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Related papers: Teleconnections among Tipping Elements in the Eart…

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Tipping points are abrupt, drastic, and often irreversible changes in the evolution of non-stationary and chaotic dynamical systems. For instance, increased greenhouse gas concentrations are predicted to lead to drastic decreases in low…

Many systems on our planet are known to shift abruptly and irreversibly from one state to another when they are forced across a "tipping point," such as mass extinctions in ecological networks, cascading failures in infrastructure systems,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-23 Xueming Liu , Daqing Li , Manqing Ma , Boleslaw K. Szymanski , H Eugene Stanley , Jianxi Gao

In light of the rapid recent retreat of Arctic sea ice, the extreme weather events triggering the variability in Arctic ice cover has drawn increasing attention. A non-Gaussian $\alpha$-stable L\'evy process is thought to be an appropriate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-07-15 Fang Yang , Yayun Zheng , Jinqiao Duan , Ling Fu , Stephen Wiggins

Several Earth system components are at a high risk of undergoing rapid and irreversible qualitative changes or `tipping', due to increasing climate warming. Potential tipping elements include Arctic sea-ice, Atlantic meridional overturning…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-25 Parvathi Kooloth , Jian Lu , Craig Bakker , Derek DeSantis , Adam Rupe

Current models for spatial extremes are concerned with the joint upper (or lower) tail of the distribution at two or more locations. Such models cannot account for teleconnection patterns of two-meter surface air temperature ($T_{2m}$) in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-12 Mitchell L. Krock , Adam H. Monahan , Michael L. Stein

A presumed impact of global climate change is the increase in frequency and intensity of tropical cyclones. Due to the possible destruction that occurs when tropical cyclones make landfall, understanding their formation should be of mass…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-07-31 Katherine Slyman , John A. Gemmer , Nicholas K. Corak , Claire Kiers , Christopher K. R. T. Jones

In this study, we investigate how specific micro interaction structures (motifs) affect the occurrence of tipping cascades on networks of stylized tipping elements. We compare the properties of cascades in Erd\"os-R\'enyi networks and an…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-11-11 Nico Wunderling , Benedikt Stumpf , Jonathan Krönke , Arie Staal , Obbe A. Tuinenburg , Ricarda Winkelmann , Jonathan F. Donges

Tree-grass coexistence is a defining feature of savanna ecosystems, which play an important role in supporting biodiversity and human populations worldwide. While recent advances have clarified many of the underlying processes, how these…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-21 Jelle van der Voort , Mara Baudena , Ehud Meron , Max Rietkerk , Arjen Doelman

Several environmental tipping points and self-reinforcing feedback loops are still disregarded within the frequently used climate models. Thus, existing climate models are not very representative for providing projections of the conditions…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-08-09 Beril Sirmacek

In the past decades human activities caused global Earth system changes, e.g., climate change or biodiversity loss. Simultaneously, these associated impacts have increased environmental awareness within societies across the globe, thereby…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-11 Paul Manuel Müller , Jobst Heitzig , Jürgen Kurths , Kathy Lüdge , Marc Wiedermann

Coupling constitutes a foundational mechanism in the Earth system, regulating the interconnected physical, chemical, and biological processes that link its spheres. This review examines how emerging artificial intelligence (AI) methods…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-07 Maria Kaselimi , Anna Belehaki

The persistence of the global climate system is critical for assuring the sustainability of the natural ecosystem and the further development of the prosperity of socio-economics. In this paper, we develop a framework and analyze the time…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-27 Ting Qing , Fan Wang , Qiuyue Li , Gaogao Dong , Lixin Tian , Shlomo Havlin

Internal modes of climate variability, such as El Ni\~no and the North Atlantic Oscillation, can have strong influences upon distant weather patterns, effects that are referred to as "teleconnections". The extent to which anthropogenic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-30 Eran Vos , Peter Huybers , Eli Tziperman

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a key component of the climate system and considered to be a tipping element. There is still a large uncertainty on the critical global warming level at which the AMOC will start to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-30 René M. van Westen , Elian Y. P. Vanderborght , Michael Kliphuis , Henk A. Dijkstra

The rapidly shrinking Arctic sea ice is changing weather patterns and disrupting the balance of nature. Dynamics of Arctic weather variability (WV) plays a crucial role in weather forecasting and is closely related to extreme weather…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-07 Jun Meng , Jingfang Fan , Uma S Bhatt , Jürgen Kurths

The low frequency variability of the extratropical atmosphere involves hemispheric-scale recurring, often persistent, states known as teleconnection patterns or regimes, which can have profound impact on predictability on intra-seasonal and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-31 Dmitry Mukhin , Abdel Hannachi , Tobias Braun , Norbert Marwan

Human activities accelerate consumption of fossil fuels and produce greenhouse gases, resulting in urgent issues today: global warming and the climate change. These indirectly cause severe natural disasters, plenty of lives suffering and…

Different definitions of links in climate networks may lead to considerably different network topologies. We construct a network from climate records of surface level atmospheric temperature in different geographical sites around the globe…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-22 Oded C. Guez , Avi Gozolchiani , Shlomo Havlin

Prediction of climate tipping is challenging due to the lack of recent observation of actual climate tipping. Despite many previous efforts to accurately predict the existence and timing of climate tippings under specific climate scenarios,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-01 Amane Kubo , Yohei Sawada

Sudden transitions in the state of a system are often undesirable in natural and human-made systems. Such transitions under fast variation of system parameters are called rate-induced tipping. We experimentally demonstrate rate-induced…

Applied Physics · Physics 2022-09-15 Induja Pavithran , P. R. Midhun , R. I. Sujith