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This work has been motivated by the challenge of the 2017 conference on Extreme-Value Analysis (EVA2017), with the goal of predicting daily precipitation quantiles at the $99.8\%$ level for each month at observed and unobserved locations.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-06 Thomas Opitz , Raphaël Huser , Haakon Bakka , Håvard Rue

This article introduces the pammtools package, which facilitates data transformation, estimation and interpretation of Piece-wise exponential Additive Mixed Models. A special focus is on time-varying effects and cumulative effects of…

Computation · Statistics 2018-06-05 Andreas Bender , Fabian Scheipl

Exponential-family random graph models (ERGMs) provide a principled and flexible way to model and simulate features common in social networks, such as propensities for homophily, mutuality, and friend-of-a-friend triad closure, through…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-08-01 Pavel N. Krivitsky

Transmuted geometric distribution (TGD) was recently introduced and investigated by Chakraborty and Bhati (2016). This is a flexible extension of geometric distribution having an additional parameter that determines its zero inflation as…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-25 Subrata Chakraborty , Deepesh Bhati

In this paper we introduce a new method to add a parameter to a family of distributions. The additional parameter is completely studied and a full description of its behaviour in the distribution is given. We obtain several mathematical…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-03-10 Wagner Barreto-Souza , Alexandre B. Simas

Non-random sample selection is a commonplace amongst many empirical studies and it appears when an output variable of interest is available only for a restricted non-random sub-sample of data. We introduce an extension of the generalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-18 M. Wojtyś , G. Marra

The possibilities of the use of the coefficient of variation over a high threshold in tail modelling are discussed. The paper also considers multiple threshold tests for a generalized Pareto distribution, together with a threshold selection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-02 J. Castillo , M. Padilla

Generalized parton distributions (GPDs) provide a link between form factors, parton distributions and other observables. I discuss the connection between GPDs and parton distributions as a function of the impact parameter. Since this…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-10-31 Matthias Burkardt

Extreme value theory offers a statistical framework for quantifying the risk of rare events, with the generalized Pareto (GP) distribution providing the canonical limit model for univariate threshold exceedances. In many applications,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Mirco Lescart , Anna Kiriliouk , Philippe Naveau

Exponential random graph models (ERGMs) are a widely used framework for network data, enabling hypothesis testing on the structural mechanisms underlying observed networks. Bayesian ERGMs provide principled uncertainty quantification and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Alberto Caimo , Isabella Gollini

The Ultra-Reliable Low-Latency Communications (URLLC) paradigm in sixth-generation (6G) systems heavily relies on precise channel modeling, especially when dealing with rare and extreme events within wireless communication channels. This…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-22 Parmida Valiahdi , Sinem Coleri

To obtain a probabilistic model for a dependent variable based on some set of explanatory variables, a distributional approach is often adopted where the parameters of the distribution are linked to regressors. In many classical models this…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-14 Lisa Schlosser , Torsten Hothorn , Reto Stauffer , Achim Zeileis

We discuss the use of machine learning techniques in effectively nonparametric modelling of generalised parton distributions (GPDs) in view of their future extraction from experimental data. Current parameterisations of GPDs suffer from…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2022-04-13 H. Dutrieux , O. Grocholski , H. Moutarde , P. Sznajder

This paper deals with optimally-robust parameter estimation in generalized Pareto distributions (GPDs). These arise naturally in many situations where one is interested in the behavior of extreme events as motivated by the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Peter Ruckdeschel , Nataliya Horbenko

Extreme quantile regression provides estimates of conditional quantiles outside the range of the data. Classical quantile regression performs poorly in such cases since data in the tail region are too scarce. Extreme value theory is used…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-22 Jasper Velthoen , Clément Dombry , Juan-Juan Cai , Sebastian Engelke

Random variables of the generalized Pareto distribution, can be transformed to that of the Pareto distribution. Explicit expressions exist for the maximum likelihood estimators of the parameters of the Pareto distribution. The performance…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-06 J. Martin van Zyl

Multivariate data occurs in a wide range of fields, with ever more flexible model specifications being proposed, often within a multivariate generalised linear mixed effects (MGLME) framework. In this article, we describe an extended…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-09 Michael J. Crowther

In this paper introduces a new family of continuous distributions namely the Poison transmuted-G family of distribution is proposed by inducing two addition parameter on the base line G distribution. Some of its mathematical properties…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-12 Laba Handique , Subrata Chakraborty

We propose a novel class of flexible latent-state time series regression models which we call Markov-switching generalized additive models for location, scale and shape. In contrast to conventional Markov-switching regression models, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-18 Timo Adam , Andreas Mayr , Thomas Kneib

This paper introduces a declarative framework to specify and reason about distributions of data over computing nodes in a distributed setting. More specifically, it proposes distribution constraints which are tuple and equality generating…

Databases · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Gaetano Geck , Frank Neven , Thomas Schwentick