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Thanks to the high potential for profit, trading has become increasingly attractive to investors as the cryptocurrency and stock markets rapidly expand. However, because financial markets are intricate and dynamic, accurately predicting…

This paper describes the approach proposed by the D2KLab team for the 2020 RecSys Challenge on the task of predicting user engagement facing tweets. This approach relies on two distinct stages. First, relevant features are learned from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Amine Dadoun , Ismail Harrando , Pasquale Lisena , Alison Reboud , Raphael Troncy

Since Bitcoin first appeared on the scene in 2009, cryptocurrencies have become a worldwide phenomenon as important decentralized financial assets. Their decentralized nature, however, leads to notable volatility against traditional fiat…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-23 Zeyd Boukhers , Azeddine Bouabdallah , Cong Yang , Jan Jürjens

Social media feeds typically favor posts according to user engagement. The most ubiquitous type of engagement (and the type we study) is *likes*. Users customarily take engagement metrics such as likes as a neutral proxy for quality and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-05-15 Laura Jahn , Rasmus K. Rendsvig

Social media feeds have become central to the Internet. Among the most visible are trending feeds, which rank content deemed timely and relevant. To examine how feed signals influence behaviors and perceptions, we conducted a randomized…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Jackie Chan , Fred Choi , Koustuv Saha , Eshwar Chandrasekharan

This study examines the weak form of the efficient market hypothesis for Bitcoin using a feedforward neural network. Due to the increasing popularity of cryptocurrencies in recent years, the question has arisen, as to whether market…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-16 Mike Kraehenbuehl , Joerg Osterrieder

There is a growing interest in understanding the energy and environmental footprint of digital currencies, specifically in cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. These cryptocurrencies are operated by a geographically distributed…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-10-24 Ashish Rajendra Sai , Harald Vranken

Cryptocurrency blockchains, beyond their primary role as distributed payment systems, are increasingly used to store and share arbitrary content, such as text messages and files. Although often non-financial, this hidden content can impact…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-21 Charalampos Kleitsikas , Nikolaos Korfiatis , Stefanos Leonardos , Carmine Ventre

While attention is a predictor for digital asset prices, and jumps in Bitcoin prices are well-known, we know little about its alternatives. Studying high frequency crypto data gives us the unique possibility to confirm that cross market…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-19 Danial Saef , Odett Nagy , Sergej Sizov , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

Portfolio management is the decision-making process of allocating an amount of fund into different financial investment products. Cryptocurrencies are electronic and decentralized alternatives to government-issued money, with Bitcoin as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-12 Zhengyao Jiang , Jinjun Liang

The success of online social platforms hinges on their ability to predict and understand user behavior at scale. Here, we present data suggesting that context-aware modeling approaches may offer a holistic yet lightweight and potentially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-17 Heinrich Peters , Yozen Liu , Francesco Barbieri , Raiyan Abdul Baten , Sandra C. Matz , Maarten W. Bos

News feeds in virtually all social media platforms include engagement metrics, such as the number of times each post is liked and shared. We find that exposure to these social engagement signals increases the vulnerability of users to…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-07-31 Mihai Avram , Nicholas Micallef , Sameer Patil , Filippo Menczer

This paper provides an extensive examination of a sizable dataset of English tweets focusing on nine widely recognized cryptocurrencies, specifically Cardano, Binance, Bitcoin, Dogecoin, Ethereum, Fantom, Matic, Shiba, and Ripple. Our…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Zahra Ahani , Moein Shahiki Tash , Yoel Ledo Mezquita , Jason Angel

Being archetypal complex systems, financial markets exhibit rich set of dynamics in their interactions. In this paper, we focus on the recently evolved cryptocurrency market as an example of a complex system and analyse the evolution of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-23 Vishwas Kukreti

This paper analyzes correlations and causalities between Bitcoin market indicators and Twitter posts containing emotional signals on Bitcoin. Within a timeframe of 104 days (November 23rd 2013 - March 7th 2014), about 160,000 Twitter posts…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-01-19 Jermain Kaminski

Social systems are characterized by an enormous network of connections and factors that can influence the structure and dynamics of these systems. All financial markets, including the cryptocurrency market, belong to the economical sphere…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-22 Stanisław Drożdż , Jarosław Kwapień , Paweł Oświęcimka , Tomasz Stanisz , Marcin Wątorek

Cryptocurrency markets have many of the characteristics of 20th century commodities markets, making them an attractive candidate for trend following strategies. We present a decade of evidence from the infancy of bitcoin, showcasing the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-28 Evans Rozario , Samuel Holt , James West , Shaun Ng

Recent research brought awareness of the issue of bots on social media and the significant risks of mass manipulation of public opinion in the context of political discussion. In this work, we leverage Twitter to study the discourse during…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-02-11 Luca Luceri , Ashok Deb , Adam Badawy , Emilio Ferrara

Despite being described as a medium of exchange, cryptocurrencies do not have the typical attributes of a medium of exchange. Consequently, cryptocurrencies are more appropriately described as crypto assets. A common investment attribute…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-15 Yuan Hu , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Frank J. Fabozzi

National football teams increasingly issue tradeable blockchain-based fan tokens to strategically enhance fan engagement. This study investigates the impact of 2022 World Cup matches on the dynamic performance of each team's fan token. The…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-26 Aman Saggu , Lennart Ante , Ender Demir
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