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Model misspecification can create significant challenges for the implementation of probabilistic models, and this has led to development of a range of robust methods which directly account for this issue. However, whether these more…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-22 Oscar Key , Arthur Gretton , François-Xavier Briol , Tamara Fernandez

We propose a nonparametric statistical test for goodness-of-fit: given a set of samples, the test determines how likely it is that these were generated from a target density function. The measure of goodness-of-fit is a divergence…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-28 Kacper Chwialkowski , Heiko Strathmann , Arthur Gretton

Significant progress has been made in developing identification and estimation techniques for missing data problems where modeling assumptions can be described via a directed acyclic graph. The validity of results using such techniques rely…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-13 Razieh Nabi , Rohit Bhattacharya

We introduce a new statistical test based on the observed spacings of ordered data. The statistic is sensitive to detect non-uniformity in random samples, or short-lived features in event time series. Under some conditions, this new test…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-27 Philipp Eller , Lolian Shtembari

Given an i.i.d. sample $\{(X_i,Y_i)\}_{i \in \{1 \ldots n\}}$ from the random design regression model $Y = f(X) + \epsilon$ with $(X,Y) \in [0,1] \times [-M,M]$, in this paper we consider the problem of testing the (simple) null hypothesis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-20 Pierpaolo Brutti

Statistical modeling plays a fundamental role in understanding the underlying mechanism of massive data (statistical inference) and predicting the future (statistical prediction). Although all models are wrong, researchers try their best to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-17 Hangjin Jiang

Independent component (IC) models are a standard tool for representing multivariate data in statistics, signal processing, and machine learning. Despite the extensive use of IC models, much less attention has been given to goodness-of-fit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Mingshuo Liu , Siyao Wang , Miles E. Lopes

We consider an unknown response function $f$ defined on $\Delta=[0,1]^d$, $1\le d\le\infty$, taken at $n$ random uniform design points and observed with Gaussian noise of known variance. Given a positive sequence $r_n\to 0$ as $n\to\infty$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-01-17 Yuri I. Ingster , Theofanis Sapatinas

The multi-class prediction had gained popularity over recent years. Thus measuring fit goodness becomes a cardinal question that researchers often have to deal with. Several metrics are commonly used for this task. However, when one has to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-12 Uri Itai , Natan Katz

We consider the error distribution in functional linear models with scalar response and functional covariate. Different asymptotic expansions of the empirical distribution function and the empirical characteristic function based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Natalie Neumeyer , Leonie Selk

We consider the goodness of fit testing problem for linear stochastic differential equation (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process). The basic hypothesis is supposed to be composite with two-dimensional unknown parameter. We study two goodness of fit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-16 Yury A. Kutoyants

We introduce a kernel-based goodness-of-fit test for censored data, where observations may be missing in random time intervals: a common occurrence in clinical trials and industrial life-testing. The test statistic is straightforward to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-11 Tamara Fernández , Arthur Gretton

Mixed-effects logistic regression is widely used for binary outcomes in hierarchical data, yet formal goodness-of-fit tests remain limited to random-intercept models and do not address sparse cluster settings. We extend a grouping-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-22 Ariel Linden

The stochastic block model is widely used for detecting community structures in network data. How to test the goodness-of-fit of the model is one of the fundamental problems and has gained growing interests in recent years. In this article,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-27 Jianwei Hu , Jingfei Zhang , Hong Qin , Ting Yan , Ji Zhu

Latent block models are used for probabilistic biclustering, which is shown to be an effective method for analyzing various relational data sets. However, there has been no statistical test method for determining the row and column cluster…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-18 Chihiro Watanabe , Taiji Suzuki

Suppose we have an observed path from a point process counting event occurrences in a large population. Based on the observed path, we would like to test the null hypothesis that the conditional intensity of the point process belongs to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Sami Umut Can , Estate V. Khmaladze , Roger J. A. Laeven

In this paper, we address the problem of testing goodness-of-fit for discrete distributions, where we focus on the geometric distribution. We define new likelihood-based goodness-of-fit tests using the beta-geometric distribution and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-09 Rasmus Erlemann , Bo Henry Lindqvist

A sizable amount of goodness-of-fit tests involving functional data have appeared in the last decade. We provide a relatively compact revision of most of these contributions, within the independent and identically distributed framework, by…

We propose a new and rather stringent criterion for testing the goodness of fit between a theory and experiment. It is motivated by the paradox that the criterion on \chi^2 for testing a theory is much weaker than the criterion for finding…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 J. C. Collins , J. Pumplin

We introduce the \textit{almost goodness-of-fit} test, a procedure to assess whether a (parametric) model provides a good representation of the probability distribution generating the observed sample. Specifically, given a distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-15 Amparo Baíllo , Javier Cárcamo