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This paper examines the use of risk models to predict the timing and location of wildfires caused by electricity infrastructure. Our data include historical ignition and wire-down points triggered by grid infrastructure collected between…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-28 Mengqi Yao , Meghana Bharadwaj , Zheng Zhang , Baihong Jin , Duncan S. Callaway

The recent increase in renewable energy penetration at the distribution level introduces a multi-directional power flow that outdated traditional fault location techniques. To this extent, the development of new methods is needed to ensure…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-26 Mauro Caporuscio , Antoine Dupuis , Welf Löwe

A novel approach is suggested for improving the accuracy of fault detection in distribution networks. This technique combines adaptive probability learning and waveform decomposition to optimize the similarity of features. Its objective is…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-03 Xinliang Ma , Weihua Liu , Bingying Jin

Traditionally power distribution networks are either not observable or only partially observable. This complicates development and implementation of new smart grid technologies, such as those related to demand response, outage detection and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-02 Deepjyoti Deka , Scott Backhaus , Michael Chertkov

Natural disasters such as hurricanes, wildfires, and winter storms have induced large-scale power outages in the U.S., resulting in tremendous economic and societal impacts. Accurately predicting power outage recovery and impact is key to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Chenghao Duan , Chuanyi Ji

Extreme weather events during peak winter periods drive resource adequacy risk in Great Britain (GB), with weather sensitivity of the supply-demand balance increasing through additional electric heating and wind generation. This work…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-23 Aninda Bhattacharya , Chris J. Dent , Amy L. Wilson , Gabriele C. Hegerl

This paper presents a deep learning-based approach for hourly power outage probability prediction within census tracts encompassing a utility company's service territory. Two distinct deep learning models, conditional Multi-Layer Perceptron…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-05 Xuesong Wang , Nina Fatehi , Caisheng Wang , Masoud H. Nazari

Evaluating resilience in electric distribution systems under severe weather requires models that can connect network topology, hazard simulation, fragility modeling, restoration assumptions, repair strategy, and downstream consequences.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-19 Xuesong Wang , Caisheng Wang , Carol Miller , Amir Shahin Kamjou , John Norton

Accurate mid-term (weeks to one year) hourly electricity load forecasts are essential for strategic decision-making in power plant operation, ensuring supply security and grid stability, planning and building energy storage systems, and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-01 Monika Zimmermann , Florian Ziel

Extreme weather frequently cause widespread outages in distribution systems (DSs), demonstrating the importance of hardening strategies for resilience enhancement. However, the well-utilization of real-world outage data with associated…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-06 Wenlong Shi , Hongyi Li , Zhaoyu Wang

The classification of weather data involves categorizing meteorological phenomena into classes, thereby facilitating nuanced analyses and precise predictions for various sectors such as agriculture, aviation, and disaster management. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-23 Elaheh Jafarigol , Theodore Trafalis

Accurate prediction of wind power is essential for the grid integration of this intermittent renewable source and aiding grid planners in forecasting available wind capacity. Spatial differences lead to discrepancies in climatological data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Md Saiful Islam Sajol , Md Shazid Islam , A S M Jahid Hasan , Md Saydur Rahman , Jubair Yusuf

The reliable power system operation is a major goal for electric utilities, which requires the accurate reliability forecasting to minimize the duration of power interruptions. Since weather conditions are usually the leading causes for…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-12 Longfei Wei , Arif I. Sarwat

Voltage prediction in distribution grids is a critical yet difficult task for maintaining power system stability. Machine learning approaches, particularly Graph Neural Networks (GNNs), offer significant speedups but suffer from poor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Ehimare Okoyomon , Arbel Yaniv , Christoph Goebel

Operating an active distribution network (ADN) in the absence of enough measurements, the presence of distributed energy resources, and poor knowledge of responsive demand behaviour is a huge challenge. This paper introduces systematic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-24 Malek Alduhaymi , Ravindra Singh , Firdous Ul Nazir , Bikash C. Pal

The resilience of electric power grids is threatened by natural hazards. Climate-related hazards are becoming more frequent and intense due to climate change. Statistical analyses clearly demonstrate a rise in the number of incidents (power…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-30 George Karagiannakis , Mathaios Panteli , Sotirios Argyroudis

An accurate forecast of electric demand is essential for the optimal design of a generation system. For district installations, the projected lifespan may extend one or two decades. The reliance on a single-year forecast, combined with a…

Forecasting electricity demand is increasingly challenging as energy systems become more decentralized and intertwined with renewable sources. Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have recently emerged as a powerful paradigm to model spatial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Eloi Campagne , Yvenn Amara-Ouali , Yannig Goude , Itai Zehavi , Argyris Kalogeratos

The growing prevalence of extreme weather events driven by climate change poses significant challenges to power system resilience. Infrastructure damage and prolonged power outages highlight the urgent need for effective grid-hardening…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-30 Sifat Chowdhury , Yihsu Chen , Yu Zhang

Accurate production forecasts are essential to continue facilitating the integration of renewable energy sources into the power grid. This paper illustrates how to obtain probabilistic day-ahead forecasts of wind power generation via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Max Bruninx , Diederik van Binsbergen , Timothy Verstraeten , Ann Nowé , Jan Helsen