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Related papers: Weather-Driven Flexibility Reserve Procurement: A …

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This case study presents an analysis and quantification of the impact of the lack of co-optimization of energy and reserve in the presence of high penetration of wind energy. The methodology is developed in a companion paper, Part I. Two…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-21 Yves Smeers , Sebastian Martin , Jose A. Aguado

The objective of the GreenPAD project is to use green energy (wind, solar and biomass) for powering data-centers that are used to run HPC jobs. As a part of this it is important to predict the Renewable (Wind) energy for efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-27 Ankur Sahai

Wind energy makes a significant contribution to global power generation. Predicting wind turbine capacity is becoming increasingly crucial for cleaner production. For this purpose, a new information priority accumulated grey model with time…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-22 Jie Xia , Xin Ma , Wenqing Wu , Baolian Huang , Wanpeng Li

This paper introduces a generalised version of importance subsampling for time series reduction/aggregation in optimisation-based power system planning models. Recent studies indicate that reliably determining optimal electricity…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-26 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

Scenario-based probabilistic forecasts have become vital for decision-makers in handling intermittent renewable energies. This paper presents a recent promising deep learning generative approach called denoising diffusion probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Esteban Hernandez Capel , Jonathan Dumas

This paper presents a new active power control algorithm designed to maximize the power reserve of the individual turbines in a farm, in order to improve the tracking accuracy of a power reference signal. The control architecture is based…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-07-11 Simone Tamaro , Carlo L. Bottasso

The issue of the accuracy of wind speed/power forecasts is becoming more and more important as wind power production continues to increase year after year. Having accurate forecasts for the energy market clashes with intrinsic difficulties…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-06-23 Gabriele Casciaro , Francesco Ferrari , Mattia Cavaiola , Andrea Mazzino

Dispatchability of renewable energy sources and inflexible loads can be achieved using a volatility-compensating energy storage. However, as the future power outputs of the inflexible devices are uncertain, the computation of a dispatch…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-05-25 R. R. Appino , J. Á. González Ordiano , R. Mikut , V. Hagenmeyer , T. Faulwasser

This paper proposes a general and practical approach to estimate the economic benefits of optimally controlling deferrable loads in a Distribution System Operator's (DSO) grid, without relying on historical observations. We achieve this by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-20 Lorenzo Nespoli , Vasco Medici

New methods are proposed for adjusting probabilistic forecasts to ensure coherence with the aggregation constraints inherent in temporal hierarchies. The different approaches nested within this framework include methods that exploit…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-18 Jooyoung Jeon , Anastasios Panagiotelis , Fotios Petropoulos

Due to the fluctuating nature of the wind and the increasing use of wind energy as a power source, wind power will have an increasing negative influence on the stability of the power grid. In this paper, a model predictive control strategy…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-14 Valentijn van de Scheur , Sjoerd Boersma

This paper introduces a new approach to quantify the impact of forward propagated demand and weather uncertainty on power system planning and operation models. Recent studies indicate that such sampling uncertainty, originating from demand…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-17 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

Electricity networks are vulnerable to weather damage, with severe events often leading to faults and power outages. Timely forecasts of fault occurrences, ranging from nowcasts to several days ahead, can enhance preparedness, support…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-03 Mateus Maia , Daniela Castro-Camilo , Jethro Browell

This paper addresses the problem of predicting a wind farm's power generation when no or few statistical data is available. The study is based on a time-series wind speed model and on a simple dynamic model of a DFIG wind turbine including…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-18 Herman Bayem , Yannick Phulpin , Philippe Dessante , Julien Bect

The rapid expansion of wind and solar energy leads to an increasing volatility in the electricity generation. Previous studies have shown that storage devices provide an opportunity to balance fluctuations in the power grid. An economical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-06 Lars Siemer , Wided Medjroubi

We present a data-driven approach for probabilistic wind power forecasting based on conditional normalizing flow (CNF). In contrast with the existing, this approach is distribution-free (as for non-parametric and quantile-based approaches)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-20 Honglin Wen , Pierre Pinson , Jinghuan Ma , Jie Gu , Zhijian Jin

The electric power generation mix of ISO New England (ISO-NE) is fundamentally changing. Nuclear, coal, and oil generation facilities are retiring while natural gas, solar, and wind generation are being adopted to replace them. Variable…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-30 Steffi O. Muhanji , Clayton Barrows , Jordan Macknick , Amro M. Farid

The roll-out of stochastic renewable energy sources (RES) undermines the efficiency of power system and market operations. This paper proposes an approach to derive electricity prices that internalize RES stochasticity. We leverage a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-31 Robert Mieth , Jip Kim , Yury Dvorkin

Decision support systems are essential for maintaining grid stability in low-carbon power systems, such as wind power plants, by providing real-time alerts to control room operators regarding potential events, including Wind Power Ramp…

In this paper, we propose a high-level Stochastic steady-state model to analyze the value of co-located energy storage systems for wind power producers that participate in an electricity market through Forward or Day Ahead contracts. In…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-27 Tomas Valencia Zuluaga , Shmuel S. Oren
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