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The dynamics of political opinion are a critical component of modern society with large-scale implications for the evolution of intra- and international political discourse and policy. Here we utilize recent high-resolution survey data to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-15 David Sabin-Miller , Christopher Harding

This paper presents quasi-experimental research examining the effect of both local and state anti-discrimination laws on sexual orientation on the labor supply and wages of lesbian, gay, and bisexual (LGB) workers. To do so, we use the…

General Economics · Economics 2025-11-21 Scott Delhommer , Domonkos F. Vamossy

How could LLMs influence our democracy? We investigate LLMs' political leanings and the potential influence of LLMs on voters by conducting multiple experiments in a U.S. presidential election context. Through a voting simulation, we first…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Yujin Potter , Shiyang Lai , Junsol Kim , James Evans , Dawn Song

When can an interest group exploit polarization between political parties to its advantage? Building upon Battaglini and Patacchini (2018), we study a model where an interest group credibly promises payments to legislators conditional on…

General Economics · Economics 2023-08-11 Ratul Das Chaudhury , C. Matthew Leister , Birendra Rai

We empirically investigate the distributional effects of inflation on workers' unemployment tail risks using instrumental variable quantile regression. We find that supply-driven inflation disproportionately raises unemployment tail risks…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-12 Hie Joo Ahn , Lam Nguyen

Social media has been a paramount arena for election campaigns for political actors. While many studies have been paying attention to the political campaigns related to partisanship, politicians also can conduct different campaigns…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Taichi Murayama , Akira Matsui , Kunihiro Miyazaki , Yasuko Matsubara , Yasushi Sakurai

Our infrastructure systems enable our well-being by allowing us to move, store, and transform materials and information given considerable social and environmental variation. Critically, this ability is shaped by the degree to which society…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-10-28 Adam Wiechman , John M. Anderies , Margaret Garcia

Immigration is often blamed for increasing unemployment among local workers. This sentiment is reflected in the rise of anti-immigration parties and policies in Western democracies. And in fact, numerous studies estimate that in the short…

General Economics · Economics 2024-12-11 Pascal Michaillat

"Big data" gives markets access to previously unmeasured characteristics of individual agents. Policymakers must decide whether and how to regulate the use of this data. We study how new data affects incentives for agents to exert effort in…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-09-05 Annie Liang , Erik Madsen

Many studies suggest that LLMs have left wing leans. The article extends previous analysis of US presidential elections considering several virtual elections in multiple European countries. The analysis considers multiple LLMs and the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Federico Ricciuti

Election data represent a precious source of information to study human behavior at a large scale. In proportional elections with open lists, the number of votes received by a candidate, rescaled by the average performance of all…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-01-25 Arnab Chatterjee , Marija Mitrović , Santo Fortunato

Given large language models' (LLMs) increasing integration into workplace software, it is important to examine how biases in the models may impact workers. For example, stylistic biases in the language suggested by LLMs may cause feelings…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Kowe Kadoma , Marianne Aubin Le Quere , Jenny Fu , Christin Munsch , Danae Metaxa , Mor Naaman

An increasing number of politicians are relying on cheaper, easier to access technologies such as online social media platforms to communicate with their constituency. These platforms present a cheap and low-barrier channel of communication…

General Economics · Economics 2020-12-08 Benson Tsz Kin Leung , Pinar Yildirim

Using rich Swedish administrative data, we apply causal machine learning methods to study how earnings losses after job displacement vary with observable characteristics that may be relevant for targeting policy interventions for workers.…

General Economics · Economics 2026-03-17 Susan Athey , Lisa K. Simon , Oskar N. Skans , Johan Vikstrom , Yaroslav Yakymovych

Consensus decision-making in social groups strongly depends on communication links that determine to whom individuals send, and from whom they receive, information. Here, we ask how consensus decisions are affected by strategic updating of…

The integrity of elections is central to democratic systems. However, a myriad of malicious actors aspire to influence election outcomes for financial or political benefit. A common means to such ends is by manipulating perceptions of the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Junlin Wu , Andrew Estornell , Lecheng Kong , Yevgeniy Vorobeychik

Strong empirical evidence from laboratory experiments, and more recently from population surveys, shows that individuals, when evaluating their situations, pay attention to whether they experience gains or losses, with losses weighing more…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-10-17 Martyna Kobus , Radosław Kurek , Thomas Parker

Social media broadly refers to digital platforms and applications that simulate social interactions online. This study investigates the impact of social media platforms and their algorithms on political interest among users. As social media…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Waseq Billah

Attitudes can have a profound impact on socially relevant behaviours, such as voting. However, this effect is not uniform across situations or individuals, and it is at present difficult to predict whether attitudes will predict behaviour…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-09-07 Jonas Dalege , Denny Borsboom , Frenk van Harreveld , Lourens J. Waldorp , Han L. J. van der Maas

The city has proven to be the most successful form of human agglomeration and provides wide employment opportunities for its dwellers. As advances in robotics and artificial intelligence revive concerns about the impact of automation on…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-02-08 Morgan R. Frank , Lijun Sun , Manuel Cebrian , Hyejin Youn , Iyad Rahwan