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This paper introduces and demonstrates a computational pipeline for the statistical analysis of shape graph datasets, namely geometric networks embedded in 2D or 3D spaces. Unlike traditional abstract graphs, our purpose is not only to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Murad Hossen , Demetrio Labate , Nicolas Charon

Our study addresses the inference of jumps (i.e. sets of discontinuities) within multivariate signals from noisy observations in the non-parametric regression setting. Departing from standard analytical approaches, we propose a new…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-07 Hugo Henneuse

Multivariate count data are defined as the number of items of different categories issued from sampling within a population, which individuals are grouped into categories. The analysis of multivariate count data is a recurrent and crucial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-17 Pierre Fernique , Jean-Baptiste Durand , Yann Guédon

We introduce a nonstationary spatio-temporal statistical model for gridded data on the sphere. The model specifies a computationally convenient covariance structure that depends on heterogeneous geography. Widely used statistical models on…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-25 Stefano Castruccio , Joseph Guinness

Statistical inference for extreme values of random events is difficult in practice due to low sample sizes and inaccurate models for the studied rare events. If prior knowledge for extreme values is available, Bayesian statistics can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-18 Tobias Kallehauge

Heavy tailed distributions present a tough setting for inference. They are also common in industrial applications, particularly with Internet transaction datasets, and machine learners often analyze such data without considering the biases…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-14 Matt Taddy , Hedibert Freitas Lopes , Matt Gardner

This article presents a new way to understand the descriptive ability of tree shape statistics. Where before tree shape statistics were chosen by their ability to distinguish between macroevolutionary models, the ``resolution'' presented in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Frederick A. Matsen

Modelling of precipitation and its extremes is important for urban and agriculture planning purposes. We present a method for producing spatial predictions and measures of uncertainty for spatio-temporal data that is heavy-tailed and…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-19 Yang Liu , Philip Kokic

The most popular approach in extreme value statistics is the modelling of threshold exceedances using the asymptotically motivated generalised Pareto distribution. This approach involves the selection of a high threshold above which the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-27 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Jonathan A. Tawn

Inference on the extremal behaviour of spatial aggregates of precipitation is important for quantifying river flood risk. There are two classes of previous approach, with one failing to ensure self-consistency in inference across different…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Jordan Richards , Jonathan A. Tawn , Simon Brown

Multivariate extreme-value analysis is concerned with the extremes in a multivariate random sample, that is, points of which at least some components have exceptionally large values. Mathematical theory suggests the use of max-stable models…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-03 Johan Segers

Multivariate elliptically-contoured distributions are widely used for modeling correlated and non-Gaussian data. In this work, we study the kurtosis of the elliptical model, which is an important parameter in many statistical analysis.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-23 Bowen Zhou , Peirong Xu , Cheng Wang

Multivariate distributions often carry latent structures that are difficult to identify and estimate, and which better reflect the data generating mechanism than extrinsic structures exhibited simply by the raw data. In this paper, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-16 Bryon Aragam , Ruiyi Yang

Health-policy planning requires evidence on the burden that epidemics place on healthcare systems. Multiple, often dependent, datasets provide a noisy and fragmented signal from the unobserved epidemic process including transmission and…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-11 Alice Corbella , Anne M Presanis , Paul J Birrell , Daniela De Angelis

Motivated by the problem of nonparametric inference in high level digital image analysis, we introduce a general extrinsic approach for data analysis on Hilbert manifolds with a focus on means of probability distributions on such sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-11 Leif Ellingson , Vic Patrangenaru , Frits Ruymgaart

The statistical modeling of discrete extremes has received less attention than their continuous counterparts in the Extreme Value Theory (EVT) literature. One approach to the transition from continuous to discrete extremes is the modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-18 Touqeer Ahmad , Carlo Gaetan , Philippe Naveau

Extreme events occur across the natural, engineering, and socioeconomic sciences, where rare but high-impact episodes can lead to disproportionate consequences that pose major challenges for prediction and risk management. Existing studies…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Charlotte Moser , Nan Chen , Marios Andreou

Multivariate extreme value analysis quantifies the probability and magnitude of joint extreme events. River discharges from the upper Danube River basin provide a challenging dataset for such analysis because the data, which is measured on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-14 Aiden Farrell , Emma F. Eastoe , Clement Lee

A new unimodal distribution family indexed by the mode and three other parameters is derived from a mixture of a Gumbel distribution for the maximum and a Gumbel distribution for the minimum. Properties of the proposed distribution are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Qingyang Liu , Xianzheng Huang , Haiming Zhou

This paper develops new extremal principles of variational analysis that are motivated by applications to constrained problems of stochastic programming and semi-infinite programming without smoothness and/or convexity assumptions. These…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-23 Boris S. Mordukhovich , Pedro Pérez-Aros