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The posterior in probabilistic programs with stochastic support decomposes as a weighted sum of the local posterior distributions associated with each possible program path. We show that making predictions with this full posterior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-15 Tim Reichelt , Luke Ong , Tom Rainforth

Clustering is a central approach for unsupervised learning. After clustering is applied, the most fundamental analysis is to quantitatively compare clusterings. Such comparisons are crucial for the evaluation of clustering methods as well…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-03 Alexander J Gates , Yong-Yeol Ahn

Cluster-weighted modeling (CWM) is a mixture approach for modeling the joint probability of a response variable and a set of explanatory variables. The parameters are estimated by means of the expectation-maximization algorithm according to…

Computation · Statistics 2013-08-09 Salvatore Ingrassia , Simona C. Minotti

For many decades now, Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) has been a popular framework to systematically account for model uncertainty that arises in situations when multiple competing models are available to describe the same or similar…

Computation · Statistics 2022-03-29 Vojtech Kejzlar , Shrijita Bhattacharya , Mookyong Son , Tapabrata Maiti

Clustering is essential in data analysis and machine learning, but traditional algorithms like $k$-means and Gaussian Mixture Models (GMM) often fail with nonconvex clusters. To address the challenge, we introduce the Flexible Bivariate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Yung-Peng Hsu , Hung-Hsuan Chen

In consensus clustering, a clustering algorithm is used in combination with a subsampling procedure to detect stable clusters. Previous studies on both simulated and real data suggest that consensus clustering outperforms native algorithms.…

The clustering of bounded data presents unique challenges in statistical analysis due to the constraints imposed on the data values. This paper introduces a novel method for model-based clustering specifically designed for bounded data.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-16 Luca Scrucca

Cluster sampling is common in survey practice, and the corresponding inference has been predominantly design-based. We develop a Bayesian framework for cluster sampling and account for the design effect in the outcome modeling. We consider…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-24 Susanna Makela , Yajuan Si , Andrew Gelman

ProfileGLMM is an R package integrating Generalised Linear Mixed Models (GLMMs) as the outcome model for Bayesian profile regression. This statistical framework simultaneously i) explains the variation in the outcome and ii) clusters the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-23 Matteo Amestoy , Mark A. van de Wiel , Wessel N. van Wieringen

Survey data are often collected under multistage sampling designs where units are binned to clusters that are sampled in a first stage. The unit-indexed population variables of interest are typically dependent within cluster. We propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-26 Luis G. Leon-Novelo , Terrance D. Savitsky

In many modern applications, there is interest in analyzing enormous data sets that cannot be easily moved across computers or loaded into memory on a single computer. In such settings, it is very common to be interested in clustering.…

Computation · Statistics 2020-05-15 Hanyu Song , Yingjian Wang , David B. Dunson

A model based clustering procedure for data of mixed type, clustMD, is developed using a latent variable model. It is proposed that a latent variable, following a mixture of Gaussian distributions, generates the observed data of mixed type.…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-06 Damien McParland , Isobel Claire Gormley

Classically, Bayesian clustering interprets each component of a mixture model as a cluster. The inferred clustering posterior is highly sensitive to any inaccuracies in the kernel within each component. As this kernel is made more flexible,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-12 David Buch , Miheer Dewaskar , David B. Dunson

A major challenge in cluster analysis is that the number of data clusters is mostly unknown and it must be estimated prior to clustering the observed data. In real-world applications, the observed data is often subject to heavy tailed noise…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-06 Freweyni K. Teklehaymanot , Michael Muma , Abdelhak M. Zoubir

Maximum likelihood estimates (MLEs) are asymptotically normally distributed, and this property is used in meta-analyses to test the heterogeneity of estimates, either for a single cluster or for several sub-groups. More recently, MLEs for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-28 Anthony J. Webster

We describe and analyze a broad class of mixture models for real-valued multivariate data in which the probability density of observations within each component of the model is represented as an arbitrary combination of basis functions.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-28 M. E. J. Newman

Cluster analysis of biological samples using gene expression measurements is a common task which aids the discovery of heterogeneous biological sub-populations having distinct mRNA profiles. Several model-based clustering algorithms have…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-01-30 Alberto Cozzini , Ajay Jasra , Giovanni Montana

Quality assessments of models in unsupervised learning and clustering verification in particular have been a long-standing problem in the machine learning research. The lack of robust and universally applicable cluster validity scores often…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-30 Luzie Helfmann , Johannes von Lindheim , Mattes Mollenhauer , Ralf Banisch

This paper applies the Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) statistical ensemble technique to estimate small molecule solvation free energies. There is a wide range of methods available for predicting solvation free energies, ranging from…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2016-12-16 Luke J. Gosink , Christopher C. Overall , Sarah M. Reehl , Paul D. Whitney , David L. Mobley , Nathan A. Baker

Mixture model-based frameworks are very popular for statistical inference in clustering. While convenient for producing probabilistic estimates of cluster assignments and uncertainty, they are prone to misspecification, which can lead to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Yu Zheng , Leo L. Duan , Arkaprava Roy