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As environments evolve, temporal distribution shifts can degrade time series forecasting performance. A straightforward solution is to adapt to nonstationary changes while preserving stationary dependencies. Hence, some methods disentangle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Zijian Li , Ruichu Cai , Zhenhui Yang , Haiqin Huang , Guangyi Chen , Yifan Shen , Zhengming Chen , Xiangchen Song , Kun Zhang

Trajectory prediction models often fail in real-world automated driving due to distributional shifts between training and test conditions. Such distributional shifts, whether behavioural or environmental, pose a critical risk by causing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-15 Michele De Vita , Julian Wiederer , Vasileios Belagiannis

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting is widely used in various domains, such as meteorology and traffic. Due to limitations on data collection, transmission, and storage, real-world MTS data usually contains missing values, making it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-26 Xianfeng Tang , Huaxiu Yao , Yiwei Sun , Charu Aggarwal , Prasenjit Mitra , Suhang Wang

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) have become a new component of the state-of-the-art in general time series forecasting. However, adapting them to specialized classification tasks remains constrained by two interconnected challenges:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 José Alberto Rodríguez , Luis Balderas , Miguel Lastra , Antonio Arauzo-Azofra , José M. Benítez

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting is vital in fields like weather, energy, and finance. However, despite deep learning advancements, traditional Transformer-based models often diminish the effect of crucial inter-variable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Yanhong Li , David C. Anastasiu

Transformer-based models have emerged as powerful tools for multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF). However, existing Transformer models often fall short of capturing both intricate dependencies across variate and temporal dimensions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Juncheng Liu , Chenghao Liu , Gerald Woo , Yiwei Wang , Bryan Hooi , Caiming Xiong , Doyen Sahoo

Trajectory forecasting is crucial for video surveillance analytics, as it enables the anticipation of future movements for a set of agents, e.g. basketball players engaged in intricate interactions with long-term intentions. Deep generative…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-30 Riccardo Benaglia , Angelo Porrello , Pietro Buzzega , Simone Calderara , Rita Cucchiara

Accurate Multivariate Time Series (MTS) forecasting is crucial for collaborative design of complex systems, Digital Twin building, and maintenance ahead of time. However, the collaborative industrial environment presents new challenges for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Shaoxun Wang , Xingjun Zhang , Kun Xia , Qianyang Li , Jiawei Cao , Zhendong Tan

Accurate traffic forecasting is crucial for the development of Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS), playing a pivotal role in modern urban traffic management. Traditional forecasting methods, however, struggle with the irregular…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-28 Weijia Zhang , Le Zhang , Jindong Han , Hao Liu , Yanjie Fu , Jingbo Zhou , Yu Mei , Hui Xiong

The increasing complexity of distribution network calls for advancement in distribution system state estimation (DSSE) to monitor the operating conditions more accurately. Sufficient number of measurements is imperative for a reliable and…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-09 Mehdi Shafiei , Ghavameddin Nourbakhsh , Ali Arefi , Gerard Ledwich , Houman Pezeshki

In this technical report, we present our solutions to the Traffic4cast 2022 core challenge and extended challenge. In this competition, the participants are required to predict the traffic states for the future 15-minute based on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-16 Leyan Deng , Chenwang Wu , Defu Lian , Min Zhou

Multi-horizon forecasting problems often contain a complex mix of inputs -- including static (i.e. time-invariant) covariates, known future inputs, and other exogenous time series that are only observed historically -- without any prior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-29 Bryan Lim , Sercan O. Arik , Nicolas Loeff , Tomas Pfister

Traffic time series forecasting is challenging due to complex spatio-temporal dynamics time series from different locations often have distinct patterns; and for the same time series, patterns may vary across time, where, for example, there…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-06 Razvan-Gabriel Cirstea , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo , Tung Kieu , Shirui Pan

To act and plan in complex environments, we posit that agents should have a mental simulator of the world with three characteristics: (a) it should build an abstract state representing the condition of the world; (b) it should form a belief…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-03 Karol Gregor , George Papamakarios , Frederic Besse , Lars Buesing , Theophane Weber

Traffic forecasting, crucial for urban planning, requires accurate predictions of spatial-temporal traffic patterns across urban areas. Existing research mainly focuses on designing complex models that capture spatial-temporal dependencies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Jiarui Sun , Yujie Fan , Chin-Chia Michael Yeh , Wei Zhang , Girish Chowdhary

Continuously-observed event occurrences, often exhibit self- and mutually-exciting effects, which can be well modeled using temporal point processes. Beyond that, these event dynamics may also change over time, with certain periodic trends.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Sikun Yang , Hongyuan Zha

Urban time series data forecasting featuring significant contributions to sustainable development is widely studied as an essential task of the smart city. However, with the dramatic and rapid changes in the world environment, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Zekun Cai , Renhe Jiang , Xinyu Yang , Zhaonan Wang , Diansheng Guo , Hiroki Kobayashi , Xuan Song , Ryosuke Shibasaki

Multivariate time series forecasting is crucial for various applications, such as financial investment, energy management, weather forecasting, and traffic optimization. However, accurate forecasting is challenging due to two main factors.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-13 Xiangfei Qiu , Xingjian Wu , Yan Lin , Chenjuan Guo , Jilin Hu , Bin Yang

As black box models and pretrained models gain traction in time series applications, understanding and explaining their predictions becomes increasingly vital, especially in high-stakes domains where interpretability and trust are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Khalid Oublal , Quentin Bouniot , Qi Gan , Stephan Clémençon , Zeynep Akata

To gain finer regional forecasts, many works have explored the regional integration from the global atmosphere, e.g., by solving boundary equations in physics-based methods or cropping regions from global forecasts in data-driven methods.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Hao Chen , Tao Han , Jie Zhang , Song Guo , Lei Bai
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