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The problem of approximating the covariance operator of the mild solution to a linear stochastic partial differential equation is considered. An integral equation involving the semigroup of the mild solution is derived and a general error…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-25 Mihály Kovács , Annika Lang , Andreas Petersson

We propose a spatio-temporal data-fusion framework for point data and gridded data with variables observed on different spatial supports. A latent Gaussian field with a Mat\'ern-SPDE prior provides a continuous space representation, while…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-19 Weiyue Zheng , Andrew Elliott , Claire Miller , Marian Scott

We study maximum likelihood estimation for spatial generalized linear mixed models with Gaussian process approximations using a stochastic Newton-Raphson algorithm. We consider two Gaussian Process approximations in this context: spectral…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Samuel I. Watson , Yixin Wang , Emanuele Giorgi

In this paper we present the theoretical framework needed to justify the use of a kernel-based collocation method (meshfree approximation method) to estimate the solution of high-dimensional stochastic partial differential equations…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-09-11 Igor Cialenco , Gregory E. Fasshauer , Qi Ye

Intrinsic Gaussian fields are used in many areas of statistics as models for spatial or spatio-temporal dependence, or as priors for latent variables. However, there are two major gaps in the literature: first, the number and flexibility of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-30 David Bolin , Peter Braunsteins , Sebastian Engelke , Raphaël Huser

We present a unified, finite-element-native variational inference framework for very high-dimensional Bayesian spatial field reconstruction in physics-based problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) that are nonlinear in…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Jonas Nitzler , Maximilian Bergbauer , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis , Wolfgang A. Wall

This paper presents theoretical advances in the application of the Stochastic Partial Differential Equation (SPDE) approach in geostatistics. We show a general approach to construct stationary models related to a wide class of linear SPDEs,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-30 Ricardo Carrizo Vergara , Denis Allard , Nicolas Desassis

This paper aims to investigate the numerical approximation of a general second order parabolic stochastic partial differential equation(SPDE) driven by multiplicative and additive noise. Our main interest is on such SPDEs where the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-19 Jean Daniel Mukam , Antoine Tambue

We present two approximate Bayesian inference methods for parameter estimation in partial differential equation (PDE) models with space-dependent and state-dependent parameters. We demonstrate that these methods provide accurate and…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-04 David A. Barajas-Solano , Alexandre M. Tartakovsky

Mechanistic knowledge about the physical world is virtually always expressed via partial differential equations (PDEs). Recently, there has been a surge of interest in probabilistic PDE solvers -- Bayesian statistical models mostly based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Tim Weiland , Marvin Pförtner , Philipp Hennig

Unique existence of analytically strong solutions to stochastic partial differential equations (SPDE) with drift given by the subdifferential of a quasi-convex function and with general multiplicative noise is proven. The proof applies a…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-22 Benjamin Gess

Probabilistic ordinary differential equation (ODE) solvers have been introduced over the past decade as uncertainty-aware numerical integrators. They typically proceed by assuming a functional prior to the ODE solution, which is then…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Yvann Le Fay , Simo Särkkä , Adrien Corenflos

Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) serve as a powerful modeling tool in various scientific domains, including systems science, engineering, and ecological science. While the specific form of SDEs is typically known for a given…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-27 Xin Cai , Jingyu Yang , Zhibao Li , Hongqiao Wang , Miao Huang

Let $P$ be a linear differential operator over $\mathcal{D} \subset \mathbb{R}^d$ and $U = (U_x)_{x \in \mathcal{D}}$ a second order stochastic process. In the first part of this article, we prove a new necessary and sufficient condition…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-11 Iain Henderson , Pascal Noble , Olivier Roustant

Standard sparse pseudo-input approximations to the Gaussian process (GP) cannot handle complex functions well. Sparse spectrum alternatives attempt to answer this but are known to over-fit. We suggest the use of variational inference for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-23 Yarin Gal , Richard Turner

In the task of predicting spatio-temporal fields in environmental science using statistical methods, introducing statistical models inspired by the physics of the underlying phenomena that are numerically efficient is of growing interest.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-23 Lucia Clarotto , Denis Allard , Thomas Romary , Nicolas Desassis

In this work, we provide the first strong convergence result of numerical approximation of a general second order semilinear stochastic fractional order evolution equation involving a Caputo derivative in time of order $\alpha\in(\frac 34,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-08 Aurelien Junior Noupelah , Antoine Tambue

The declining response rates in probability surveys along with the widespread availability of unstructured data has led to growing research into non-probability samples. Existing robust approaches are not well-developed for non-Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Ali Rafei , Michael R. Elliott , Carol A. C. Flannagan

Spherical Whittle--Mat\'ern Gaussian random fields are considered as solutions to fractional elliptic stochastic partial differential equations on the sphere. Approximation is done with surface finite elements. While the non-fractional part…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-12-06 Erik Jansson , Mihály Kovács , Annika Lang

The uncertainties in material and other properties of structures are usually spatially correlated. We introduce an efficient technique for representing and processing spatially correlated random fields in robust topology optimisation of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-12-27 Ismael Ben-Yelun , Ahmet Oguzhan Yuksel , Fehmi Cirak