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Chance-constrained optimization (CCO) has been widely used for uncertainty management in power system operation. With the prevalence of wind energy, it becomes possible to consider the wind curtailment as a dispatch variable in CCO.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-06 Xingyu Lei , Zhifang Yang , Junbo Zhao , Juan Yu

Nowadays, with the unprecedented penetration of renewable distributed energy resources (DERs), the necessity of an efficient energy forecasting model is more demanding than before. Generally, forecasting models are trained using observed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-18 Hossein Sangrody , Morteza Sarailoo , Ning Zhou , Ahmad Shokrollahi , Elham Foruzan

Spatio-temporal generation patterns for wind and solar photovoltaic power in Europe are used to investigate the future rise in transmission needs with an increasing penetration of these variable renewable energy sources (VRES) on the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-02-13 Sarah Becker , Rolando A. Rodriguez , Gorm B. Andresen , Stefan Schramm , Martin Greiner

The rapid uptake of renewable energy technologies in recent decades has increased the demand of energy researchers, policymakers and energy planners for reliable data on the spatial distribution of their costs and potentials. For onshore…

System operators employ operating reserves to deal with unexpected variations of demand and generation and guarantee the security of supply. However, they face new challenges to ensure this mission with the increasing share of renewable…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-22 Jonathan Dumas , Viktor Terrier , Frédéric Bienvenu , Sébastien Finet , Nathalie Grisey

Short term load forecasting has an essential medium for the reliable, economical and efficient operation of the power system. Most of the existing forecasting approaches utilize fixed statistical models with large historical data for…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-05-21 Irfan Ahmad Khan , Adnan Akber , Yinliang Xu

Resource adequacy studies typically use standard metrics such as Loss of Load Expectation and Expected Energy Unserved to quantify the risk of supply shortfalls. This paper critiques present approaches to adequacy assessment and capacity…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-13 Chris J. Dent , Nestor Sanchez , Aditi Shevni , Jim Q. Smith , Amy L. Wilson , Xuewen Yu

The growing penetration of renewable energy sources is expected to drive higher demand for power reserve ancillary services (AS). One solution is to increase the supply by integrating distributed energy resources (DERs) into the AS market…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-03 Lorenzo Zapparoli , Blazhe Gjorgiev , Giovanni Sansavini

Each year a growing number of wind farms are being added to power grids to generate electricity. The power curve of a wind turbine, which exhibits the relationship between generated power and wind speed, plays a major role in assessing the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-06-10 Farzad Karami , Nasser Kehtarnavaz , Mario Rotea

As the role of variable renewables in electricity markets expands, new market products help system operators manage imbalances caused by uncertainty and variability. Whereas work in the last decade has focused on constructing demand curves…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-30 Elina Spyrou , Robin Hytowitz , Benjamin F. Hobbs , Ibrahim Krad , Liping Li , Mengmeng Cai , Michael Blonsky

Wind power plays an increasingly significant role in achieving the 2050 Net Zero Strategy. Despite its rapid growth, its inherent variability presents challenges in forecasting. Accurately forecasting wind power generation is one key demand…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-13 Tao Shen , Jethro Browell , Daniela Castro-Camilo

In this paper, a model predictive control scheme for wind farms is presented. Our approach considers wake dynamics including their influence on local wind conditions and allows to track a given power reference. In detail, a Gaussian wake…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-22 Arnold Sterle , Christian A. Hans , Jörg Raisch

The deepening penetration of variable energy resources creates unprecedented challenges for system operators (SOs). An issue that merits special attention is the precipitous net load ramps, which require SOs to have flexible capacity at…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-15 Ogun Yurdakul , Andreas Meyer , Fikret Sivrikaya , Sahin Albayrak

This paper addresses two vital issues which are barely discussed in the literature on robust unit commitment (RUC): 1) how much the potential operational loss could be if the realization of uncertainty is beyond the prescribed uncertainty…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-16 Cheng Wang , Feng Liu , Jianhui Wang , Feng Qiu , Wei Wei , Shengwei Mei , Shunbo Lei

Current contingency reserve criteria ignore the likelihood of individual contingencies and, thus, their impact on system reliability and risk. This paper develops an iterative approach, inspired by the current security-constrained unit…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-10 Robert Mieth , Yury Dvorkin , Miguel A. Ortega-Vazquez

Reliable probabilistic production forecasts are required to better manage the uncertainty that the rapid build-out of wind power capacity adds to future energy systems. In this article, we consider sequential methods to correct errors in…

Wind farms can be regarded as complex systems that are, on the one hand, coupled to the nonlinear, stochastic characteristics of weather and, on the other hand, strongly influenced by supervisory control mechanisms. One crucial problem in…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-22 Tobias Braun , Matthias Waechter , Joachim Peinke , Thomas Guhr

With the increasing amount of available data from simulations and experiments, research for the development of data-driven models for wind-farm power prediction has increased significantly. While the data-driven models can successfully…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-04-06 Navid Zehtabiyan-Rezaie , Alexandros Iosifidis , Mahdi Abkar

High penetration of renewable energy sources (RES) introduces significant uncertainty and intermittency into microgrid operations, posing challenges to economic and reliable scheduling. To address this, this paper proposes an end-to-end…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-04 Tingwei Cao , Yan Xu

With the expansion of renewables in the electricity mix, power grid variability will increase, hence a need to robustify the system to guarantee its security. Therefore, Transport System Operators (TSOs) must conduct analyses to simulate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Nathan Weill , Jonathan Dumas