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Because of the impact of extreme heat waves and heat domes on society and biodiversity, their study is a key challenge. We specifically study long-lasting extreme heat waves, which are among the most important for climate impacts. Physics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-14 Valérian Jacques-Dumas , Francesco Ragone , Pierre Borgnat , Patrice Abry , Freddy Bouchet

This paper presents a meta-learning based, automatic distribution system load forecasting model selection framework. The framework includes the following processes: feature extraction, candidate model labeling, offline training, and online…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-19 Yiyan Li , Si Zhang , Rongxing Hu , Ning Lu

Over the past decade the use of machine learning in meteorology has grown rapidly. Specifically neural networks and deep learning have been used at an unprecedented rate. In order to fill the dearth of resources covering neural networks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-26 Randy J. Chase , David R. Harrison , Gary Lackmann , Amy McGovern

Machine Learning algorithms are good tools for both classification and prediction purposes. These algorithms can further be used for scientific discoveries from the enormous data being collected in our era. We present ways of discovering…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-02-26 Shraddha Surana , Yogesh Wadadekar , Divya Oberoi

Using solar power in the process industry can reduce greenhouse gas emissions and make the production process more sustainable. However, the intermittent nature of solar power renders its usage challenging. Building a model to predict…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-17 Yu Yang , Jia Mao , Richard Nguyen , Annas Tohmeh , Hen-Geul Yeh

This study aims to evaluate the performance of deep learning models in predicting $\geq$M-class solar flares with a prediction window of 24 hours, using hourly sampled full-disk line-of-sight (LoS) magnetogram images, particularly focusing…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-06-18 Chetraj Pandey , Rafal A. Angryk , Berkay Aydin

The non-stationarity characteristic of the solar power renders traditional point forecasting methods to be less useful due to large prediction errors. This results in increased uncertainties in the grid operation, thereby negatively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Sakshi Mishra , Praveen Palanisamy

In this paper, we propose a novel loss function aimed at optimizing the binary flare prediction problem by embedding the intrinsic ordinal flare characteristics into the binary cross-entropy (BCE) loss function. This modification is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-22 Chetraj Pandey , Anli Ji , Jinsu Hong , Rafal A. Angryk , Berkay Aydin

Clouds classification is a great challenge in meteorological research. The different types of clouds, currently known and present in our skies, can produce radioactive effects that impact on the variation of atmospheric conditions, with the…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-09 Mario Manzo , Simone Pellino

Large aperture ground based solar telescopes allow the solar atmosphere to be resolved in unprecedented detail. However, observations are limited by Earths turbulent atmosphere, requiring post image corrections. Current reconstruction…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-06-06 Christoph Schirninger , Robert Jarolim , Astrid M. Veronig , Christoph Kuckein

Human living environment is influenced by intense solar activity. The solar activity exhibits periodicity and regularity. Although many deep-learning models are currently used for solar cycle prediction, most of them are based on a…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-03-04 Cui Zhao , Kun Liu , Shangbin Yang , Jinchao Xia , Jingxia Chen , Jie Ren , Shiyuan Liu , Fangyuan He

The uncertainty of the energy generated by photovoltaic systems incurs an additional cost for a guaranteed, reliable supply of energy (i.e., energy storage). This investigation aims to decrease the additional cost by introducing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-19 Guillermo Terrén-Serrano , Manel Martínez-Ramón

Quantitative forecasting of average rainfall into the next season remains highly challenging, but in some favourable isolated cases may be possible with a series of relatively simple steps. We chose to explore predictions of austral…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-21 Stjepan Marcelja

We use Renewal Theory for the estimation and interpretation of the flare rate from the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) soft X-ray flare catalogue. It is found, that in addition to the flare rate variability with the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-03-20 Andrei Gorobets , Mauro Messerotti

Solar flares are 3D phenomenon but modelling a flare in 3D, including many of the important processes in the chromosphere, is a computational challenge. Accurately modelling the chromosphere is important, even if the transition region and…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-09-02 Graham S. Kerr , Joel C. Allred , Vanessa Polito

Ground-based solar image restoration is a computationally expensive procedure that involves nonlinear optimization techniques. The presence of atmospheric turbulence produces perturbations in individual images that make it necessary to…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-07-26 A. Asensio Ramos , S. Esteban Pozuelo , C. Kuckein

Indications are presented for a significant connection between the relative motion of the planets and the appearance of energetic solar flares. Based on the records of the last four decades, the analysis highlights remarkable features and a…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-08-25 Eleni Petrakou , Iasonas Topsis Giotis

Running high-resolution physical models is computationally expensive and essential for many disciplines. Agriculture, transportation, and energy are sectors that depend on high-resolution weather models, which typically consume many hours…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-17 Eduardo R. Rodrigues , Igor Oliveira , Renato L. F. Cunha , Marco A. S. Netto

Emanating from the base of the Sun's corona, the solar wind fills the interplanetary medium with a magnetized stream of charged particles whose interaction with the Earth's magnetosphere has space-weather consequences such as geomagnetic…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-06-11 Vishal Upendran , M. C. M Cheung , Shravan Hanasoge , Ganapathi Krishnamurthi

The accurate forecasting of solar flares is considered a key goal within the solar physics and space weather communities. There is significant potential for flare prediction to be improved by incorporating topological fluxes of magnetogram…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-12-06 Thomas Williams , Christopher B. Prior , David MacTaggart