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In this paper, we propose standard statistical tools as a solution to commonly highlighted problems in the explainability literature. Indeed, leveraging statistical estimators allows for a proper definition of explanations, enabling…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-01 Valentina Ghidini

Language models (LM) are capable of remarkably complex linguistic tasks; however, numerical reasoning is an area in which they frequently struggle. An important but rarely evaluated form of reasoning is understanding probability…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Akshay Paruchuri , Jake Garrison , Shun Liao , John Hernandez , Jacob Sunshine , Tim Althoff , Xin Liu , Daniel McDuff

We present an approach for automatically generating and testing, in silico, social scientific hypotheses. This automation is made possible by recent advances in large language models (LLM), but the key feature of the approach is the use of…

General Economics · Economics 2024-04-26 Benjamin S. Manning , Kehang Zhu , John J. Horton

While a large body of work has scrutinized the meaning of conditional sentences, considerably less attention has been paid to formal models of their pragmatic use and interpretation. Here, we take a probabilistic approach to pragmatic…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-14 Britta Grusdt , Daniel Lassiter , Michael Franke

Recent work on loglinear models in probabilistic constraint logic programming is applied to first-order probabilistic reasoning. Probabilities are defined directly on the proofs of atomic formulae, and by marginalisation on the atomic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 James Cussens

Recently, large language models (LLMs) have shown significant progress, approaching human perception levels. In this work, we demonstrate that despite these advances, LLMs still struggle to reason using molecular structural information.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Yunhui Jang , Jaehyung Kim , Sungsoo Ahn

Recent advancements in Large Language Models (LLMs) have sparked interest in their formal reasoning capabilities, particularly in mathematics. The GSM8K benchmark is widely used to assess the mathematical reasoning of models on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Iman Mirzadeh , Keivan Alizadeh , Hooman Shahrokhi , Oncel Tuzel , Samy Bengio , Mehrdad Farajtabar

Spurred by a huge interest in the post-Shannon communication, it has recently been shown that leveraging semantics can significantly improve the communication effectiveness across many tasks. In this article, inspired by human…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-03-10 Hyowoon Seo , Jihong Park , Mehdi Bennis , Mérouane Debbah

Training large language models (LLMs) with synthetic reasoning data has become a popular approach to enhancing their reasoning capabilities, while a key factor influencing the effectiveness of this paradigm is the quality of the generated…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Zhuojie Yang , Wentao Wan , Keze Wang

Intelligent information systems that contain emergent elements often encounter trust problems because results do not get sufficiently explained and the procedure itself can not be fully retraced. This is caused by a control flow depending…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Michael Guckert , Nils Gumpfer , Jennifer Hannig , Till Keller , Neil Urquhart

We consider the setting of stochastic multiagent systems modelled as stochastic multiplayer games and formulate an automated verification framework for quantifying and reasoning about agents' trust. To capture human trust, we work with a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-05-17 Xiaowei Huang , Marta Kwiatkowska , Maciej Olejnik

Prior work has combined chain-of-thought prompting in large language models (LLMs) with programmatic representations to perform effective and transparent reasoning. While such an approach works well for tasks that only require forward…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-10-13 Xi Ye , Qiaochu Chen , Isil Dillig , Greg Durrett

Statistical thermodynamics delivers the probability distribution of the equilibrium state of matter through the constrained maximization of a special functional, entropy. Its elegance and enormous success have led to numerous attempts to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-06-22 Themis Matsoukas

Human reasoning can often be understood as an interplay between two systems: the intuitive and associative ("System 1") and the deliberative and logical ("System 2"). Neural sequence models -- which have been increasingly successful at…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Maxwell Nye , Michael Henry Tessler , Joshua B. Tenenbaum , Brenden M. Lake

Multi-agent large language model frameworks are promising for complex multi step reasoning, yet existing systems remain weak for scientific and knowledge intensive domains due to static prompts and agent roles, rigid workflows, and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Yichao Feng , Haoran Luo , Zhenghong Lin , Yiqun Sun , Pengfei Wei , Lawrence B. Hsieh , Anh Tuan Luu

Stochastic systems with memory naturally appear in life science, economy, and finance. We take the modelling point of view of stochastic functional delay equations and we study these structures when the driving noises admit jumps. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-01 D. R. Baños , F. Cordoni , G. Di Nunno , L. Di Persio , E. E. Røse

Comprehensible explanations of probabilistic reasoning are a prerequisite for wider acceptance of Bayesian methods in expert systems and decision support systems. A study of human reasoning under uncertainty suggests two different…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Max Henrion , Marek J. Druzdzel

The combination of argumentation and probability paves the way to new accounts of qualitative and quantitative uncertainty, thereby offering new theoretical and applicative opportunities. Due to a variety of interests, probabilistic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-03-12 Regis Riveret , Pietro Baroni , Yang Gao , Guido Governatori , Antonino Rotolo , Giovanni Sartor

We deliver a call to arms for probabilistic numerical methods: algorithms for numerical tasks, including linear algebra, integration, optimization and solving differential equations, that return uncertainties in their calculations. Such…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-02-17 Philipp Hennig , Michael A Osborne , Mark Girolami

Due to their inherent complexity, reasoning tasks have long been regarded as rigorous benchmarks for assessing the capabilities of machine learning models, especially large language models (LLMs). Although humans can solve these tasks with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Yunlong Deng , Boyang Sun , Yan Li , Lingjing Kong , Zeyu Tang , Kun Zhang , Guangyi Chen
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