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We construct flexible spatio-temporal models through stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) where both diffusion and advection can be spatially varying. Computations are done through a Gaussian Markov random field approximation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-29 Martin Outzen Berild , Geir-Arne Fuglstad

This paper develops a fractional stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) to model the evolution of a random tangent vector field on the unit sphere. The SPDE is governed by a fractional diffusion operator to model the L\'{e}vy-type…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-15 Vo V. Anh , Andriy Olenko , Yu Guang Wang

Increasingly larger data sets of processes in space and time ask for statistical models and methods that can cope with such data. We show that the solution of a stochastic advection-diffusion partial differential equation provides a…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-18 Fabio Sigrist , Hans R. Künsch , Werner A. Stahel

We propose a novel framework for adaptively learning the time-evolving solutions of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) using score-based diffusion models within a recursive Bayesian inference setting. SPDEs play a central…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-12 Toan Huynh , Ruth Lopez Fajardo , Guannan Zhang , Lili Ju , Feng Bao

This work proposes stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) as a practical tool to replicate clustering effects of more detailed particle-based dynamics. Inspired by membrane-mediated receptor dynamics on cell surfaces, we…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-22 Nathalie Wehlitz , Mohsen Sadeghi , Alberto Montefusco , Christof Schütte , Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Stefanie Winkelmann

An important class of spatio-temporal models is constructed by leveraging the hierarchical structure of dynamical (or, state-space) models. This paper proposes a new statistical dynamical model for spatio-temporal processes motivated by…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Yutong Zhang , Xiao Liu

Subsurface flows are commonly modeled by advection-diffusion equations. Insufficient measurements or uncertain material procurement may be accounted for by random coefficients. To represent, for example, transitions in heterogeneous media,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-01-25 Andrea Barth , Andreas Stein

This paper proposes a physical-statistical modeling approach for spatio-temporal data arising from a class of stochastic convection-diffusion processes. Such processes are widely found in scientific and engineering applications where…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-07 Xiao Liu , Kyongmin Yeo , Siyuan Lu

Physical models with uncertain inputs are commonly represented as parametric partial differential equations (PDEs). That is, PDEs with inputs that are expressed as functions of parameters with an associated probability distribution.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-05-15 Benjamin M. Kent , Catherine E. Powell , David J. Silvester , Małgorzata J. Zimoń

The application of Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) to the analysis of temporal data has attracted increasing attention, due to their ability to describe complex dynamics with physically interpretable equations. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-09 Constantino A. García , Abraham Otero , Paulo Félix , Jesús Presedo , David G. Márquez

This paper proposes a novel low-rank approximation to the multivariate State-Space Model. The Stochastic Partial Differential Equation (SPDE) approach is applied component-wise to the independent-in-time Mat\'ern Gaussian innovation term in…

This paper presents theoretical advances in the application of the Stochastic Partial Differential Equation (SPDE) approach in geostatistics. We show a general approach to construct stationary models related to a wide class of linear SPDEs,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-30 Ricardo Carrizo Vergara , Denis Allard , Nicolas Desassis

Accurate forecasting of spatiotemporal data remains challenging due to complex spatial dependencies and temporal dynamics. The inherent uncertainty and variability in such data often render deterministic models insufficient, prompting a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Mingze Gong , Lei Chen , Jia Li

Mathematically modelling diffusive and advective transport of particles in heterogeneous layered media is important to many applications in computational, biological and medical physics. While deterministic continuum models of such…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-09-16 Elliot J. Carr

Obtaining high-resolution maps of precipitation data can provide key insights to stakeholders to assess a sustainable access to water resources at urban scale. Mapping a nonstationary, sparse process such as precipitation at very high…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-08 Jiachen Zhang , Matthew Bonas , Diogo Bolster , Geir-Arne Fuglstad , Stefano Castruccio

Stemming from the stochastic Lotka-Volterra or predator-prey equations, this work aims to model the spatial inhomogeneity by using stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). Compared to the classical models, the SPDE model is more…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-11-21 N. N. Nhu , G. Yin

Correlated with the trend of increasing degrees of freedom in robotic systems is a similar trend of rising interest in Spatio-Temporal systems described by Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) among the robotics and control communities.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-02-19 Ethan N. Evans , Andrew P. Kendall , Evangelos A. Theodorou

Spatially distributed problems are often approximately modelled in terms of partial differential equations (PDEs) for appropriate coarse-grained quantities (e.g. concentrations). The derivation of accurate such PDEs starting from finer…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Liang Qiao , Radek Erban , C. T. Kelley , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

The advection-diffusion and wave equations are the fundamental equations governing any physical law and therefore arise in many areas of physics and astrophysics. For complex problems and geometries, only numerical simulations can give…

Computational Physics · Physics 2014-01-08 J. Pétri

A popular approach for modeling and inference in spatial statistics is to represent Gaussian random fields as solutions to stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) of the form $L^{\beta}u = \mathcal{W}$, where $\mathcal{W}$ is…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-03 David Bolin , Kristin Kirchner
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