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We suggest a new single-equation test for Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP) based on a dynamic regression approach. The method provides consistent and asymptotically efficient parameter estimates, and is not dependent on assumptions of strict…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-11-03 Richard T. Baillie , Francis X. Diebold , George Kapetanios , Kun Ho Kim

Financial markets based on L\'evy processes are typically incomplete and option prices depend on risk attitudes of individual agents. In this context, the notion of utility indifference price has gained popularity in the academic circles.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-24 Clément Ménassé , Peter Tankov

We model human decision-making behaviors in a risk-taking task using inverse reinforcement learning (IRL) for the purposes of understanding real human decision making under risk. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work applying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-14 Quanying Liu , Haiyan Wu , Anqi Liu

Random Utility Models (RUMs) are a classical framework for modeling user preferences and play a key role in reward modeling for Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback (RLHF). However, a crucial shortcoming of many of these techniques is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Yeshwanth Cherapanamjeri , Constantinos Daskalakis , Gabriele Farina , Sobhan Mohammadpour

This paper develops a risk-adjusted alternative to standard optimal policy learning (OPL) for observational data by importing Roy's (1952) safety-first principle into the treatment assignment problem. We formalize a welfare functional that…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-07 Giovanni Cerulli , Francesco Caracciolo

The fundamental principle in Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) is based on the quantification of the portfolio's risk related to performance. Although MPT has made huge impacts on the investment world and prompted the success and prevalence of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-15 Shi Yu , Haoran Wang , Chaosheng Dong

Absolute anonymization, conceived as an irreversible transformation that prevents re-identification and sensitive value disclosure, has proven to be a broken promise. Consequently, modern data protection must shift toward a privacy-utility…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-16 Raphaël de Fondeville

We show that risk-aware behaviors in demand response originate from superquadratic state-dependent cost functions and price uncertainty with skewed distributions. We obtain such results through developing a novel theoretical demand response…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-24 Liudong Chen , Bolun Xu

Gilboa and Schmeidler's (1989) uncertainty aversion plays a central role in decision theory and economics, yet many inconsistent behaviors have been observed in experiments. Motivated by this, we study an axiom postulating a minimal degree…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-22 Kensei Nakamura , Shohei Yanagita

We consider a discrete time financial market with proportional transaction costs under model uncertainty, and study a num\'eraire-based semi-static utility maximization problem with an exponential utility preference. The randomization…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-02 Shuoqing Deng , Xiaolu Tan , Xiang Yu

In the general framework of a semimartingale financial model and a utility function $U$ defined on the positive real line, we compute the first-order expansion of marginal utility-based prices with respect to a ``small'' number of random…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Dmitry Kramkov , Mihai S\^{ı}rbu

We propose a method to assess the intrinsic risk carried by a financial position $X$ when the agent faces uncertainty about the pricing rule assigning its present value. Our approach is inspired by a new interpretation of the quasiconvex…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-17 Marco Frittelli , Marco Maggis

We implement nonparametric revealed-preference tests of subjective expected utility theory and its generalizations. We find that a majority of subjects' choices are consistent with the maximization of some utility function. They respond to…

General Economics · Economics 2021-05-04 Federico Echenique , Taisuke Imai , Kota Saito

We develop a framework for interacting with uncertain environments in reinforcement learning (RL) by leveraging preferences in the form of utility functions. We claim that there is value in considering different risk measures during…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Hannes Eriksson , Christos Dimitrakakis

In this paper, we study the exponential utility indifference pricing of pure endowment policies within a stochastic-factor model for an insurer who also invests in a financial market. Our framework incorporates a hazard rate modeled as an…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-30 Alessandra Cretarola , Benedetta Salterini

In this paper, we examine the biases that arise when firms run A/B tests on continuous parameters to estimate global treatment effects on performance metrics of interest; we particularly focus on price experiments to measure the price…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-22 Ramesh Johari , Orrie B. Page , Gabriel Y. Weintraub

Modern portfolio theory(MPT) addresses the problem of determining the optimum allocation of investment resources among a set of candidate assets. In the original mean-variance approach of Markowitz, volatility is taken as a proxy for risk,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Morrel H. Cohen , Vincent D. Natoli

We consider the Bachelier model with linear price impact. Exponential utility indifference prices are studied for vanilla European options and we compute their non-trivial scaling limit for a vanishing price impact which is inversely…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-07 Yan Dolinsky , Shir Moshe

We consider a discrete-time robust utility maximisation with semistatic strategies, and the associated indifference prices of exotic options. For this purpose, we introduce a robust form of convex integral functionals on the space of…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-01 Keita Owari

We study Pareto efficiency in a pure-exchange economy where agents' preferences are represented by risk-averse monetary utilities. These coincide with law-invariant monetary utilities, and they can be shown to correspond to the class of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-15 Mario Ghossoub , Michael Boyuan Zhu