English
Related papers

Related papers: Model-free prediction of multistability using echo…

200 papers

We report the first experimental observation of extreme multistability in a controlled laboratory investigation. Extreme multistability arises when infinitely many attractors coexist for the same set of system parameters. The behavior was…

Multistability, the coexistence of multiple stable states, is a cornerstone of nonlinear dynamical systems, governing their equilibrium, tunability, and emergent complexity. Recently, the concept of hidden multistability, where certain…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-11-07 Kun Zhang , Qicheng Zhang , Shuaishuai Tong , Wenquan Wu , Xiling Feng , Chunyin Qiu

An approach to the time-accurate prediction of chaotic solutions is by learning temporal patterns from data. Echo State Networks (ESNs), which are a class of Reservoir Computing, can accurately predict the chaotic dynamics well beyond the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Alberto Racca , Luca Magri

We propose a novel data-driven stochastic model predictive control framework for uncertain linear systems with noisy output measurements. Our approach leverages multi-step predictors to efficiently propagate uncertainty, ensuring chance…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-18 Haldun Balim , Andrea Carron , Melanie N. Zeilinger , Johannes Köhler

Control of multistable dynamical system has important applications, from physics to biology. Here, we attack this problem from the perspective of local sensitivity analysis. We develop sensitivity rules to control properties of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-08 Rodrigo Moreno-Morton , Alessio Franci

We consider state and parameter estimation for a dynamical system having both time-varying and time-invariant parameters. It has been shown that the robustness of the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm for estimating time-invariant…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Philippe Bisaillon , Brandon Robinson , Mohammad Khalil , Chris L. Pettit , Dominique Poirel , Abhijit Sarkar

Parameterized state space models in the form of recurrent networks are often used in machine learning to learn from data streams exhibiting temporal dependencies. To break the black box nature of such models it is important to understand…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Peter Tino

Modern design, control, and optimization often requires simulation of highly nonlinear models, leading to prohibitive computational costs. These costs can be amortized by evaluating a cheap surrogate of the full model. Here we present a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-25 Ranjan Anantharaman , Yingbo Ma , Shashi Gowda , Chris Laughman , Viral Shah , Alan Edelman , Chris Rackauckas

This work advances the theoretical foundations of reservoir computing (RC) by providing a unified treatment of fading memory and the echo state property (ESP) in both deterministic and stochastic settings. We investigate state-space…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-15 Juan-Pablo Ortega , Florian Rossmannek

Model combination is a powerful approach for achieving superior performance compared to selecting a single model. We study both theoretically and empirically the effectiveness of ensembles of Multi-Frequency Echo State Networks (MFESNs),…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Giovanni Ballarin , Lyudmila Grigoryeva , Yui Ching Li

Reservoir computing is a machine learning approach that can generate a surrogate model of a dynamical system. It can learn the underlying dynamical system using fewer trainable parameters and hence smaller training data sets than competing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Daniel J. Gauthier , Ingo Fischer , André Röhm

We present a numerical method to learn an accurate predictive model for an unknown stochastic dynamical system from its trajectory data. The method seeks to approximate the unknown flow map of the underlying system. It employs the idea of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Zhongshu Xu , Yuan Chen , Qifan Chen , Dongbin Xiu

A general class of dynamical systems which can be trained to operate in classification and generation modes are introduced. A procedure is proposed to plant asymptotic stationary attractors of the deterministic model. Optimizing the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-10-15 Stefano Gagliani , Feliciano Giuseppe Pacifico , Lorenzo Chicchi , Duccio Fanelli , Diego Febbe , Lorenzo Buffoni , Raffaele Marino

We investigate the ability of an ensemble reservoir computing approach to predict the long-term behaviour of the phase-space region in which the motion of charged particles in hadron storage rings is bounded, the so-called dynamic aperture.…

Accelerator Physics · Physics 2023-01-18 Maxime Casanova , Barbara Dalena , Luca Bonaventura , Massimo Giovannozzi

We consider a broad class of stochastic imitation dynamics over networks, encompassing several well known learning models such as the replicator dynamics. In the considered models, players have no global information about the game…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Lorenzo Zino , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani

The neural dynamics of the nematode C. elegans are experimentally low-dimensional and correspond to discrete behavioral states, where previous modeling work has found neural proxies for some of these states. Experimental results further…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-09-04 James Kunert , Eli Shlizerman , Andrew Walker , J. Nathan Kutz

At the heart of time-series forecasting (TSF) lies a fundamental challenge: how can models efficiently and effectively capture long-range temporal dependencies across ever-growing sequences? While deep learning has brought notable progress,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Hongbo Liu , Jia Xu

Prediction based on Irregularly Sampled Time Series (ISTS) is of wide concern in the real-world applications. For more accurate prediction, the methods had better grasp more data characteristics. Different from ordinary time series, ISTS is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-04 Chenxi Sun , Shenda Hong , Moxian Song , Yanxiu Zhou , Yongyue Sun , Derun Cai , Hongyan Li

Power systems dominated by renewable energy encounter frequently large, random disturbances, and a critical challenge faced in power-system management is how to anticipate accurately whether the perturbed systems will return to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-25 Yao Du , Qing Li , Huawei Fan , Meng Zhan , Jinghua Xiao , Xingang Wang

We propose a numerical method for discovering unknown parameterized dynamical systems by using observational data of the state variables. Our method is built upon and extends the recent work of discovering unknown dynamical systems, in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-03-11 Tong Qin , Zhen Chen , John Jakeman , Dongbin Xiu