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Short-horizon epidemic forecasts guide near-term staffing, testing, and messaging. Mobility data are now routinely used to improve such forecasts, yet work diverges on whether the volume of mobility or the structure of mobility networks…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-24 Sepehr Ilami , Qingtao Cao , Babak Heydari

Although demand forecasting is a critical component of supply chain planning, actual retail data can exhibit irreconcilable seasonality, irregular spikes, and noise, rendering precise projections nearly unattainable. This paper proposes a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Khai Banh Nghiep , Duc Nguyen Minh , Lan Hoang Thi

Forecasting urban delivery demand becomes substantially more challenging when newly added service regions lack historical records. Existing spatiotemporal forecasters effectively model spatial dependence once sufficient node histories are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Yihong Tang , Tong Nie , Junlin He , Qianjun Huang , Dingyi Zhuang , Lijun Sun

As Public Transport (PT) becomes more dynamic and demand-responsive, it increasingly depends on predictions of transport demand. But how accurate need such predictions be for effective PT operation? We address this question through an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-09 Inon Peled , Kelvin Lee , Yu Jiang , Justin Dauwels , Francisco C. Pereira

We study a censored variant of the data-driven newsvendor problem, where the decision-maker must select an ordering quantity that minimizes expected overage and underage costs based only on offline censored sales data, rather than…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-22 Chamsi Hssaine , Sean R. Sinclair

In this paper, we investigate the performance of Thompson Sampling (TS) for online learning with censored feedback, focusing primarily on the classic repeated newsvendor model--a foundational framework in inventory management--and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-19 Li Chen , Hanzhang Qin , Yunbei Xu , Ruihao Zhu , Weizhou Zhang

We propose a demand estimation approach that leverages unstructured data to infer substitution patterns. Using pre-trained deep learning models, we extract embeddings from product images and textual descriptions and incorporate them into a…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-19 Giovanni Compiani , Ilya Morozov , Stephan Seiler

Millions of packages are delivered successfully by online and local retail stores across the world every day. The proper delivery of packages is needed to ensure high customer satisfaction and repeat purchases. These deliveries suffer…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-12-28 Ankush Chopra , Mahima Arora , Shubham Pandey

We study network response to queries that require computation of remotely located data and seek to characterize the performance limits in terms of maximum sustainable query rate that can be satisfied. The available resources include (i) a…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Apostolos Destounis , Georgios S. Paschos , Iordanis Koutsopoulos

Uncertainty quantification for estimation through stochastic optimization solutions in an online setting has gained popularity recently. This paper introduces a novel inference method focused on constructing confidence intervals with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 Wanrong Zhu , Zhipeng Lou , Ziyang Wei , Wei Biao Wu

We consider the problem of an aggregator attempting to learn customers' load flexibility models while implementing a load shaping program by means of broadcasting daily dispatch signals. We adopt a multi-armed bandit formulation to account…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-19 Nathaniel Tucker , Ahmadreza Moradipari , Mahnoosh Alizadeh

This paper considers a class of real-time stochastic optimization problems dependent on an unknown probability distribution. In the considered scenario, data is streaming frequently while trying to reach a decision. Thus, we aim to devise a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Dan Li , Sonia Martinez

Modern scientific instruments generate data at rates that increasingly exceed local compute capabilities and, when paired with the staging and I/O overheads of file-based transfers, also render file-based use of remote HPC resources…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Flavio Castro , Weijian Zheng , Joaquin Chung , Ian Foster , Rajkumar Kettimuthu

Deep learning approaches are increasingly used to tackle forecasting tasks involving datasets with multiple univariate time series. A key factor in the successful application of these methods is a large enough training sample size, which is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-06 Vitor Cerqueira , Moisés Santos , Luis Roque , Yassine Baghoussi , Carlos Soares

With the significant rise in demand for same-day instant deliveries, several courier services are exploring alternatives to transport packages in a cost- and time-effective, as well as, sustainable manner. Motivated by a real-life case…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-06-22 Suchithra Rajendran , Aidan Harper

Traditional revenue management relies on long and stable historical data and predictable demand patterns. However, meeting those requirements is not always possible. Many industries face demand volatility on an ongoing basis, an example…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-18 Ezgi C. Eren , Zhaoyang Zhang , Jonas Rauch , Ravi Kumar , Royce Kallesen

Homelessness in the United States has surged to levels unseen since the Great Depression. However, existing methods for monitoring it, such as point-in-time (PIT) counts, have limitations in terms of frequency, consistency, and spatial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Wooyong Jung , Sola Kim , Dongwook Kim , Maryam Tabar , Dongwon Lee

Online advertising has been introduced as one of the most efficient methods of advertising throughout the recent years. Yet, advertisers are concerned about the efficiency of their online advertising campaigns and consequently, would like…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-05-15 Ali Jalali , Santanu Kolay , Peter Foldes , Ali Dasdan

Conventional Public Transport (PT) cannot support the mobility needs in weak demand areas. Such areas could be better served by integrating, within PT, Demand-Responsive Transport (DRT), in which bus routes dynamically adapt to user demand.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-06 Pierfrancesco Leonardi , Vincenza Torrisi , Andrea Araldo , Matteo Ignaccolo

The emergence of large stores of transactional data generated by increasing use of digital devices presents a huge opportunity for policymakers to improve their knowledge of the local environment and thus make more informed and better…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2017-10-27 Graham McNeill , Jonathan Bright , Scott A. Hale