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In small area estimation, it is sometimes necessary to use model-based methods to produce estimates in areas with little or no data. In official statistics, we often require that some aggregate of small area estimates agree with a national…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-31 Taylor Okonek , Jon Wakefield

Compositional observations are an increasingly prevalent data source in spatial statistics. Analysis of such data is typically done on log-ratio transformations or via Dirichlet regression. However, these approaches often make unnecessarily…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-27 Michael R. Schwob , Mevin B. Hooten , Nicholas M. Calzada , Timothy H. Keitt

We present a fully Bayesian sequential strategy for predicting the mean response surface of heteroscedastic stochastic simulation functions. Leveraging dual Gaussian processes as the surrogate model and a criterion based on empirical…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-12 Yuying Huang , Samuel W. K. Wong

This article discusses estimation of a multivariate normal mean based on heteroscedastic observations. Under heteroscedasticity, estimators shrinking more on the coordinates with larger variances, seem desirable. Although they are not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-23 Yuzo Maruyama , Lawrence D. Brown , Edward I. George

The topic of deep learning has seen a surge of interest in recent years both within and outside of the field of Statistics. Deep models leverage both nonlinearity and interaction effects to provide superior predictions in many cases when…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-18 Paul A. Parker , Scott H. Holan

Multivariate spatial-statistical models are often used when modeling environmental and socio-demographic processes. The most commonly used models for multivariate spatial covariances assume both stationarity and symmetry for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-11 Quan Vu , Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Noel Cressie

We develop a Bayesian framework for variable selection in linear regression with autocorrelated errors, accommodating lagged covariates and autoregressive structures. This setting occurs in time series applications where responses depend on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-18 Alokesh Manna , Sujit K. Ghosh

Interval-valued data receives much attention due to its wide applications in the fields of finance, econometrics, meteorology and medicine. However, most regression models developed for interval-valued data assume observations are mutually…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-31 Tingting Huang

Semi-structured regression models enable the joint modeling of interpretable structured and complex unstructured feature effects. The structured model part is inspired by statistical models and can be used to infer the input-output…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-24 Daniel Dold , David Rügamer , Beate Sick , Oliver Dürr

Regularized regression models are well studied and, under appropriate conditions, offer fast and statistically interpretable results. However, large data in many applications are heterogeneous in the sense of harboring distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Konstantinos Perrakis , Thomas Lartigue , Frank Dondelinger , Sach Mukherjee

Hierarchical statistical models are widely employed in information science and data engineering. The models consist of two types of variables: observable variables that represent the given data and latent variables for the unobservable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-02-21 Keisuke Yamazaki

National statistical institutes in many countries are now mandated to produce reliable statistics for important variables such as population, income, unemployment, health outcomes, etc. for small areas, defined by geography and/or…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-29 Adrijo Chakraborty , Gauri Sankar Datta , Abhyuday Mandal

Deep heteroscedastic regression models the mean and covariance of the target distribution through neural networks. The challenge arises from heteroscedasticity, which implies that the covariance is sample dependent and is often unknown.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Megh Shukla , Aziz Shameem , Mathieu Salzmann , Alexandre Alahi

According to Hansen, Madow and Tepping [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 78 (1983) 776--793], "Probability sampling designs and randomization inference are widely accepted as the standard approach in sample surveys." In this article, reasons are…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-08-12 J. N. K. Rao

Best linear unbiased prediction is well known for its wide range of applications including small area estimation. While the theory is well established for mixed linear models and under normality of the error and mixing distributions, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Soumendra N. Lahiri , Tapabrata Maiti , Myron Katzoff , Van Parsons

In this work, we consider a multivariate regression model with one-sided errors. We assume for the regression function to lie in a general H\"{o}lder class and estimate it via a nonparametric local polynomial approach that consists of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-11 Leonie Selk , Charles Tillier , Orlando Marigliano

Linear regressions with endogeneity are widely used to estimate causal effects. This paper studies a framework that involves two common practical issues: endogeneity of the regressors and heteroskedasticity that depends on endogenous…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-10 Javier Alejo , Antonio F. Galvao , Julian Martinez-Iriarte , Gabriel Montes-Rojas

Multivariate geostatistics is based on modelling all covariances between all possible combinations of two or more variables at any sets of locations in a continuously indexed domain. Multivariate spatial covariance models need to be built…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-10 Noel Cressie , Andrew Zammit-Mangion

Area-specific causal inference is important in many policy and survey applications, where the goal is to evaluate treatment effects for small geographic or demographic domains. Existing causal small area estimation methods, however,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Tsubasa Ito , Shonosuke Sugasawa

There has been recent growth in small area estimation due to the need for more precise estimation of small geographic areas, which has led to groups such as the U.S. Census Bureau, Google, and the RAND corporation utilizing small area…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-17 Malay Ghosh , Rebecca C. Steorts
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