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Accurate blood glucose prediction can enable novel interventions for type 1 diabetes treatment, including personalized insulin and dietary adjustments. Although recent advances in transformer-based architectures have demonstrated the power…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-15 Meryem Altin Karagoz , Marc D. Breton , Anas El Fathi

In this work, we investigate uncertainty-aware neural network models for blood glucose prediction and adverse glycemic event identification in Type 1 diabetes. We consider three families of sequence models based on LSTM, GRU, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Hai Siong Tan , Rafe McBeth

In many forecasting applications, it is valuable to predict not only the value of a signal at a certain time point in the future, but also the values leading up to that point. This is especially true in clinical applications, where the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-09 Ian Fox , Lynn Ang , Mamta Jaiswal , Rodica Pop-Busui , Jenna Wiens

People with diabetes have to manage their blood glucose level to keep it within an appropriate range. Predicting whether future glucose values will be outside the healthy threshold is of vital importance in order to take corrective actions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-03 J. Alvarado , J. Manuel Velasco , F. Chávez , J. Ignacio Hidalgo , F. Fernández de Vega

We consider the question of 30-minute prediction of blood glucose levels measured by continuous glucose monitoring devices, using clinical data. While most studies of this nature deal with one patient at a time, we take a certain percentage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-20 H. N. Mhaskar , S. V. Pereverzyev , M. D. van der Walt

In this paper, we study the problem of blood glucose forecasting and provide a deep personalized solution. Predicting blood glucose level in people with diabetes has significant value because health complications of abnormal glucose level…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-08 Mohammadreza Armandpour , Brian Kidd , Yu Du , Jianhua Z. Huang

In the U.S., over a third of adults are pre-diabetic, with 80\% unaware of their status. This underlines the need for better glucose monitoring to prevent type 2 diabetes and related heart diseases. Existing wearable glucose monitors are…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-26 Yidong Zhu , Nadia B Aimandi , Mohammad Arif Ul Alam

Describing dynamic medical systems using machine learning is a challenging topic with a wide range of applications. In this work, the possibility of modeling the blood glucose level of diabetic patients purely on the basis of measured data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-10 David Jödicke , Daniel Parra , Gabriel Kronberger , Stephan Winkler

Effective management of Type 1 Diabetes requires continuous glucose monitoring and precise insulin adjustments to prevent hyperglycemia and hypoglycemia. With the growing adoption of wearable glucose monitors and mobile health applications,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Giorgia Rigamonti , Mirko Paolo Barbato , Davide Marelli , Paolo Napoletano

Type 1 Diabetes (T1D) affects millions worldwide, requiring continuous monitoring to prevent severe hypo- and hyperglycemic events. While continuous glucose monitoring has improved blood glucose management, deploying predictive models on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Mirko Paolo Barbato , Giorgia Rigamonti , Davide Marelli , Paolo Napoletano

Reliable uncertainty quantification is critical in multivariate time series forecasting problems arising in domains such as energy systems and transportation networks, among many others. Although Transformer-based architectures have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Rajdeep Pathak , Rahul Goswami , Madhurima Panja , Palash Ghosh , Tanujit Chakraborty

Recent advances in SSL enabled novel medical AI models, known as foundation models, offer great potential for better characterizing health from diverse biomedical data. CGM provides rich, temporal data on glycemic patterns, but its full…

With continuous glucose monitoring (CGM), data-driven models on blood glucose prediction have been shown to be effective in related work. However, such (CGM) systems are not always available, e.g., for a patient at home. In this work, we…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-04-10 Tu Nguyen , Markus Rokicki

Due to the sensitive nature of diabetes-related data, preventing them from being shared between studies, progress in the field of glucose prediction is hard to assess. To address this issue, we present GLYFE (GLYcemia Forecasting…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-30 Maxime De Bois , Mehdi Ammi , Mounîm A. El Yacoubi

A deep learning network was used to predict future blood glucose levels, as this can permit diabetes patients to take action before imminent hyperglycaemia and hypoglycaemia. A sequential model with one long-short-term memory (LSTM) layer,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-12 Qingnan Sun , Marko V. Jankovic , Lia Bally , Stavroula G. Mougiakakou

Progress in the biomedical field through the use of deep learning is hindered by the lack of interpretability of the models. In this paper, we study the RETAIN architecture for the forecasting of future glucose values for diabetic people.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-11 Maxime De Bois , Mounîm A. El Yacoubi , Mehdi Ammi

This article compares ten recently proposed neural networks and proposes two ensemble neural network-based models for blood glucose prediction. All of them are tested under the same dataset, preprocessing workflow, and tools using the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-07 Felix Tena , Oscar Garnica , Juan Lanchares , J. Ignacio Hidalgo

We develop a new model of insulin-glucose dynamics for forecasting blood glucose in type 1 diabetics. We augment an existing biomedical model by introducing time-varying dynamics driven by a machine learning sequence model. Our model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-10 Andrew C. Miller , Nicholas J. Foti , Emily Fox

Deep learning has yet to revolutionize general practices in healthcare, despite promising results for some specific tasks. This is partly due to data being in insufficient quantities hurting the training of the models. To address this…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Maxime De Bois , Mounîm A. El Yacoubi , Mehdi Ammi

People with diabetes must carefully monitor their blood glucose levels, especially after eating. Blood glucose regulation requires a proper combination of food intake and insulin boluses. Glucose prediction is vital to avoid dangerous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Daniel Parra , David Joedicke , J. Manuel Velasco , Gabriel Kronberger , J. Ignacio Hidalgo
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