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We study the approximation of a Markov chain on a reduced state space, for both discrete- and continuous-time Markov chains. In this context, we extend the existing theory of formal error bounds for the approximated transient distributions.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-12 Fabian Michel , Markus Siegle

Diffusive approximations of Markov jump processes often fail to accurately capture large fluctuations. This is confounding, as the rare events triggered by these large fluctuations, such as the failure of electronic memories, are often the…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2025-12-17 David Roberts , Trevor McCourt , Geremia Massarelli , Jeremy Rothschild , Nahuel Freitas

In this paper we show how to generalize the quantum approximate counting technique developed by Brassard, H{\o}yer and Tapp [ICALP 1998] to a more general setting: estimating the number of marked states of a Markov chain (a Markov chain can…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-12-29 François Le Gall , Iu-Iong Ng

We deduce a procedure to apply balanced truncation to parameter-dependent differential-algebraic systems. For that we solve multiple projected Lyapunov equations for different parameter values to compute the Gramians that are required for…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-01-08 Jennifer Przybilla , Matthias Voigt

We study the error of reversible Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for approximating the expectation of a function. Explicit error bounds with respect to different norms of the function are proven. By the estimation the well known…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2011-01-18 Daniel Rudolf

Biochemical reactions can happen on different time scales and also the abundance of species in these reactions can be very different from each other. Classical approaches, such as deterministic or stochastic approach, fail to account for or…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-09-16 Arnab Ganguly , Derya Altintan , Heinz Koeppl

Perturbation theory for Markov chains addresses the question how small differences in the transitions of Markov chains are reflected in differences between their distributions. We prove powerful and flexible bounds on the distance of the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-27 Daniel Rudolf , Nikolaus Schweizer

Consideration is given to the three different analytical methods for the computation of upper bounds for the rate of convergence to the limiting regime of one specific class of (in)homogeneous continuous-time Markov chains. This class is…

The paper is devoted to studies of perturbed Markov chains commonly used for description of information networks. In such models, the matrix of transition probabilities for the corresponding Markov chain is usually regularised by adding a…

This paper discusses the error estimation of the last-column-block-augmented northwest-corner truncation (LC-block-augmented truncation, for short) of block-structured Markov chains (BSMCs) in continuous time. We first derive upper bounds…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-12 Hiroyuki Masuyama

The goal of this paper is to analyze distributional Markov Decision Processes as a class of control problems in which the objective is to learn policies that steer the distribution of a cumulative reward toward a prescribed target law,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Nicole Bäuerle , Athanasios Vasileiadis

Closed queuing networks with finite capacity buffers and skip-over policies are fundamental models in the performance evaluation of computer and communication systems. This technical report presents the details of computational algorithms…

Performance · Computer Science 2024-09-13 Gianfranco Balbo , Andrea Marin , Diletta Olliaro , Matteo Sereno

We consider two approaches to balanced truncation of stochastic linear systems, which follow from different generalizations of the reachability Gramian of deterministic systems. Both preserve mean-square asymptotic stability, but only the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-03-14 Peter Benner , Tobias Damm , Yolanda Rocio Rodriguez Cruz

We derive a novel variational expectation maximization approach based on truncated posterior distributions. Truncated distributions are proportional to exact posteriors within subsets of a discrete state space and equal zero otherwise. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-12 Jörg Lücke

The stochastic growth-fragmentation model describes the temporal evolution of a structured cell population through a discrete-time and continuous-state Markov chain. The simulations of this stochastic process and its invariant measure are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-20 Dawei Wu , Zhennan Zhou

Markov chain methods are remarkably successful in computational physics, machine learning, and combinatorial optimization. The cost of such methods often reduces to the mixing time, i.e., the time required to reach the steady state of the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-11-15 Davide Orsucci , Hans J. Briegel , Vedran Dunjko

We establish non-asymptotic error bounds for the classical Maximal Likelihood Estimation of the transition matrix of a given Markov chain. Meanwhile, in the reversible case, we propose a new reversibility-preserving online Symmetric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-07 De Huang , Xiangyuan Li

We propose a unified framework that extends the inference methods for classical hidden Markov models to continuous settings, where both the hidden states and observations occur in continuous time. Two different settings are analyzed: hidden…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-18 Qingcan Wang , Weinan E

We consider the problem of approximating the stationary distribution of an ergodic Markov chain given a set of sampled transitions. Classical simulation-based approaches assume access to the underlying process so that trajectories of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Junfeng Wen , Bo Dai , Lihong Li , Dale Schuurmans

We study the convergence rate of randomly truncated stochastic algorithms, which consist in the truncation of the standard Robbins-Monro procedure on an increasing sequence of compact sets. Such a truncation is often required in practice to…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-08 Jérôme Lelong