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The high acquisition cost and the significant demand for disruptive discharges for data-driven disruption prediction models in future tokamaks pose an inherent contradiction in disruption prediction research. In this paper, we demonstrated…

Next generation high performance (HP) tokamaks risk damage from unmitigated disruptions at high current and power. Achieving reliable disruption prediction for a device's HP operation based on its low performance (LP) data is key to…

Diffusion models provide expressive priors for forecasting trajectories of dynamical systems, but are typically unreliable in the sparse data regime. Physics-informed machine learning (PIML) improves reliability in such settings; however,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Kaiyuan Tan , Kendra Givens , Peilun Li , Thomas Beckers

Perturbation robustness evaluates the vulnerabilities of models, arising from a variety of perturbations, such as data corruptions and adversarial attacks. Understanding the mechanisms of perturbation robustness is critical for global…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Róisín Luo , James McDermott , Colm O'Riordan

Over the past fifty years, numerous software defect prediction (SDP) approaches have been proposed. However, the ability to explain why predictors make certain predictions remains limited. Explainable SDP has emerged as a promising solution…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-08-29 Guifang Xu , Zhiling Zhu , Xingcheng Guo , Wei Wang

Accurate and interpretable air pollution forecasting is crucial for public health, but most models face a trade-off between performance and interpretability. This study proposes a physics-guided, interpretable-by-design spatiotemporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Zhiguo Zhang , Xiaoliang Ma , Daniel Schlesinger

The full understanding of plasma disruption in tokamaks is currently lacking, and data-driven methods are extensively used for disruption prediction. However, most existing data-driven disruption predictors employ supervised learning…

Scientific measurements are often bottlenecked by suboptimal conditions, whether that be noise, incomplete spatial coverage, or limited resolution, rendering accurate field reconstruction a difficult task. We introduce LatentPDE, a latent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Valerie Tsao , Nathaniel Chaney , Manolis Veveakis

This paper reports on advances to the state-of-the-art deep-learning disruption prediction models based on the Fusion Recurrent Neural Network (FRNN) originally introduced a 2019 Nature publication. In particular, the predictor now features…

Machine-learning models have demonstrated great success in learning complex patterns that enable them to make predictions about unobserved data. In addition to using models for prediction, the ability to interpret what a model has learned…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-15 W. James Murdoch , Chandan Singh , Karl Kumbier , Reza Abbasi-Asl , Bin Yu

The emergence of large-scale pretrained language models has posed unprecedented challenges in deriving explanations of why the model has made some predictions. Stemmed from the compositional nature of languages, spurious correlations have…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-04 Ruochen Zhao , Shafiq Joty , Yongjie Wang , Tan Wang

This paper explores the intricate relationship between interpretability and robustness in deep learning models. Despite their remarkable performance across various tasks, deep learning models often exhibit critical vulnerabilities,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Navid Nayyem , Abdullah Rakin , Longwei Wang

Interpretability is a pressing issue for machine learning. Common approaches to interpretable machine learning constrain interactions between features of the input, rendering the effects of those features on a model's output comprehensible…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-11 Kieran A. Murphy , Dani S. Bassett

The quality of explanations for the predictions made by complex machine learning predictors is often measured using insertion and deletion metrics, which assess the faithfulness of the explanations, i.e., how accurately the explanations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-13 Yuya Yoshikawa , Tomoharu Iwata

This paper provides a comprehensive review of the TRANSP code, a sophisticated tool for interpretive and predictive analysis of tokamak plasmas, detailing its major capabilities and features. It describes the equations for particle, power,…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2025-02-25 A. Y Pankin , J. Breslau , M. Gorelenkova , R. Andre , B. Grierson , J. Sachdev , M. Goliyad , G. Perumpilly

The Multifaceted Asymmetric Radiation From the Edge (MARFE) is a critical plasma instability that often precedes density-limit disruptions in tokamaks, posing a significant risk to machine integrity and operational efficiency. Early and…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2025-10-29 Qianyun Dong , Rongpeng Li , Zongyu Yang , Fan Xia , Liang Liu , Zhifeng Zhao , Wulyu Zhong

Disruption in tokamak plasmas, stemming from various instabilities, poses a critical challenge, resulting in detrimental effects on the associated devices. Consequently, the proactive prediction of disruptions to maintain stability emerges…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2023-12-21 Jinsu Kim , Jeongwon Lee , Jaemin Seo , Young-Chul Ghim , Yeongsun Lee , Yong-Su Na

Experimental data is often affected by uncontrolled variables that make analysis and interpretation difficult. For spatiotemporal systems, this problem is further exacerbated by their intricate dynamics. Modern machine learning methods are…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-09-16 Peter Y. Lu , Samuel Kim , Marin Soljačić

With the mass construction of Gen III nuclear reactors, it is a popular trend to use deep learning (DL) techniques for fast and effective diagnosis of possible accidents. To overcome the common problems of previous work in diagnosing…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-26 Chengyuan Li , Zhifang Qiu , Zhangrui Yan , Meifu Li

While deep neural networks have achieved remarkable performance, they tend to lack transparency in prediction. The pursuit of greater interpretability in neural networks often results in a degradation of their original performance. Some…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-09 Hefeng Wu , Hao Jiang , Keze Wang , Ziyi Tang , Xianghuan He , Liang Lin
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