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Related papers: On Hypothesis Testing via a Tunable Loss

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We study binary hypothesis testing for i.i.d. observations under a multiplicative context weight. For the optimal weighted total loss, defined as the sum of weighted type-I and type-II losses, we prove the logarithmic asymptotic $$ L_n^* =…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Mark Kelbert , El'mira Yu. Kalimulina

We consider the standard Neyman-Pearson hypothesis test of a signal-plus-background hypothesis and background-only hypothesis in the presence of uncertainty on the background-only prediction. Surprisingly, this problem has not been…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-11-18 Kyle S. Cranmer

Given a sequence of random variables $X^n=X_1,\ldots, X_n$, discriminating between two hypotheses on the underlying probability distribution is a key task in statistics and information theory. Of interest here is the Stein exponent, i.e.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Ludovico Lami

We consider the problem of hypotheses testing with the basic simple hypothesis: observed sequence of points corresponds to stationary Poisson process with known intensity. The alternatives are stationary self-exciting point processes. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-27 Serguei Dachian , Yury A. Kutoyants

We consider a problem of guessing, wherein an adversary is interested in knowing the value of the realization of a discrete random variable $X$ on observing another correlated random variable $Y$. The adversary can make multiple (say, $k$)…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-08-20 Gowtham R. Kurri , Oliver Kosut , Lalitha Sankar

Consider the problem of binary hypothesis testing. Given $Z$ coming from either $\mathbb P^{\otimes m}$ or $\mathbb Q^{\otimes m}$, to decide between the two with small probability of error it is sufficient, and in many cases necessary, to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-11 Patrik Róbert Gerber , Yury Polyanskiy

We study a variation of Bayesian M-ary hypothesis testing in which the test outputs a list of L candidates out of the M possible upon processing the observation. We study the minimum error probability of list hypothesis testing, where an…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Ehsan Asadi Kangarshahi , Albert Guillen i Fabregas

Testing of hypotheses is a well studied topic in mathematical statistics. Recently, this issue has also been addressed in the context of Inverse Problems, where the quantity of interest is not directly accessible but only after the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-09 Remo Kretschmann , Daniel Wachsmuth , Frank Werner

The classical binary hypothesis testing problem is revisited. We notice that when one of the hypotheses is composite, there is an inherent difficulty in defining an optimality criterion that is both informative and well-justified. For…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-29 Michael Bell , Yuval Kochman

We study the training dynamics of neural classifiers through the lens of binary hypothesis testing. We re-formalize classification as a collection of binary tests between class-conditional distributions induced by learned representations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Kadircan Aksoy , Protim Bhattacharjee , Peter Jung

We propose a simple robust hypothesis test that has the same sample complexity as that of the optimal Neyman-Pearson test up to constants, but robust to distribution perturbations under Hellinger distance. We discuss the applicability of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-04 Ananda Theertha Suresh

Two alternative exact characterizations of the minimum error probability of Bayesian M-ary hypothesis testing are derived. The first expression corresponds to the error probability of an induced binary hypothesis test and implies the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-04-07 Gonzalo Vazquez-Vilar , Adrià Tauste Campo , Albert Guillén i Fàbregas , Alfonso Martinez

We identify the critical deviation scale governing Bayesian evidence accumulation in regular parametric testing. Under integrated Bayes risk with zero-one loss, the risk-optimal rejection boundary lies in a moderate deviation regime, with a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-23 Jyotishka Datta , Nicholas G. Polson , Vadim Sokolov , Daniel Zantedeschi

The e-value is swiftly rising in prominence in many applications of hypothesis testing and multiple testing, yet its relationship to classical testing theory remains elusive. We unify e-values and classical testing into a single 'continuous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-12 Nick W. Koning

We study finite-sample inference for the trade-off function of two unknown probability distributions, the function that traces the optimal type I/type II error frontier in binary testing. Given samples from distributions $P$ and $Q$, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Kaining Shi , Qiaosen Wang , Cong Ma

We revisit the outlier hypothesis testing framework of Li \emph{et al.} (TIT 2014) and derive fundamental limits for the optimal test under the generalized Neyman-Pearson criterion. In outlier hypothesis testing, one is given multiple…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-02-15 Lin Zhou , Yun Wei , Alfred Hero

Selective classification enhances the reliability of predictive models by allowing them to abstain from making uncertain predictions. In this work, we revisit the design of optimal selection functions through the lens of the Neyman--Pearson…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Alvin Heng , Harold Soh

The asymptotically optimal hypothesis testing problem with the general sources as the null and alternative hypotheses is studied under exponential-type error constraints on the first kind of error probability. Our fundamental philosophy in…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Te Sun Han

In this paper, we develop a general theory of truncated inverse binomial sampling. In this theory, the fixed-size sampling and inverse binomial sampling are accommodated as special cases. In particular, the classical Chernoff-Hoeffding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-20 Xinjia Chen

A distributed binary hypothesis testing problem, in which multiple observers transmit their observations to a detector over noisy channels, is studied. Given its own side information, the goal of the detector is to decide between two…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-04-06 Sreejith Sreekumar , Deniz Gündüz