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Recent decades have seen an interest in prediction problems for which Bayesian methodology has been used ubiquitously. Sampling from or approximating the posterior predictive distribution in a Bayesian model allows one to make inferential…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-12 Giri Gopalan

Answering complex questions often requires multi-step reasoning in order to obtain the final answer. Most research into decompositions of complex questions involves open-domain systems, which have shown success in using these decompositions…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-12-21 Kangda Wei , Dawn Lawrie , Benjamin Van Durme , Yunmo Chen , Orion Weller

The Contextuality-by-Default approach to determining and measuring the (non)contextuality of a system of random variables requires that every random variable in the system be represented by an equivalent set of dichotomous random variables.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-01-05 Janne V. Kujala , Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov

The study of a machine learning problem is in many ways is difficult to separate from the study of the loss function being used. One avenue of inquiry has been to look at these loss functions in terms of their properties as scoring rules…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-02 Zac Cranko , Robert C. Williamson , Richard Nock

Dimension reduction for high-dimensional compositional data plays an important role in many fields, where the principal component analysis of the basis covariance matrix is of scientific interest. In practice, however, the basis variables…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-13 Jingru Zhang , Wei Lin

Confounding matters in almost all observational studies that focus on causality. In order to eliminate bias caused by connfounders, oftentimes a substantial number of features need to be collected in the analysis. In this case, large p…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-30 Shinyuu Lee , Yuru Zhu

We consider the well-studied problem of decomposing a vector time series signal into components with different characteristics, such as smooth, periodic, nonnegative, or sparse. We describe a simple and general framework in which the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-21 Bennet E. Meyers , Stephen P. Boyd

We propose a summary measure defined as the expected value of a random variable over disjoint subsets of its support that are specified by a given grid of proportions, and consider its use in a regression modeling framework. The obtained…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-19 Celia García-Pareja , Matteo Bottai

The paper concerns the probabilistic evaluation of plans in the presence of unmeasured variables, each plan consisting of several concurrent or sequential actions. We establish a graphical criterion for recognizing when the effects of a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Judea Pearl , James M. Robins

The properties of the normal distribution under linear transformation, as well the easy way to compute the covariance matrix of marginals and conditionals, offer a unique opportunity to get an insight about several aspects of uncertainties…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-02-12 Giulio D'Agostini

A general separability condition on the second moment (covariance matrix) for continuous variable two-party systems is derived by an analysis analogous to the derivation of the Kennard's uncertainty relation without referring to the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-05-13 Kazuo Fujikawa

Tensor decomposition methods are popular tools for learning latent variables given only lower-order moments of the data. However, the standard assumption is that we have sufficient data to estimate these moments to high accuracy. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-13 Omer Gottesman , Weiwei Pan , Finale Doshi-Velez

Selecting a subset of variables for linear models remains an active area of research. This paper reviews many of the recent contributions to the Bayesian model selection and shrinkage prior literature. A posterior variable selection summary…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-05 P. Richard Hahn , Carlos M. Carvalho

In this paper the problems of the retrospective analysis of models with time-varying structure are considered. These models include contamination models with randomly switching parameters and multivariate classification models with an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-31 Boris Brodsky , Boris Darkhovsky

Dynamic factor models are often estimated by point-estimation methods, disregarding parameter uncertainty. We propose a method accounting for parameter uncertainty by means of posterior approximation, using variational inference. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-14 Erik Spånberg

We propose a new approach to the combinatorial interpretations of linearization coefficient problem of orthogonal polynomials. We first establish a difference system and then solve it combinatorially and analytically using the method of…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2012-11-20 Mourad E. H. Ismail , Anisse Kasraoui , Jiang Zeng

Density Ratio Estimation has attracted attention from the machine learning community due to its ability to compare the underlying distributions of two datasets. However, in some applications, we want to compare distributions of random…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-26 Song Liu , Yulong Zhang , Mingxuan Yi , Mladen Kolar

Modeling of high order multivariate probability distribution is a difficult problem which occurs in many fields. Copula approach is a good choice for this purpose, but the curse of dimensionality still remains a problem. In this paper we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-09-16 Edith Kovacs , Tamas Szantai

In linear regression modelling the distortion of effects after marginalizing over variables of the conditioning set has been widely studied in several contexts. For Gaussian variables, the relationship between marginal and partial…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-08 Monia Lupparelli

Linear causal disentanglement is a recent method in causal representation learning to describe a collection of observed variables via latent variables with causal dependencies between them. It can be viewed as a generalization of both…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-08 Paula Leyes Carreno , Chiara Meroni , Anna Seigal