantifying the uncertainties in simulation-driven processes is crucial. We discuss a physics-constrained approach to account for epistemic uncertainty of turbulence models. In order…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-12 Marcel Matha , Christian Morsbach

Automated vehicles require efficient and safe planning to maneuver in uncertain environments. Largely this uncertainty is caused by other traffic participants, e.g., surrounding vehicles. Future motion of surrounding vehicles is often…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-09 Tim Brüdigam , Michael Olbrich , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

Machine Learning tools are nowadays widely applied extensively to the prediction of the properties of molecular materials, using datasets extracted from high-throughput computational models. In several cases of scientific and technological…

Materials Science · Physics 2021-02-10 Fabio Le Piane , Matteo Baldoni , Francesco Mercuri

This paper presents a simulation-based framework for sequential inference from partially and discretely observed point process (PP's) models with static parameters. Taking on a Bayesian perspective for the static parameters, we build upon…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-01-24 James S. Martin , Ajay Jasra , Emma McCoy

This paper investigates adaptive model predictive control (MPC) for a class of constrained linear systems with unknown model parameters. This is also posed as the dual control problem consisting of system identification and regulation. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-24 Kunwu Zhang , Yang Shi

A cross-benchmark has been done on three critical aspects, data imputing, feature selection and regression algorithms, for machine learning based chemical vapor deposition (CVD) virtual metrology (VM). The result reveals that linear feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-29 Yunsong Xie , Ryan Stearrett