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Estimation of high dimensional covariance matrices is an interesting and important research topic. In this paper, we propose a dynamic structure and develop an estimation procedure for high dimensional covariance matrices. Asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-05 Shaojun Guo , John Box , Wenyang Zhang

The identification of the dependent components in multiple data sets is a fundamental problem in many practical applications. The challenge in these applications is that often the data sets are high-dimensional with few observations or…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-02 Martin Gölz , Tanuj Hasija , Michael Muma , Abdelhak M. Zoubir

This paper is a study of fine-tuning of BERT contextual representations, with focus on commonly observed instabilities in few-sample scenarios. We identify several factors that cause this instability: the common use of a non-standard…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-03-12 Tianyi Zhang , Felix Wu , Arzoo Katiyar , Kilian Q. Weinberger , Yoav Artzi

While traditional equity factor investing relies heavily on slow-moving fundamental accounting metrics, these models frequently suffer from factor crowding and miss real-time, sentiment-driven market dislocations. This study explores how…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-22 Jin Du , Alexander Walter , Maxim Ulrich

This paper studies equity basket options -- i.e., multi-dimensional derivatives whose payoffs depend on the value of a weighted sum of the underlying stocks -- and develops a new and innovative approach to ensure consistency between options…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-22 Lech A. Grzelak , Juliusz Jablecki , Dariusz Gatarek

We introduce a general tensor model suitable for data analytic tasks for {\em heterogeneous} datasets, wherein there are joint low-rank structures within groups of observations, but also discriminative structures across different groups. To…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-04 Davoud Ataee Tarzanagh , George Michailidis

We provide a simple method to estimate the parameters of multivariate stochastic volatility models with latent factor structures. These models are very useful as they alleviate the standard curse of dimensionality, allowing the number of…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-15 Giorgio Calzolari , Roxana Halbleib , Christian Mücher

Volume prediction is one of the fundamental objectives in the Fintech area, which is helpful for many downstream tasks, e.g., algorithmic trading. Previous methods mostly learn a universal model for different stocks. However, this kind of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-04 Ruibo Chen , Wei Li , Zhiyuan Zhang , Ruihan Bao , Keiko Harimoto , Xu Sun

In this paper, to cope with the shortage of sufficient theoretical support resulted from the fast-growing quantitative financial modeling, we investigate two classes of generalized stochastic volatility models, establish their…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-20 Ning Ning , Jing Wu

Causal inference methods are widely applied in the fields of medicine, policy, and economics. Central to these applications is the estimation of treatment effects to make decisions. Current methods make binary yes-or-no decisions based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-24 Will Y. Zou , Smitha Shyam , Michael Mui , Mingshi Wang , Jan Pedersen , Zoubin Ghahramani

This paper studies the covariance matrix estimation for high-dimensional time series within a new framework that combines low-rank factor and latent variable-specific cluster structures. The popular methods based on assuming the sparse…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-25 Dong Li , Xinghao Qiao , Cheng Yu

We propose a two stage procedure for the estimation of the parameters of a fairly general, continuous-time stochastic volatility. An important ingredient of the proposed method is the Cuchiero-Teichmann volatility estimator, which is based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-31 Milan Merkle , Yuri F. Saporito , Rodrigo S. Targino

We discuss the issue of estimating large-scale vector autoregressive (VAR) models with stochastic volatility in real-time situations where data are sampled at different frequencies. In the case of a large VAR with stochastic volatility, the…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-12-06 Sebastian Ankargren , Paulina Jonéus

The variance--covariance matrix plays a central role in the inferential theories of high-dimensional factor models in finance and economics. Popular regularization methods of directly exploiting sparsity are not directly applicable to many…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-15 Jianqing Fan , Yuan Liao , Martina Mincheva

In this paper, We propose a new style panel data factor stochastic volatility model with observable factors and unobservable factors based on the multivariate stochastic volatility model, which is mainly composed of three parts, such as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-09 Guobin Fang , Huimin Ma , Michelle Xia , Bo Zhang

We study the relationship between model complexity and out-of-sample performance in the context of mean-variance portfolio optimization. Representing model complexity by the number of assets, we find that the performance of low-dimensional…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-02 Yonghe Lu , Yanrong Yang , Terry Zhang

A new multivariate stochastic volatility estimation procedure for financial time series is proposed. A Wishart autoregressive process is considered for the volatility precision covariance matrix, for the estimation of which a two step…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-05 K. Triantafyllopoulos

In this paper, we introduce a novel method for predicting intraday instantaneous volatility based on Ito semimartingale models using high-frequency financial data. Several studies have highlighted stylized volatility time series features,…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-16 Sung Hoon Choi , Donggyu Kim

This paper proposes a straightforward algorithm to carry out inference in large time-varying parameter vector autoregressions (TVP-VARs) with mixture innovation components for each coefficient in the system. We significantly decrease the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-07 Florian Huber , Gregor Kastner , Martin Feldkircher

Fractional stochastic volatility models have been widely used to capture the non-Markovian structure revealed from financial time series of realized volatility. On the other hand, empirical studies have identified scales in stock price…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-25 Jean-Pierre Fouque , Ruimeng Hu