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Two information structures are said to be close if, with high probability, there is approximate common knowledge that interim beliefs are close under the two information structures. We define an "almost common knowledge topology" reflecting…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-11-15 Dirk Bergemann , Stephen Morris , Rafael Veiel

This paper proposes a belief-based framework for social norms in environments where individuals choose a single action. Relaxing the assumption that the appropriateness standard is common knowledge, the framework allows individuals to be…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-04-30 Senran Lin

Prior work has shown that causal structure can be uniquely identified from observational data when these follow a structural equation model whose error terms have equal variances. We show that this fact is implied by an ordering among…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-25 Wenyu Chen , Mathias Drton , Y. Samuel Wang

Unstoppable feedback loops and tipping points in socio-ecological systems are the main threats to sustainability. These behaviors have been extensively studied, notably to predict, and arguably deviate, dead-end trajectories. Behind the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-11 Olivier Hamant

In this note, I explore the implications of informational robustness under the assumption of common belief in rationality. That is, predictions for incomplete-information games which are valid across all possible information structures.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-02-08 Gabriel Ziegler

Inferring the effect of interventions within complex systems is a fundamental problem of statistics. A widely studied approach employs structural causal models that postulate noisy functional relations among a set of interacting variables.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-14 David Strieder , Mathias Drton

Different types of reasoning impose different structural demands on representational systems, yet no systematic account of these demands exists across psychology, AI, and philosophy of mind. I propose a framework identifying four structural…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Yiling Wu

Our recent paper [Grauwin et al. Sci. Rep. 7 (2017)] demonstrates that community and hierarchical structure of the networks of human interactions largely determines the least and should be taken into account while modeling them. In the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-12-18 Stanislav Sobolevsky

We establish the hierarchy among twelve equivalence relations (similarities) on the class of relational structures: the equality, the isomorphism, the equimorphism, the full relation, four similarities of structures induced by similarities…

Logic · Mathematics 2017-09-26 Miloš S. Kurilić

Evaluation is a critical activity associated with any theory. Yet this has proven to be an exceptionally challenging activity for theories based on cognitive architectures. For an overlapping set of reasons, evaluation can also be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Paul S. Rosenbloom

Understanding how biological organisms make decisions is of fundamental importance in understanding behavior. Such an understanding within evolutionary game theory so far has been sought by appealing to bounded rationality. Here, we present…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-16 Mohammad Salahshour

Recently, there has been some discussion of how Dutch Book arguments might be used to demonstrate the rational incoherence of certain hidden variable models of quantum theory (Feintzeig and Fletcher 2017). In this paper, we argue that the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-09-12 Jeremy Steeger , Nicholas Teh

Variable selection for models including interactions between explanatory variables often needs to obey certain hierarchical constraints. The weak or strong structural hierarchy requires that the existence of an interaction term implies at…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-10 Yiyuan She , Zhifeng Wang , He Jiang

Human social hierarchy has the unique characteristic of existing in two forms. Firstly, as an informal hierarchy where leaders and followers are implicitly defined by their personal characteristics, and secondly, as an institutional…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-04 Cedric Perret , Emma Hart , Simon T. Powers

The covariance matrix of random variables $X_1,\dots,X_n$ is said to have an intraclass covariance structure if the variances of all the $X_i$'s are the same and all the pairwise covariances of the $X_i$'s are the same. We provide a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-05 Iosif Pinelis

Hierarchy significantly shapes interactions in social structures by organizing individuals or groups based on status, power, or privilege. This study investigates how hierarchy affects structural balance as temperature variations, which…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-25 Amir Kargaran , Houman Jafari , G. Reza Jafari

Motivated by the search for forms of distributed belief that do not collapse in the face of conflicting information, this paper introduces the notions of cautious and bold distributed belief. Both notions rely on maximally consistent…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-08-21 John Lindqvist , Fernando R. Velázquez-Quesada , Thomas Ågotnes

The ordinary Structure Identity Principle states that any property of set-level structures (e.g., posets, groups, rings, fields) definable in Univalent Foundations is invariant under isomorphism: more specifically, identifications of…

This book is concerned with the various aspects of hierarchical collective behaviour which is manifested by most complex systems in nature. From the many of the possible topics, we plan to present a selection of those that we think are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-07-07 Anna Zafeiris , Tamás Vicsek

Standard rational expectations models with an occasionally binding zero lower bound constraint either admit no solutions (incoherence) or multiple solutions (incompleteness). This paper shows that deviations from full-information rational…

General Economics · Economics 2023-11-01 Guido Ascari , Sophocles Mavroeidis , Nigel McClung