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In multi-state models based on high-dimensional data, effective modeling strategies are required to determine an optimal, ideally parsimonious model. In particular, linking covariate effects across transitions is needed to conduct joint…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-27 Kaya Miah , Jelle J. Goeman , Hein Putter , Annette Kopp-Schneider , Axel Benner

This paper introduces a multi-way tensor generalization of the Bigraphical Lasso (BiGLasso), which uses a two-way sparse Kronecker-sum multivariate-normal model for the precision matrix to parsimoniously model conditional dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-24 Kristjan Greenewald , Shuheng Zhou , Alfred Hero

The time-evolving precision matrix of a piecewise-constant Gaussian graphical model encodes the dynamic conditional dependency structure of a multivariate time-series. Traditionally, graphical models are estimated under the assumption that…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-01 Alexander J. Gibberd , James D. B. Nelson

This paper proposes corrected forecast combinations when the original combined forecast errors are serially dependent. Motivated by the classic Bates and Granger (1969) example, we show that combined forecast errors can be strongly…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-16 Chu-An Liu , Andrey L. Vasnev

The regression of multiple inter-connected sequence data is a problem in various disciplines. Formally, we name the regression problem of multiple inter-connected data entities as the "dynamic network regression" in this paper. Within the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-19 Yixin Chen , Lin Meng , Jiawei Zhang

Graphical Lasso (GL) is a popular method for learning the structure of an undirected graphical model, which is based on an $l_1$ regularization technique. The objective of this paper is to compare the computationally-heavy GL technique with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-02 Salar Fattahi , Somayeh Sojoudi

In recent years, network models have gained prominence for their ability to capture complex associations. In statistical omics, networks can be used to model and study the functional relationships between genes, proteins, and other types of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-21 Camilla Lingjærde , Sylvia Richardson

Gaussian graphical models are nowadays commonly applied to the comparison of groups sharing the same variables, by jointy learning their independence structures. We consider the case where there are exactly two dependent groups and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-14 Saverio Ranciati , Alberto Roverato

Following the success of Transformer architectures in language modeling, particularly their ability to capture long-range dependencies, researchers have explored how these architectures can be adapted for time-series forecasting.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Abukar Ali

Logistic models are studied as a tool to convert output from numerical weather forecasting systems (deterministic and ensemble) into probability forecasts for binary events. A logistic model obtains by putting the logarithmic odds ratio…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-01-29 Jochen Bröcker

We consider the task of estimating a Gaussian graphical model in the high-dimensional setting. The graphical lasso, which involves maximizing the Gaussian log likelihood subject to an l1 penalty, is a well-studied approach for this task. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-07-23 Kean Ming Tan , Daniela Witten , Ali Shojaie

Improvement of time series forecasting accuracy through combining multiple models is an important as well as a dynamic area of research. As a result, various forecasts combination methods have been developed in literature. However, most of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Ratnadip Adhikari , R. K. Agrawal

Gaussian Graphical Models (GGMs) have wide-ranging applications in machine learning and the natural and social sciences. In most of the settings in which they are applied, the number of observed samples is much smaller than the dimension…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-10 Jonathan Kelner , Frederic Koehler , Raghu Meka , Ankur Moitra

Through recognizing causal subgraphs, causal graph learning (CGL) has risen to be a promising approach for improving the generalizability of graph neural networks under out-of-distribution (OOD) scenarios. However, the empirical successes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Yujia Yin , Tianyi Qu , Zihao Wang , Yifan Chen

We present a new method for forecasting systems of multiple interrelated time series. The method learns the forecast models together with discovering leading indicators from within the system that serve as good predictors improving the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-03 Magda Gregorova , Alexandros Kalousis , Stephane Marchand-Maillet

We develop a new method called Discriminated Hub Graphical Lasso (DHGL) based on Hub Graphical Lasso (HGL) by providing prior information of hubs. We apply this new method in two situations: with known hubs and without known hubs. Then we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-19 Zhen Li , Jingtian Bai , Weilian Zhou

We consider estimation of undirected Gaussian graphical models and inverse covariances in high-dimensional scenarios by penalizing the corresponding precision matrix. While single $L_1$ (Graphical Lasso) and $L_2$ (Graphical Ridge)…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-07 Solt Kovács , Tobias Ruckstuhl , Helena Obrist , Peter Bühlmann

Time series forecasting presents unique challenges that limit the effectiveness of traditional machine learning algorithms. To address these limitations, various approaches have incorporated linear constraints into learning algorithms, such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-18 Nathan Doumèche , Francis Bach , Éloi Bedek , Gérard Biau , Claire Boyer , Yannig Goude

This article proposes an estimation method to detect breakpoints for linear time series models with their parameters that jump scarcely. Its basic idea owes the group LASSO (group least absolute shrinkage and selection operator). The method…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-08 Mikio Ito

Time series forecasting is an extensively studied subject in statistics, economics, and computer science. Exploration of the correlation and causation among the variables in a multivariate time series shows promise in enhancing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-22 Chao Shang , Jie Chen , Jinbo Bi