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Recently the so-called Prabhakar generalization of the fractional Poisson counting process attracted much interest for his flexibility to adapt real world situations. In this renewal process the waiting times between events are IID…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-10 Thomas M. Michelitsch , Federico Polito , Alejandro P. Riascos

Some probabilistic aspects of the number variance statistic are investigated. Infinite systems of independent Brownian motions and symmetric alpha-stable processes are used to construct new examples of processes which exhibit both divergent…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ben Hambly , Liza Jones

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a fundamental tool in Bayesian statistics. It is also known as kriging and is the Bayesian counterpart to the frequentist kernel ridge regression. Most of the theoretical work on GP regression has focused…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-27 Simon Barthelmé , Pierre-Olivier Amblard , Nicolas Tremblay , Konstantin Usevich

We consider two fractional versions of a family of nonnegative integer valued processes. We prove that their probability mass functions solve fractional Kolmogorov forward equations, and we show the overdispersion of these processes. As…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-13 Luisa Beghin , Claudio Macci

A novel heuristic approach is proposed here for time series data analysis, dubbed Generalized weighted permutation entropy, which amalgamates and generalizes beyond their original scope two well established data analysis methods:…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-10-19 Darko Stosic , Dusan Stosic , Tatijana Stosic , Borko Stosic

We introduce new Gaussian Process (GP) high-order approximations to linear operations that are frequently used in various numerical methods. Our method employs the kernel-based GP regression modeling, a non-parametric Bayesian approach to…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-06-09 Christopher DeGrendele , Dongwook Lee

We propose in this paper a random intercept Poisson model in which the random effect distribution is assumed to follow a generalized log-gamma (GLG) distribution. We derive the first two moments for the marginal distribution as well as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-05-12 Lizandra C. Fabio , Gilberto A. Paula , Mario de Castro

The fractional Poisson process (FPP) is a counting process with independent and identically distributed inter-event times following the Mittag-Leffler distribution. This process is very useful in several fields of applied and theoretical…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-27 Mauro Politi , Taisei Kaizoji , Enrico Scalas

To extend several known centered Gaussian processes, we introduce a new centered mixed self-similar Gaussian process called the mixed generalized fractional Brownian motion, which could serve as a good model for a larger class of natural…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Ezzedine Mliki , Shaykhah Alajmi

A new fractional non-homogeneous counting process has been introduced and developed using the Kilbas and Saigo three-parameter generalization of the Mittag-Leffler function. The probability distribution function of this process reproduces…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-01 Nick Laskin

The geometric Brownian motion (GBM) is widely employed for modeling stochastic processes, yet its solutions are characterized by the log-normal distribution. This comprises predictive capabilities of GBM mainly in terms of forecasting…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-03-19 Rishabh Gupta , Ewa A. Drzazga-Szczȩśniak , Sabre Kais , Dominik Szczȩśniak

We study scaling limits of nonlinear functions $G$ of random grain model $X$ on $\mathbb{R}^d $ with long-range dependence and marginal Poisson distribution. Following Kaj et al (2007) we assume that the intensity $M$ of the underlying…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-21 Donatas Surgailis

We study the long-range dependence (LRD) of the increments of the fractional Poisson process (FPP), the fractional negative binomial process (FNBP) and the increments of the FNBP. We first point out an error in the proof of Theorem 1 of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-21 A. Maheshwari , P. Vellaisamy

Transformed Gaussian Processes (TGPs) are stochastic processes specified by transforming samples from the joint distribution from a prior process (typically a GP) using an invertible transformation; increasing the flexibility of the base…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-03 Francisco Javier Sáez-Maldonado , Juan Maroñas , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely-used tools in spatial statistics and machine learning and the formulae for the mean function and covariance kernel of a GP $T u$ that is the image of another GP $u$ under a linear transformation $T$…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-08 Tadashi Matsumoto , T. J. Sullivan

In this paper we show the distributions of sliding block patterns for Bernoulli processes with finite alphabet, which is not based on the induction on sample size. We show a new inclusion-exclusion formula in multivariate generating…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-02-13 Hayato Takahashi

We introduce the problem of simultaneously learning all powers of a Poisson Binomial Distribution (PBD). A PBD of order $n$ is the distribution of a sum of $n$ mutually independent Bernoulli random variables $X_i$, where $\mathbb{E}[X_i] =…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-07-19 Dimitris Fotakis , Vasilis Kontonis , Piotr Krysta , Paul Spirakis

In the context of time-subordinated Brownian motion models, Fourier theory and methodology are proposed to modelling the stochastic distribution of time increments. Gaussian Variance-Mean mixtures and time-subordinated models are reviewed…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-21 Rohan Shenoy , Peter Kempthorne

We introduce a stochastic variational inference procedure for training scalable Gaussian process (GP) models whose per-iteration complexity is independent of both the number of training points, $n$, and the number basis functions used in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-05 Trefor W. Evans , Prasanth B. Nair

A new family of fractional counting processes based on a three-parameter generalized Mittag-Leffler function was introduced and studied. As applications we develop a fractional generalized compound process, introduce and develop fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-10 Nick Laskin
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