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This paper presents a novel learning based framework for predicting power outages caused by extreme events. The proposed approach targets low-probability high-consequence outage scenarios and leverages a comprehensive set of features…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-11 Nina Fatehi , Antar Kumar Biswas , Masoud H. Nazari

Electricity is difficult to store, except at prohibitive cost, and therefore the balance between generation and load must be maintained at all times. Electricity is traditionally managed by anticipating demand and intermittent production…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-26 Julie Keisler , Margaux Bregere

We present a unified probabilistic gradient boosting framework for regression tasks that models and predicts the entire conditional distribution of a univariate response variable as a function of covariates. Our likelihood-based approach…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-05 Alexander März , Thomas Kneib

Accurate network synchronization is a key enabler for services such as coherent transmission, cooperative decoding, and localization in distributed and cell-free networks. Unlike centralized networks, where synchronization is generally…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-03 Dieter Verbruggen , Hazem Sallouha , Sofie Pollin

Recent years have seen a notable increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events. With a rising number of power outages caused by these events, accurate prediction of power line outages is essential for safe and reliable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-20 Xiaolin Chen , Qiuhua Huang , Yuqi Zhou

Transmission line failures in power systems propagate and cascade non-locally. In this work, we propose an adaptive control strategy that offers strong guarantees in both the mitigation and localization of line failures. Specifically, we…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-16 Chen Liang , Linqi Guo , Alessandro Zocca , Steven H. Low , Adam Wierman

Threats against power grids continue to increase, as extreme weather conditions and natural disasters (extreme events) become more frequent. Hence, there is a need for the simulation and modeling of power grids to reflect realistic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-09 Sarmad Hanif , Monish Mukherjee , Shiva Poudel , Rohit A Jinsiwale , Min Gyung Yu , Trevor Hardy , Hayden Reeve

Most machine learning models operate under the assumption that the training, testing and deployment data is independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.). This assumption doesn't generally hold true in a natural setting. Usually, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Kumud Lakara , Akshat Bhandari , Pratinav Seth , Ujjwal Verma

The occurrence of large-scale power outages induced by natural disasters has been on the rise in a changing climate. Such power outages often last extended durations, causing substantial financial losses and socioeconomic impacts to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Chenghao Duan , Chuanyi Ji , Anwar Walid , Scott Ganz

Windstorms significantly impact the UK, causing extensive damage to property, disrupting society, and potentially resulting in loss of life. Accurate modelling and understanding of such events are essential for effective risk assessment and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-18 Etron Yee Chun Tsoi

This paper considers deployment problems where a mobile robotic network must optimize its configuration in a distributed way in order to minimize a steady-state cost function that depends on the spatial distribution of certain probabilistic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-08-20 Jerome Le Ny , George J. Pappas

Climate change is intensifying rainfall extremes, making high-resolution precipitation projections crucial for society to better prepare for impacts such as flooding. However, current Global Climate Models (GCMs) operate at spatial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Ran Lyu , Linhan Wang , Yanshen Sun , Hedanqiu Bai , Chang-Tien Lu

Accurate estimates of network parameters are essential for modeling, monitoring, and control in power distribution systems. In this paper, we develop a physics-informed graphical learning algorithm to estimate network parameters of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-19 Wenyu Wang , Nanpeng Yu

Extreme weather events and cyberattacks can cause component failures and disrupt the operation of power distribution networks (DNs), during which reconfiguration and load shedding are often adopted for resilience enhancement. This study…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-10 Roshni Anna Jacob , Prithvi Poddar , Jaidev Goel , Souma Chowdhury , Yulia R. Gel , Jie Zhang

As climate change intensifies, the shift to cleaner energy sources becomes increasingly urgent. With wind energy production set to accelerate, reliable wind probabilistic forecasts are essential to ensure its efficient use. However, since…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Jean-Sébastien Giroux , Simon-Philippe Breton , Julie Carreau

Machine learning (ML) offers a computationally efficient approach for generating large ensembles of high-resolution climate projections, but deterministic ML methods often smooth fine-scale structures and underestimate extremes. While…

By framing reinforcement learning as a sequence modeling problem, recent work has enabled the use of generative models, such as diffusion models, for planning. While these models are effective in predicting long-horizon state trajectories…

Overhead lines are generally used for electrical energy transmission. Also, XLPE underground cable lines are generally used in the city center and the crowded areas to provide electrical safety, so high voltage underground cable lines are…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-09 Serkan Budak , Bahadir Akbal

Management and efficient operations in critical infrastructure such as Smart Grids take huge advantage of accurate power load forecasting which, due to its nonlinear nature, remains a challenging task. Recently, deep learning has emerged in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-23 Alberto Gasparin , Slobodan Lukovic , Cesare Alippi

Intense precipitation events are commonly known to be associated with an increased risk of flooding. As a result of the societal and infrastructural risks linked with flooding, extremes of precipitation require careful modelling. Extreme…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-06 Paul Sharkey , Hugo C. Winter
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